Louisville at Kentucky - 2022 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3.5 (42.5)
Kentucky 26 - Louisville: 13

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 3rd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ UK -4)
Projected Score: LOU: 25 - UK: 25 (50)
UK Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 69 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0L7–31	55.0	L7–31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5W20–14	62.0	W20–14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5L31–35	57.0	L31–35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5W41–3	63.5	W41–3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5L33–34	48.5	L33–34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5W34–17	47.5	W34–17	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5W24–10	55.0	W24–10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0W48–21	66.5	W48–21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5W34–10	53.0	W34–10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0L16–31	52.0	L16–31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0W25–10	43.0	W25–10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5L13–26	42.5	L13–26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5W24–7	38.5	W24–7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0W37–13	55.0	W37–13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0W26–16	53.0	W26–16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0W31–0	49.5	W31–0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0W31–23	52.5	W31–23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5L19–22	55.0	L19–22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0L14–24	45.0	L14–24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5W27–17	50.5	W27–17	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5L6–44	62.5	L6–44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0W21–17	40.0	W21–17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0L21–24	45.5	L21–24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5L6–16	47.5	L6–16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5W26–13	42.5	W26–13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0L0–21	31.5	L0–21	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.32	44%	29.9	43%	3.27	210	45%	236	4.45	.24	42%	21.2	46%	40%	4.21	54.9	1	1.3
UK	.26	50%	23	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	26.4	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	29.9	23	44.1%	4.45	1	21	446	210	236	5.4	56%	44%	43%	45%	14%	.32
UK Defense	13	26.4	22.6	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	21.2	25.5	42.4%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	17%	.24
UK Offense	13	23	31.7	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	30:32	21.1	40%	52%	6.2	54.9	1	1.3	6.2	2.5	3	28.6
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	56%	43%	38.8	209.8	5.4	29	.25	3.27	68%	9%	1.22
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	77%	10%	1.06
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	45%	17	28	236.5	8.5	13.9	21	6	.4	1.7	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.35	6%	2.1
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Kentucky: 9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 9.0 Kentucky: 13.0

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 25
Kentucky 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Louisville	41	Kentucky	0	Louisville -1.0	Louisville	45.5	Under
2024	11/30	Kentucky	14	Louisville	41	Louisville -3.5	Louisville	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Louisville	31	Kentucky	38	Louisville -7.5	Kentucky	47.5	Over
2022	11/26	Kentucky	26	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	42.5	Under
2021	11/27	Louisville	21	Kentucky	52	Louisville -3	Kentucky	58.0	Over
2019	11/30	Kentucky	45	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Louisville	10	Kentucky	56	Kentucky -17	Kentucky	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Kentucky	17	Louisville	44	Louisville -10	Louisville	68.0	Under
2016	11/26	Louisville	38	Kentucky	41	Louisville -26	Kentucky	70.5	Over
2015	11/28	Kentucky	24	Louisville	38	Louisville -4	Louisville	51.5	Over
2014	11/29	Louisville	44	Kentucky	40	Louisville -14	Kentucky	0
2013	09/14	Kentucky	13	Louisville	27	Louisville -10.5	Louisville	0
2012	09/02	Louisville	32	Kentucky	14
2011	09/17	Kentucky	17	Louisville	24
2010	09/04	Louisville	16	Kentucky	23
2009	09/19	Kentucky	31	Louisville	27
2008	08/31	Louisville	2	Kentucky	27
2007	09/15	Kentucky	40	Louisville	34
2006	09/03	Louisville	59	Kentucky	28
2005	09/04	Kentucky	24	Louisville	31
2004	09/05	Louisville	28	Kentucky	0
2003	08/31	Kentucky	24	Louisville	40
2002	09/01	Louisville	17	Kentucky	22
2001	09/01	Kentucky	10	Louisville	36
2000	09/01	Louisville	40	Kentucky	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	11	7	7 Overs
Louisville	14	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 10	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	UK
Game ControlGC	#51	#30
Momentum ControlMC	#66	#60
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#61
OffenseOff	#68	#72
DefenseDef	#51	#38
Spec TeamsST	#114	#131
TalentTal	#60	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Game ControlGC	#50	#23
Momentum ControlMC	#37	#64
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#62	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Game ControlGC	#32	#50
Momentum ControlMC	#57	#87
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#54	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Kentucky -3.5 (42.5)
Kentucky won vs Louisville this year (26-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD