Arkansas at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -20.5 (58.5)
Alabama 42 - Arkansas: 35 (SEC)

Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Road Game
ALA 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ ALA -12)
Projected Score: ARK: 24 - ALA: 35 (59)
ALA Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
ARK Travel: 425 miles

Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas vs Rice	-19.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas vs Texas	+6.0	57.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas vs Georgia Southern	-23.0	53.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas at Georgia	+16.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/9	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+5.0	67.0	L 51 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Arkansas vs Auburn	-4.5	54.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	59.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-4.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas at LSU	-3.0	59.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Arkansas at Alabama	+20.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Arkansas vs Missouri	-14.5	63.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Arkansas vs Penn State	-3.5	51.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Alabama vs Miami	-19.5	61.5	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Alabama vs Mercer	-54.0	60.5	W 48 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Alabama at Florida	-14.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/25	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-45.0	57.5	W 63 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-15.0	79.5	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Alabama at Texas A&M	-18.5	50.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-17.5	59.5	W 49 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Alabama vs Tennessee	-24.5	68.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Alabama vs LSU	-29.5	66.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-50.0	67.0	W 59 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Alabama vs Arkansas	-20.5	58.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Alabama at Auburn	-21.0	57.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/4	Alabama vs Georgia	+6.0	48.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Mon 1/10	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.23	44%	32.9	43%	2.97	151	47%	239	3.84	.16	46%	33.8	47%	45%	3.73	45.7	1.3	1.8
ALA	.49	58%	29.5	54%	3.29	183	61%	358	5.18	.12	38%	19.2	37%	38%	2.88	48.1	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	10	32.9	31.2	44.5%	3.84	1.3	21	390	151	239	3.8	52%	48%	43%	47%	15%	.23
ALA Defense	13	19.2	11.4	37.5%	2.88	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	37%	38%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	10	33.8	36.4	45.8%	3.73	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	45%	14%	.16
ALA Offense	13	29.5	39.3	57.9%	5.18	0.9	28	541	183	358	5	47%	53%	54%	61%	11%	.49

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	10	25:17	20.6	33%	64%	6.4	45.7	1.3	1.8	5	1.4	3	24.2
Alabama	13	30:48	28.1	60%	67%	6	48.1	0.9	1.7	5.5	2.1	4	30

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	10	52%	43%	39.4	151.3	3.8	11	.09	2.97	70%	11%	0.81
ALA Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.63	71%	11%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	10	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.14	75%	8%	0.91
ALA Offense	13	47%	54%	36.5	182.9	5	37	.23	3.29	81%	7%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	10	48%	47%	18.2	28.3	238.6	8.4	13.1	20	6	.39	1.6	29%	29%	.27	5%	2
ALA Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.7	34%	32%	.3	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	10	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	28%	39%	.45	6%	1.9
ALA Offense	13	53%	61%	24.9	32.7	358.2	11	14.4	42	4	.71	1.6	22%	48%	.87	4%	2.3

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: Alabama: 15.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 13.8 Alabama: 26.0

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9 #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 35
Arkansas 24

Projected Total Points: 59

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Alabama	24	Arkansas	21	Alabama -19	Arkansas	45.0	Push
2022	10/01	Arkansas	26	Alabama	49	Alabama -17	Alabama	61.0	Over
2021	11/20	Alabama	42	Arkansas	35	Alabama -20.5	Arkansas	58.5	Over
2020	12/12	Arkansas	3	Alabama	52	Alabama -28.5	Alabama	69.5	Under
2019	10/26	Alabama	48	Arkansas	7	Alabama -32	Alabama	56.0	Under
2018	10/06	Arkansas	31	Alabama	65	Alabama -35	Arkansas	58.5	Over
2017	10/14	Alabama	41	Arkansas	9	Alabama -37	Arkansas	54.5	Under
2016	10/08	Arkansas	30	Alabama	49	Alabama -13	Alabama	48.5	Over
2015	10/10	Alabama	27	Arkansas	14	Alabama -16	Arkansas	48.0	Under
2014	10/11	Arkansas	13	Alabama	14	Alabama -9	Arkansas	0
2013	10/19	Alabama	52	Arkansas	0	Alabama -28	Alabama	0
2012	09/15	Arkansas	0	Alabama	52
2011	09/24	Alabama	38	Arkansas	14
2010	09/25	Arkansas	20	Alabama	24
2009	09/26	Alabama	35	Arkansas	7
2008	09/20	Arkansas	14	Alabama	49
2007	09/15	Alabama	41	Arkansas	38
2006	09/23	Arkansas	24	Alabama	23
2005	09/24	Alabama	24	Arkansas	13
2004	09/25	Arkansas	27	Alabama	10
2003	09/27	Alabama	31	Arkansas	34
2002	09/28	Arkansas	12	Alabama	30
2001	09/22	Alabama	31	Arkansas	10
2000	09/22	Arkansas	28	Alabama	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	20	5	4 Overs
Arkansas	4	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#) ARK at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#3
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#6
OffenseOff	#38	#15
DefenseDef	#77	#12
Spec TeamsST	#54	#72
TalentTal	#28	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#12
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#34	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#36	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#26	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#80	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Alabama -20.5 (58.5)
Alabama won vs Arkansas this year (42-35)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2023 (24-21)

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD