Texas at Arkansas - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas -6 (57.5)
Arkansas 40 - Texas: 21

Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ ARK -5)
Projected Score: TEX: 30 - ARK: 28 (58)
TEX Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TEX Travel: 449 miles

Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas vs Louisiana	-8.5	58.0	W 38 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas at Arkansas	-6.0	57.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/18	Texas vs Rice	-26.0	52.0	W 58 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas vs Texas Tech	-9.0	63.0	W 70 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Texas at TCU	-3.5	65.5	W 32 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas vs Oklahoma	+4.0	65.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	61.0	L 24 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Texas at Baylor	+2.0	61.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas at Iowa State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Texas vs Kansas	-31.0	61.5	L 56 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas at West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/26	Texas vs Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas vs Rice	-19.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas vs Texas	+6.0	57.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas vs Georgia Southern	-23.0	53.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas at Georgia	+16.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/9	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+5.0	67.0	L 51 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Arkansas vs Auburn	-4.5	54.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	59.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-4.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas at LSU	-3.0	59.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Arkansas at Alabama	+20.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Arkansas vs Missouri	-14.5	63.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Arkansas vs Penn State	-3.5	51.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.25	43%	30.5	46%	3.08	195	41%	280	4.44	.14	43%	20.3	40%	46%	3.42	79	0.9	1.8
ARK	.23	44%	32.9	43%	2.97	151	47%	239	3.84	.16	46%	33.8	47%	45%	3.73	45.7	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	10	30.5	19.8	43.2%	4.44	0.9	22	476	195	280	5.3	47%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.25
ARK Defense	10	33.8	35	45.8%	3.73	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	45%	14%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	10	20.3	25.8	43.2%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	46%	19%	.14
ARK Offense	10	32.9	30.5	44.5%	3.84	1.3	21	390	151	239	3.8	52%	48%	43%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	10	27:36	22.4	37%	50%	8.2	79	0.9	1.8	7.4	1.5	2	30.9
Arkansas	10	25:17	20.6	33%	64%	6.4	45.7	1.3	1.8	5	1.4	3	24.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	10	47%	46%	36.8	195.4	5.3	20	.15	3.08	63%	9%	1.06
ARK Defense	10	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.14	75%	8%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	10	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.44	73%	12%	0.87
ARK Offense	10	52%	43%	39.4	151.3	3.8	11	.09	2.97	70%	11%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	10	53%	41%	20.8	34.5	280.1	8.1	13.5	32	5	.35	1.7	31%	34%	.49	7%	2.3
ARK Defense	10	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	28%	39%	.45	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	30%	31%	.23	8%	2
ARK Offense	10	48%	47%	18.2	28.3	238.6	8.4	13.1	20	6	.39	1.6	29%	29%	.27	5%	2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: Arkansas: 9.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 8.5 Arkansas: 13.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.4 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 30
Arkansas 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Texas	52	Arkansas	37	Texas -10.5	Texas	57.5	Over
2024	11/16	Arkansas	10	Texas	20	Texas -13	Arkansas	57.5	Under
2021	09/11	Arkansas	40	Texas	21	Texas -6	Arkansas	57.5	Over
2014	12/29	Texas	7	Arkansas	31	Arkansas -7	Arkansas	42.5	Under
2008	09/27	Texas	52	Arkansas	10
2004	09/11	Arkansas	20	Texas	22
2003	09/13	Texas	28	Arkansas	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	3	3	2 Overs
Texas	4	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1

(#) TEX at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#44
OffenseOff	#46	#38
DefenseDef	#110	#77
Spec TeamsST	#45	#54
TalentTal	#11	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#6	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#34	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Texas 6.0 (57.5)
Arkansas won vs Texas this year (40-21)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (52-37)
Texas beat Arkansas in 2024 (20-10)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD