Utah State at New Mexico State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -18 (72.0)
Utah State 35 - New Mexico State: 13

Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (38 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU coming off BYE
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ USU -24.5)
Projected Score: USU: 36 - NMSU: 24 (60)
USU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 711 miles

Aggies (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Martin (23 - 67)
Avg Score : 23 - 40 (25 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Utah State at Washington State	+17.5	66.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Utah State vs North Dakota	-6.5	53.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	54.0	W 49 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Utah State vs Boise State	+9.5	69.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/1	Utah State vs BYU	+9.0	66.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Utah State at UNLV	-7.5	64.0	W 28 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Utah State vs Hawai'i	-3.5	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Utah State at New Mexico State	-18.0	72.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Utah State at San José State	+4.5	58.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Utah State vs Wyoming	-6.0	52.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/26	Utah State at New Mexico	-17.0	48.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Utah State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 46 - 13	O	Y
Sat 12/18	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+9.5	59.0	L 3 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	New Mexico State at San Diego State	+31.0	51.0	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+19.5	55.5	L 25 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	New Mexico State vs South Carolina State	-3.5	54.5	W 43 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	+17.0	63.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico State at San José State	+25.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	New Mexico State at Nevada	+28.5	64.5	L 28 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+18.0	62.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico State vs Utah State	+18.0	72.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico State at Alabama	+50.0	67.0	L 3 - 59	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+35.5	61.0	L 16 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/27	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	58.5	W 44 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.23	40%	32.6	35%	2.72	144	45%	303	3.54	.17	43%	24.4	42%	44%	3.32	55.6	1.6	1.9
NMSU	.12	42%	22.6	45%	3.14	101	41%	270	3.11	.4	50%	40.4	51%	50%	3.94	60.2	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	14	32.6	38.1	39.8%	3.54	1.6	24	447	144	303	3.6	49%	51%	35%	45%	18%	.23
NMSU Defense	12	40.4	33.6	49.9%	3.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	51%	50%	17%	.4

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	14	24.4	20.7	42.7%	3.32	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	44%	20%	.17
NMSU Offense	12	22.6	24.8	41.9%	3.11	1.3	22	370	101	270	3.3	38%	62%	45%	41%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	14	29:16	23.7	44%	53%	6.2	55.6	1.6	1.9	7.6	2.3	2	28.9
New Mexico State	12	30:31	21.9	38%	45%	6.9	60.2	1.3	2	6	1.6	0	26

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	14	49%	35%	40.3	143.8	3.6	13		2.72	60%	11%	1.03
NMSU Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.53	67%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.71	61%	14%	1.04
NMSU Offense	12	38%	45%	30.8	100.6	3.3	15	.18	3.14	78%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	14	51%	45%	21.6	36	303.4	8.4	14	41	15	.47	1.8	34%	33%	.41	7%	2.2
NMSU Defense	12	48%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.63	1.8	27%	40%	.75	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	14	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.5	34%	29%	.35	6%	2.2
NMSU Offense	12	62%	41%	24.7	43.2	269.7	6.3	10.9	15	10	.11	1.4	35%	28%	.2	8%	1.9

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: New Mexico State: -9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 0.1 New Mexico State: -24.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -9.6 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2 #129
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.7 #130

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.1
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 36
New Mexico State 24

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 36
New Mexico State 25

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 36
New Mexico State 23

Total Points: 59

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 40.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.6

New Mexico State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/06	New Mexico State	13	Utah State	35	Utah State -18	Utah State	72.0	Under
2018	09/08	Utah State	60	New Mexico State	13	Utah State -23	Utah State	62.0	Over
2017	12/29	Utah State	20	New Mexico State	26	New Mexico State -4	New Mexico State	61.0	Under
2012	10/20	Utah State	41	New Mexico State	7
2011	12/03	New Mexico State	21	Utah State	24
2010	11/06	Utah State	27	New Mexico State	22
2009	10/10	New Mexico State	20	Utah State	17
2008	11/29	Utah State	47	New Mexico State	2
2007	11/17	New Mexico State	17	Utah State	35
2006	11/25	Utah State	20	New Mexico State	42
2005	11/26	New Mexico State	21	Utah State	24
2004	11/20	Utah State	34	New Mexico State	25
2003	11/06	New Mexico State	26	Utah State	21
2002	11/09	Utah State	32	New Mexico State	30
2000	11/03	New Mexico State	37	Utah State	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	4	1	1 Overs
Utah State	11	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1

(#) USU at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#135
OffenseOff	#72	#130
DefenseDef	#100	#136
Spec TeamsST	#71	#109
TalentTal	#107	#147
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 10
Utah State 18.0 (72.0)
Utah State won at New Mexico State this year (35-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC Doug Martin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Frank Spaziani (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD