Cincinnati at Miami (OH) - 2022 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -24 (51.0)
Cincinnati 38 - Miami (OH): 17

 
Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ CIN -26)
Projected Score: CIN: 25 - M-OH: 24 (49)
CIN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
CIN Travel: 2 miles
RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 20 - 23 (21 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Cincinnati at Arkansas+6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State-30
Sat 9/17 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-24.051.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Indiana-16.557.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati at Tulsa-10.059.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati vs South Florida-27.058.5W 28 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati at SMU-3.559.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at UCF+1.555.5L 21 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs Navy-18.543.5W 20 - 10UN
Fri 11/11 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-4.551.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 11/19 Cincinnati at Temple-17.048.5W 23 - 3UY
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati vs Tulane+1.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 12/17 Cincinnati vs Louisville+2.538.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Kentucky+15.055.0L 13 - 37UN
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris-30.054.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+24.051.0L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Northwestern+7.550.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+3.050.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+5.056.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green-7.045.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.044.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Akron-9.051.5W 27 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+2.552.0L 21 - 37ON
Wed 11/16 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+1.044.0W 29 - 23OY
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-2.545.0W 18 - 17UN
Fri 12/16 Miami (OH) vs UAB+11.044.5L 20 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.1840%29.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%20.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
M-OH.137%20.236%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%22.639%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1329.225.639.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18
M-OH Defense1322.621.640.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1320.621.437.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
M-OH Offense1320.221.437.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Miami (OH): -6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1   Miami (OH): -12.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -6.35 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 25
Miami (OH) 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 28
Cincinnati 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 25
Miami (OH) 21

Total Points: 46
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27Cincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14Cincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13Cincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20Cincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37Cincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24Cincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)564 Overs
Cincinnati1955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#) CIN at (#) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #105
Perf GradeGrade #31 #116
OffenseOff #59 #116
DefenseDef #19 #97
Spec TeamsST #54 #41
TalentTal #49 #112
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #98 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #25 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #73 #116
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #19
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #109 #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #39
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #129 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paycor Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati 24.0 (51.0)
Cincinnati won at Miami (OH) this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) last year (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (38-17)

  
CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD