Louisville at UCF - 2022 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo   Louisville Cardinals at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Friday, September 9th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCF -5.5 (62.0)
Louisville 20 - UCF: 14

 
Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 2nd straight Road Game
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ UCF -1)
Projected Score: LOU: 23 - UCF: 26 (49)
UCF Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
LOU Travel: 713 miles
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Louisville at Syracuse-6.055.0L 7 - 31UN
Fri 9/9 Louisville at UCF+5.562.0W 20 - 14UY
Fri 9/16 Louisville vs Florida State+2.557.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/24 Louisville vs South Florida-15.563.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 Louisville at Boston College-13.548.5L 33 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Louisville at Virginia+1.547.5W 34 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-1.555.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/29 Louisville vs Wake Forest+3.066.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/5 Louisville vs James Madison-6.553.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Louisville at Clemson+7.052.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Louisville vs NC State-4.043.0W 25 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Louisville at Kentucky+3.542.5L 13 - 26UN
Sat 12/17 Louisville vs Cincinnati-2.538.5W 24 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.3244%29.943%3.2721045%2364.45.2442%21.246%40%4.2154.911.3
UCF.2343%24.346%3.1919640%2064.44.1640%23.643%38%3.5153.51.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92344.1%4.451214462102365.456%44%43%45%14%.32
UCF Defense1323.615.740.4%3.511.8 - - - - - 47%53%43%38%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.542.4%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%17%.24
UCF Offense1324.332.642.9%4.441.2204021962065.451%49%46%40%16%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:3221.140%52%6.254.911.36.22.5328.6
UCF1328:3519.937%79%6.253.51.21.86.82.8031.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1356%43%38.8209.85.429.253.2768%9%1.22
UCF Defense1347%43% - - - - .22.9666%11%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1348%46% - - - - .233.2777%10%1.06
UCF Offense1351%46%36.6196.35.427.263.1975%11%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1344%45%1728236.58.513.9216.41.730%36%.515%2.1
UCF Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 11.131.433%30%.328%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 10.251.733%30%.356%2.1
UCF Offense1349%40%19.430206.26.910.6299.191.632%33%.465%2.2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0  #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    UCF: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 9.0   UCF: 10.3




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 26
Louisville 23

Projected Total Points: 49
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/09UCF14Louisville20UCF -5.5Louisville62.0Under
202109/17Louisville42UCF35UCF -7Louisville67.5Over
201310/18Louisville35UCF38Louisville -17.5UCF0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF111 Overs
Louisville221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) LOU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #35
Perf GradeGrade #57 #40
OffenseOff #68 #22
DefenseDef #51 #80
Spec TeamsST #114 #59
TalentTal #60 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #62 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #99 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #40 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #51
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #28
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #59 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #124
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #32 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
UCF -5.5 (62.0)
Louisville won at UCF this year (20-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD