BYU at Utah State - 2021 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#25)BYU Cougars at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Friday, October 1st 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
BYU -9 (66.0)
BYU 34 - Utah State: 20

 
Cougars (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (41 - 26)
Avg Score : 33 - 25 (30 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU 2nd straight Home Game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BYU -9)
Projected Score: BYU: 25 - USU: 24 (49)
BYU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BYU Travel: 104 miles
Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 BYU vs Arizona-13.554.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 BYU vs Utah+7.050.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 BYU vs Arizona State+3.550.5W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/25 BYU vs South Florida-23.554.5W 35 - 27ON
Fri 10/1 BYU at Utah State-9.066.0W 34 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 BYU vs Boise State-6.058.0L 17 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 BYU at Baylor+5.552.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 10/23 BYU at Washington State-3.556.5W 21 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 BYU vs Virginia-2.566.5W 66 - 49OY
Sat 11/6 BYU vs Idaho State-36.555.0W 59 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 BYU at Georgia Southern-20.057.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 BYU at USC-8.565.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 12/18 BYU vs UAB-7.054.5L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Utah State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Utah State at Washington State+17.566.5W 26 - 23UY
Fri 9/10 Utah State vs North Dakota-6.553.5W 48 - 24OY
Sat 9/18 Utah State at Air Force+9.054.0W 49 - 45OY
Sat 9/25 Utah State vs Boise State+9.569.5L 3 - 27UN
Fri 10/1 Utah State vs BYU+9.066.0L 20 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Utah State at UNLV-7.564.0W 28 - 24UN
Fri 10/22 Utah State vs Colorado State+3.058.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 10/30 Utah State vs Hawai'i-3.566.0W 51 - 31OY
Sat 11/6 Utah State at New Mexico State-18.072.0W 35 - 13UY
Sat 11/13 Utah State at San José State+4.558.0W 48 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Utah State vs Wyoming-6.052.0L 17 - 44ON
Fri 11/26 Utah State at New Mexico-17.048.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 12/4 Utah State at San Diego State+6.549.5W 46 - 13OY
Sat 12/18 Utah State vs Oregon State+7.068.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.3650%33.152%3.2918949%2644.24.2347%24.846%47%4.0741.50.91.5
USU.2340%32.635%2.7214445%3033.54.1743%24.442%44%3.3255.61.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1333.129.650.3%4.240.9234531892645.152%47%52%49%14%.36
USU Defense1424.430.742.7%3.321.9 - - - - - 50%49%42%44%20%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1324.82546.5%4.071.5 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%16%.23
USU Offense1432.627.539.8%3.541.6244471443033.649%51%35%45%18%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:1723.246%67%5.141.50.91.54.91.5128.5
Utah State1429:1623.744%53%6.255.61.61.97.62.3228.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352%52%36.91895.130.343.2978%9%1.1
USU Defense1450%42% - - - - .12.7161%14%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351%46% - - - - .193.0771%9%1
USU Offense1449%35%40.3143.83.6132.7260%11%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1347%49%19.529.9264.18.813.6265.41.627%31%.295%2
USU Defense1449%44% - - - - - - 12.281.534%29%.356%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349%47% - - - - - - 15.281.328%30%.337%1.9
USU Offense1451%45%21.636303.48.4144115.471.834%33%.417%2.2

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2021 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #14
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Utah State: 2.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 8.9   Utah State: 0.1




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 2.55 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1  #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

BYU's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 25
Utah State 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 20
Utah State 20

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
BYU 30
Utah State 28

Total Points: 58
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.7

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/29BYU38Utah State26BYU -26Utah State60.0Over
202110/01Utah State20BYU34BYU -9BYU66.0Under
201911/02Utah State14BYU42Utah State -3BYU51.0Over
201810/05BYU20Utah State45BYU -1Utah State55.0Over
201709/29Utah State40BYU24Utah State -1Utah State48.5Over
201611/26BYU28Utah State10BYU -17BYU51.5Under
201511/28Utah State28BYU51BYU -2BYU51.0Over
201410/03BYU20Utah State35BYU -21Utah State0
201310/04Utah State14BYU31Utah State -6BYU0
201210/05BYU6Utah State3
201109/30BYU27Utah State24
201010/01Utah State31BYU16
200910/02BYU35Utah State17
200810/03Utah State14BYU34
200609/23BYU38Utah State0
200210/04Utah State34BYU35
200110/05BYU54Utah State34
200010/05BYU38Utah State14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State445 Overs
BYU1452 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 82 - 72 - 50 - 2
Road Teams8 - 107 - 22 - 05 - 2

(#) BYU at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #80
Perf GradeGrade #21 #89
OffenseOff #3 #72
DefenseDef #85 #100
Spec TeamsST #32 #71
TalentTal #94 #107
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #100
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffUSU Def
Run GameRun #42 #94
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePass #21 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #54
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #113 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #46 #43
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56°
Rematch from Week 5
BYU 9.0 (66.0)
BYU won at Utah State this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah State in 2022 (38-26)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD