Texas A&M at Arkansas - 2021 Matchup Preview

(#10)Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -4.5 (47.0)
Arkansas 20 - Texas A&M: 10 (SEC)

Aggies (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (29 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
ARK 4th straight Home Game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ TA&M -7.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 24 - ARK: 26 (50)
TA&M Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 154 miles

Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (37 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas A&M vs Kent State	-29.5	67.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas A&M vs Colorado	-17.5	51.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-4.5	47.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-7.0	45.5	L 22 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/9	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+18.5	50.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas A&M at Missouri	-11.5	59.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-19.0	46.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-4.5	49.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	-1.0	57.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/20	Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M	-41.5	50.0	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas A&M at LSU	-6.0	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas vs Rice	-19.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas vs Texas	+6.0	57.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas vs Georgia Southern	-23.0	53.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas at Georgia	+16.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/9	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+5.0	67.0	L 51 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Arkansas vs Auburn	-4.5	54.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	59.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-4.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas at LSU	-3.0	59.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Arkansas at Alabama	+20.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Arkansas vs Missouri	-14.5	63.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Arkansas vs Penn State	-3.5	51.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	.18	45%	29.3	48%	3	183	42%	209	3.88	.02	37%	15.9	40%	34%	2.2	54.7	1.3	1.3
ARK	.28	44%	30.9	46%	3.32	228	42%	214	3.61	.14	39%	22.9	41%	39%	3.03	63.1	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	12	29.3	26	44.8%	3.88	1.3	21	392	183	209	5.3	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.18
ARK Defense	13	22.9	19.1	39.5%	3.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	12	15.9	23.3	36.6%	2.2	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	40%	34%	19%	.02
ARK Offense	13	30.9	36.6	44.4%	3.61	0.8	22	442	228	214	5	60%	39%	46%	42%	16%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	12	30:11	20.9	37%	60%	6.3	54.7	1.3	1.3	7.4	3.3	3	28
Arkansas	13	29:30	21.8	37%	63%	7.9	63.1	0.8	1.5	6.1	1.8	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	12	48%	48%	34.8	183	5.3	17	.17	3	73%	10%	0.97
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.88	67%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.63	59%	12%	0.89
ARK Offense	13	60%	46%	45.2	227.8	5	26	.24	3.32	77%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	12	52%	42%	17.3	30.8	208.6	6.8	12	19	13	.2	1.5	31%	34%	.37	7%	2
ARK Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.6	32%	22%	.17	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	12	54%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.05	1.5	35%	27%	.13	7%	1.8
ARK Offense	13	39%	42%	15.8	24.2	213.9	8.9	13.6	22	5	.37	1.7	31%	31%	.43	4%	2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1 #6
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #35
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: Arkansas: 6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 21.1 Arkansas: 13.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 6.9 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.3

Texas A&M's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 26
Texas A&M 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 25
Texas A&M 24

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 27
Texas A&M 24

Total Points: 51

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Arkansas	42	Texas A&M	45	Texas A&M -7.5	Arkansas	57.5	Over
2024	09/28	Texas A&M	21	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -6.5	Arkansas	50.5	Under
2023	09/30	Arkansas	22	Texas A&M	34	Texas A&M -6.5	Texas A&M	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Texas A&M	23	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M -1.5	Texas A&M	51.0	Under
2021	09/25	Arkansas	20	Texas A&M	10	Texas A&M -4.5	Arkansas	47.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas A&M	42	Arkansas	31	Texas A&M -10.5	Texas A&M	0
2019	09/28	Arkansas	27	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -23	Arkansas	59.5	Under
2018	09/29	Texas A&M	24	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -20	Arkansas	56.5	Under
2017	09/23	Arkansas	43	Texas A&M	50	Arkansas -2.5	Texas A&M	58.5	Over
2016	09/24	Texas A&M	45	Arkansas	24	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	52.0	Over
2015	09/26	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M	28	Texas A&M -3.5	Texas A&M	61.5	Under
2014	09/27	Texas A&M	35	Arkansas	28	Texas A&M -12.5	Arkansas	0
2013	09/28	Arkansas	33	Texas A&M	45	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	0
2012	09/29	Texas A&M	58	Arkansas	10
2011	10/01	Arkansas	42	Texas A&M	38
2010	10/09	Texas A&M	17	Arkansas	24
2009	10/03	Arkansas	47	Texas A&M	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	4	6	4 Overs
Texas A&M	13	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 7	6 - 7	3 - 4	3 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 10	7 - 6	3 - 3	4 - 3

(#) TA&M at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#22	#44
OffenseOff	#43	#38
DefenseDef	#21	#77
Spec TeamsST	#60	#54
TalentTal	#7	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas A&M Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#9	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#28	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#34	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90°

Rematch from Week 4
Texas A&M 4.5 (47.0)
Arkansas won vs Texas A&M this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2022 (23-21)

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Mike Elko (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD