Arkansas at LSU - 2021 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo   Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Arkansas -3 (59.5)
Arkansas 16 - LSU: 13  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ ARK -9.5)
Projected Score: ARK: 25 - LSU: 30 (55)
ARK Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ARK Travel: 427 miles
Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas vs Rice-19.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/11 Arkansas vs Texas+6.057.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 9/18 Arkansas vs Georgia Southern-23.053.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+4.547.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Arkansas at Georgia+16.548.0L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/9 Arkansas at Ole Miss+5.067.0L 51 - 52OY
Sat 10/16 Arkansas vs Auburn-4.554.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/23 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.559.5W 45 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-4.054.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/13 Arkansas at LSU-3.059.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 11/20 Arkansas at Alabama+20.558.5L 35 - 42OY
Fri 11/26 Arkansas vs Missouri-14.563.0W 34 - 17UY
Sat 1/1 Arkansas vs Penn State-3.551.0W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
LSU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 LSU at UCLA-2.064.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 LSU vs McNeese-39.066.0W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 LSU vs Central Michigan-19.561.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 LSU at Mississippi State-1.554.5W 28 - 25UY
Sat 10/2 LSU vs Auburn-2.557.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 LSU at Kentucky+2.050.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/16 LSU vs Florida+12.561.0W 49 - 42OY
Sat 10/23 LSU at Ole Miss+9.076.5L 17 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 LSU at Alabama+29.566.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/13 LSU vs Arkansas+3.059.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 LSU vs UL Monroe-29.057.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 11/27 LSU vs Texas A&M+6.047.0W 27 - 24OY
Tue 1/4 LSU vs Kansas State+9.547.0L 20 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.2344%32.943%2.9715147%2393.84.1646%33.847%45%3.7345.71.31.8
LSU.1743%22.845%2.8312242%3123.22.2847%19.849%45%3.6246.21.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1032.931.244.5%3.841.3213901512393.852%48%43%47%15%.23
LSU Defense1019.816.946.9%3.622.3 - - - - - 46%54%49%45%19%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1033.836.445.8%3.731.8 - - - - - 50%50%47%45%14%.16
LSU Offense1022.825.743.4%3.221.3244341223123.443%57%45%42%14%.17

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1025:1720.633%64%6.445.71.31.851.4324.2
LSU1030:5623.534%71%6.146.21.32.36.22.4528.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1052%43%39.4151.33.811.092.9770%11%0.81
LSU Defense1046%49% - - - - .183.0156%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1050%47% - - - - .133.1475%8%0.91
LSU Offense1043%45%36.2121.93.48.022.8370%7%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1048%47%18.228.3238.68.413.1206.391.629%29%.275%2
LSU Defense1054%45% - - - - - - 14.361.827%33%.478%2.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1050%45% - - - - - - 13.191.528%39%.456%1.9
LSU Offense1057%42%24.742.1312.17.412.6249.281.631%36%.47%1.9

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    LSU: 4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 13.8   LSU: 4.1




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 4.55 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 30
Arkansas 25

Projected Total Points: 55
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15LSU23Arkansas22LSU -4Arkansas58.5Under
202410/19Arkansas10LSU34LSU -3LSU57.0Under
202309/23LSU34Arkansas31LSU -17.5Arkansas55.0Over
202211/12Arkansas10LSU13LSU -5Arkansas59.0Under
202111/13LSU13Arkansas16Arkansas -3NA59.5Under
202011/21Arkansas24LSU27LSU -1.5LSU64.5Under
201911/23LSU56Arkansas20LSU -42Arkansas69.5Over
201811/10Arkansas17LSU24LSU -12.5Arkansas49.5Under
201711/11LSU33Arkansas10LSU -19LSU54.5Under
201611/12Arkansas10LSU38LSU -7LSU46.5Over
201511/14LSU14Arkansas31LSU -9Arkansas54.0Under
201411/15Arkansas17LSU0Arkansas -1.5Arkansas0
201311/29LSU31Arkansas27LSU -24.5Arkansas0
201211/23Arkansas13LSU20
201111/25LSU41Arkansas17
201011/27Arkansas31LSU23
200911/28LSU33Arkansas30
200811/28Arkansas31LSU30
200711/23LSU48Arkansas50
200611/24Arkansas26LSU31
200511/25LSU19Arkansas17
200411/26Arkansas14LSU43
200311/28LSU55Arkansas24
200111/23LSU41Arkansas38
200011/23Arkansas14LSU3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1843 Overs
Arkansas788 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams11 - 148 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) ARK at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #65
Perf GradeGrade #44 #50
OffenseOff #38 #80
DefenseDef #77 #35
Spec TeamsST #54 #42
TalentTal #28 #5
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
ARK OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #35
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #34 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #65 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #36 #35
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #77
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffARK Def
Run GameRun #119 #73
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #45
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #70 #68
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17 #62
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Arkansas 3.0 (59.5)
Arkansas won at LSU this year (16-13)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (23-22)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2024 (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)

  
ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD