Louisville at Kentucky - 2022 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3.5 (42.5)
Kentucky 26 - Louisville: 13

 
Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 3rd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ UK -4)
Projected Score: LOU: 25 - UK: 25 (50)
UK Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 69 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Louisville at Syracuse-6.055.0L 7 - 31UN
Fri 9/9 Louisville at UCF+5.562.0W 20 - 14UY
Fri 9/16 Louisville vs Florida State+2.557.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/24 Louisville vs South Florida-15.563.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 Louisville at Boston College-13.548.5L 33 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Louisville at Virginia+1.547.5W 34 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-1.555.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/29 Louisville vs Wake Forest+3.066.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/5 Louisville vs James Madison-6.553.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Louisville at Clemson+7.052.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Louisville vs NC State-4.043.0W 25 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Louisville at Kentucky+3.542.5L 13 - 26UN
Sat 12/17 Louisville vs Cincinnati-2.538.5W 24 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Kentucky vs Miami (OH)-15.055.0W 37 - 13UY
Sat 9/10 Kentucky at Florida+6.053.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 9/17 Kentucky vs Youngstown State-30.049.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Kentucky vs Northern Illinois-27.052.5W 31 - 23ON
Sat 10/1 Kentucky at Ole Miss+6.555.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 10/8 Kentucky vs South Carolina-4.045.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 Kentucky vs Mississippi State+3.550.5W 27 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Kentucky at Tennessee+10.562.5L 6 - 44UN
Sat 11/5 Kentucky at Missouri+1.040.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-17.045.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Kentucky vs Georgia+22.547.5L 6 - 16UY
Sat 11/26 Kentucky vs Louisville-3.542.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 12/31 Kentucky vs Iowa+3.031.5L 0 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.3244%29.943%3.2721045%2364.45.2442%21.246%40%4.2154.911.3
UK.2650%2352%3.5720049%2264.88.1644%26.442%47%3.6142.21.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92344.1%4.451214462102365.456%44%43%45%14%.32
UK Defense1326.422.644.4%3.610.9 - - - - - 46%53%42%47%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.542.4%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%17%.24
UK Offense132331.750.4%4.881.8234252002265.255%45%52%49%15%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:3221.140%52%6.254.911.36.22.5328.6
Kentucky1332:3522.850%38%4.842.21.80.96.12.2427.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1356%43%38.8209.85.429.253.2768%9%1.22
UK Defense1346%42% - - - - .063.0376%11%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1348%46% - - - - .233.2777%10%1.06
UK Offense1355%52%38.2199.55.227.233.5778%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1344%45%1728236.58.513.9216.41.730%36%.515%2.1
UK Defense1353%47% - - - - - - 9.271.432%29%.26%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 10.251.733%30%.356%2.1
UK Offense1345%49%18.628.2225.6812.12413.311.527%39%.446%1.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0  #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Kentucky: 9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 9.0   Kentucky: 13.0




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 25
Kentucky 25

Projected Total Points: 50
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisville41Kentucky0Louisville -1.0Louisville45.5Under
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41Louisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38Louisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52Louisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56Kentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44Louisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41Louisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38Louisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40Louisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27Louisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1177 Overs
Louisville1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 109 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #25
Perf GradeGrade #57 #61
OffenseOff #68 #72
DefenseDef #51 #38
Spec TeamsST #114 #131
TalentTal #60 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #38
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Run GameRun #62 #77
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Pass GamePass #99 #9
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #40 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #51
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #28
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #54 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #91 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #124
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #94 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Kentucky -3.5 (42.5)
Kentucky won vs Louisville this year (26-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

  
LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD