Missouri at Arkansas - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 26th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Arkansas -14.5 (63.0)
Arkansas 34 - Missouri: 17 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK is playing their 4th straight game
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ ARK -11)
Projected Score: MIZ: 29 - ARK: 25 (54)
ARK Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 289 miles

Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Missouri vs Central Michigan	-13.5	59.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Missouri at Kentucky	+5.5	56.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/18	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-34.5	59.0	W 59 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Missouri at Boston College	+1.0	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Missouri vs Tennessee	-2.5	66.5	L 24 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/9	Missouri vs North Texas	-18.5	69.0	W 48 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+11.5	59.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-16.0	62.5	W 37 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/6	Missouri at Georgia	+40.0	59.0	L 6 - 43	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Missouri vs South Carolina	-1.0	56.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Missouri vs Florida	+9.5	69.0	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Missouri at Arkansas	+14.5	63.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Wed 12/22	Missouri vs Army	+7.0	54.0	L 22 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas vs Rice	-19.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas vs Texas	+6.0	57.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas vs Georgia Southern	-23.0	53.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas at Georgia	+16.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/9	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+5.0	67.0	L 51 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Arkansas vs Auburn	-4.5	54.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	59.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-4.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas at LSU	-3.0	59.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Arkansas at Alabama	+20.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Arkansas vs Missouri	-14.5	63.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Arkansas vs Penn State	-3.5	51.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.18	44%	30.2	42%	2.55	136	46%	267	3.6	.28	47%	18.9	53%	42%	4.91	50	1.4	0.7
ARK	.23	44%	32.9	43%	2.97	151	47%	239	3.84	.16	46%	33.8	47%	45%	3.73	45.7	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	10	30.2	17.5	44.1%	3.6	1.4	22	403	136	267	3.9	50%	50%	42%	46%	14%	.18
ARK Defense	10	33.8	35	45.8%	3.73	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	45%	14%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	10	18.9	17	47.2%	4.91	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	53%	42%	16%	.28
ARK Offense	10	32.9	30.5	44.5%	3.84	1.3	21	390	151	239	3.8	52%	48%	43%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	10	30:41	22.2	43%	56%	5.8	50	1.4	0.7	5	1.9	1	27.3
Arkansas	10	25:17	20.6	33%	64%	6.4	45.7	1.3	1.8	5	1.4	3	24.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	10	50%	42%	35	136.2	3.9	21	.04	2.55	64%	10%	0.89
ARK Defense	10	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.14	75%	8%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	10	50%	53%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.32	75%	9%	0.86
ARK Offense	10	52%	43%	39.4	151.3	3.8	11	.09	2.97	70%	11%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	10	50%	46%	24.6	36.3	266.8	7.4	10.9	9	6	.33	1.5	30%	34%	.38	4%	1.9
ARK Defense	10	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	28%	39%	.45	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	10	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.35	1.8	30%	36%	.44	6%	2
ARK Offense	10	48%	47%	18.2	28.3	238.6	8.4	13.1	20	6	.39	1.6	29%	29%	.27	5%	2

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2021 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #69
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #52
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Arkansas: 9.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 3.1 Arkansas: 13.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.4 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 29
Arkansas 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Arkansas	17	Missouri	31	Missouri -4.5	Missouri	54.5	Under
2024	11/30	Missouri	28	Arkansas	21	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	51.5	Under
2023	11/24	Arkansas	14	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	11/25	Missouri	29	Arkansas	27	Arkansas -3.0	Missouri	55.5	Over
2021	11/26	Arkansas	34	Missouri	17	Arkansas -14.5	Arkansas	63.0	Under
2020	12/05	Missouri	50	Arkansas	48	Missouri -2	Push	55.5	Over
2019	11/29	Arkansas	14	Missouri	24	Missouri -15	Arkansas	53.0	Under
2018	11/23	Missouri	38	Arkansas	0	Missouri -24	Missouri	59.0	Under
2017	11/24	Arkansas	45	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Arkansas	68.5	Over
2016	11/25	Missouri	28	Arkansas	24	Arkansas -7.5	Missouri	72.0	Under
2015	11/27	Arkansas	28	Missouri	3	Arkansas -14	Arkansas	44.0	Under
2014	11/28	Missouri	21	Arkansas	14	Arkansas -1.5	Missouri	0
2007	01/01	Arkansas	7	Missouri	38
2003	12/31	Arkansas	27	Missouri	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	3	4	4 Overs
Missouri	11	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4

(#) MIZ at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#44
OffenseOff	#57	#38
DefenseDef	#97	#77
Spec TeamsST	#16	#54
TalentTal	#45	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#45	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#19	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#34	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#92
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas -14.5 (63.0)
Arkansas won vs Missouri this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (31-17)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2024 (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)

MIZ's OC Eliah Drinkwitz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Steve Wilks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD