Wake Forest at Louisville - 2022 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -3 (66.5)
Louisville 48 - Wake Forest: 21 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (51 - 48)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ LOU -1)
Projected Score: WAKE: 23 - LOU: 28 (51)
WAKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 335 miles

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs VMI	-33.5	66.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Vanderbilt	-13.5	65.5	W 45 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Liberty	-17.5	64.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 45 - 51	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at Florida State	+6.0	67.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Army	-16.0	65.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-20.0	60.0	W 43 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest at Louisville	-3.0	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest at NC State	-3.0	54.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest vs North Carolina	-4.5	79.0	L 34 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-9.5	58.5	W 45 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest at Duke	-3.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Fri 12/23	Wake Forest vs Missouri	-3.0	59.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Louisville's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0	55.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5	62.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5	57.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5	63.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5	48.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5	53.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0	43.0	W 25 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5	42.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.3	45%	28.1	44%	3.08	161	47%	307	4.88	.26	47%	22.1	50%	43%	3.88	52.6	1.4	2.2
LOU	.32	44%	29.9	43%	3.27	210	45%	236	4.45	.24	42%	21.2	46%	40%	4.21	54.9	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	14	28.1	24.8	45.4%	4.88	1.4	25	468	161	307	4	46%	54%	44%	47%	16%	.3
LOU Defense	13	21.2	18.9	42.4%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	14	22.1	27.4	46.8%	3.88	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	43%	20%	.26
LOU Offense	13	29.9	33.8	44.1%	4.45	1	21	446	210	236	5.4	56%	44%	43%	45%	14%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	14	28:42	25.3	50%	60%	5.8	52.6	1.4	2.2	6.9	2.7	2	30.5
Louisville	13	30:32	21.1	40%	52%	6.2	54.9	1	1.3	6.2	2.5	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	14	46%	44%	40.4	160.5	4	31	.16	3.08	73%	8%	0.94
LOU Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	77%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	14	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.37	71%	14%	1.09
LOU Offense	13	56%	43%	38.8	209.8	5.4	29	.25	3.27	68%	9%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	14	54%	47%	21.6	37.1	307.4	8.3	14.3	39	15	.43	1.7	31%	38%	.52	8%	2
LOU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	14	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	37%	.43	6%	2
LOU Offense	13	44%	45%	17	28	236.5	8.5	13.9	21	6	.4	1.7	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2 #43
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: Louisville: 7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 8.2 Louisville: 9.0

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 7 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 28
Wake Forest 23

Projected Total Points: 51

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Louisville	48	Wake Forest	21	Wake Forest -3	Louisville	66.5	Over
2021	10/02	Wake Forest	37	Louisville	34	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	64.5	Over
2020	12/12	Louisville	45	Wake Forest	21	Louisville -1.5	Louisville	62.5	Over
2019	10/12	Wake Forest	59	Louisville	62	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	65.0	Over
2018	10/27	Louisville	35	Wake Forest	56	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	68.0	Over
2017	10/28	Wake Forest	42	Louisville	32	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	66.5	Over
2016	11/12	Louisville	44	Wake Forest	12	Louisville -33	Wake Forest	56.5	Under
2015	10/30	Wake Forest	19	Louisville	20	Louisville -9.5	Wake Forest	44.0	Under
2014	09/27	Louisville	20	Wake Forest	10	Louisville -21	Wake Forest	0
2006	01/02	Wake Forest	13	Louisville	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	7	4	6 Overs
Wake Forest	3	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	1 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	0 - 3	5 - 1

(#) WAKE at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#57
OffenseOff	#11	#68
DefenseDef	#11	#51
Spec TeamsST	#86	#114
TalentTal	#68	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#11	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#104	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#11
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#62	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#37

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Wake Forest 3.0 (66.5)
Louisville won vs Wake Forest this year (48-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD