Cincinnati at Miami (OH) - 2022 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks

Saturday, September 17th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -24 (51.0)
Cincinnati 38 - Miami (OH): 17

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ CIN -26)
Projected Score: CIN: 26 - M-OH: 29 (55)
CIN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
CIN Travel: 2 miles

RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Kentucky	+15.0	55.0	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris	-30.0	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+24.0	51.0	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Northwestern	+7.5	50.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	+3.0	50.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+5.0	56.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	-7.0	45.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Akron	-9.0	51.5	W 27 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+2.5	52.0	L 21 - 37	O	N
Wed 11/16	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	+1.0	44.0	W 29 - 23	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-2.5	45.0	W 18 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/16	Miami (OH) vs UAB	+11.0	44.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.3	48%	30.3	50%	3.13	172	47%	241	4.56	.06	38%	25.6	41%	35%	2.87	53.9	1.4	2.4
M-OH	.27	42%	23.5	41%	3.08	148	43%	279	3.83	.22	42%	21.7	41%	43%	3.75	60.8	0.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	14	30.3	30.8	48.3%	4.56	1.4	20	413	172	241	5.2	48%	52%	50%	47%	13%	.3
M-OH Defense	13	21.7	22.7	41.9%	3.75	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	43%	23%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	14	25.6	35.3	38.2%	2.87	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	35%	20%	.06
M-OH Offense	13	23.5	32.3	41.8%	3.83	0.9	21	426	148	279	4.3	46%	54%	41%	43%	17%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	14	27:09	19.8	39%	63%	7.2	53.9	1.4	2.4	7.3	2.8	2	33.9
Miami (OH)	13	29:45	21.5	40%	43%	6.7	60.8	0.9	1.3	7.8	2.9	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	14	48%	50%	33.1	171.9	5.2	34	.29	3.13	83%	8%	1.07
M-OH Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	82%	16%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	14	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.87	73%	13%	0.86
M-OH Offense	13	46%	41%	34.8	147.6	4.3	15	.14	3.08	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	14	52%	47%	18.4	28.6	241.2	8.4	13.1	33	9	.31	1.5	27%	28%	.17	5%	1.8
M-OH Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.6	33%	27%	.28	7%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	14	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.6	35%	25%	.15	7%	2.1
M-OH Offense	13	54%	43%	19	32.8	278.5	8.5	14.7	32	8	.37	1.7	35%	35%	.41	7%	2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: Miami (OH): -6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1 Miami (OH): -12.7

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -6.35 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 29
Cincinnati 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Miami (OH)	16	Cincinnati	27	Cincinnati -3.5	Cincinnati	47.5	Under
2023	09/16	Cincinnati	24	Miami (OH)	31	Cincinnati -14.5	Miami (OH)	44.5	Over
2022	09/17	Miami (OH)	17	Cincinnati	38	Cincinnati -24	Miami (OH)	51.0	Over
2021	09/04	Cincinnati	49	Miami (OH)	14	Cincinnati -22.5	Cincinnati	49.0	Over
2019	09/14	Cincinnati	35	Miami (OH)	13	Cincinnati -17	Cincinnati	49.5	Under
2018	09/08	Miami (OH)	0	Cincinnati	21	Miami (OH) -1.5	Cincinnati	48.0	Under
2017	09/16	Miami (OH)	17	Cincinnati	21	Miami (OH) -3.5	Cincinnati	49.0	Under
2016	09/24	Cincinnati	27	Miami (OH)	20	Cincinnati -19.5	Miami (OH)	55.5	Under
2015	09/19	Miami (OH)	33	Cincinnati	37	Cincinnati -19	Miami (OH)	59.5	Over
2014	09/20	Cincinnati	31	Miami (OH)	24	Cincinnati -32	Miami (OH)	0
2013	09/21	Miami (OH)	0	Cincinnati	14	Cincinnati -24	Miami (OH)	0
2012	10/06	Cincinnati	52	Miami (OH)	14
2011	10/01	Miami (OH)	0	Cincinnati	27
2010	10/09	Cincinnati	45	Miami (OH)	3
2009	10/03	Miami (OH)	13	Cincinnati	37
2008	09/20	Cincinnati	45	Miami (OH)	20
2007	09/15	Miami (OH)	10	Cincinnati	47
2006	09/30	Cincinnati	24	Miami (OH)	10
2005	09/28	Miami (OH)	44	Cincinnati	16
2004	09/11	Cincinnati	45	Miami (OH)	26
2003	09/27	Miami (OH)	42	Cincinnati	37
2002	10/05	Cincinnati	26	Miami (OH)	31
2001	09/22	Miami (OH)	21	Cincinnati	14
2000	10/27	Cincinnati	45	Miami (OH)	15

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	5	6	4 Overs
Cincinnati	19	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	5 - 6	2 - 5	3 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 13	6 - 5	1 - 3	5 - 2

(#) CIN at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#116
OffenseOff	#59	#116
DefenseDef	#19	#97
Spec TeamsST	#54	#41
TalentTal	#49	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#98	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#73	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#109	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#95	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paycor Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati 24.0 (51.0)
Cincinnati won at Miami (OH) this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2024 (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD