Utah State at San Diego State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, December 4th 2021 (3:00 PM EST)
San Diego State -6.5 (49.5)
Utah State 46 - San Diego State: 13 (Mountain West)

Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (38 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU 2nd straight Road Game
SDSU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 9th straight game
USU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ SDSU -8)
Projected Score: USU: 28 - SDSU: 23 (51)
SDSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USU Travel: 1416 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (28 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Utah State at Washington State	+17.5	66.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Utah State vs North Dakota	-6.5	53.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	54.0	W 49 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Utah State vs Boise State	+9.5	69.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/1	Utah State vs BYU	+9.0	66.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Utah State at UNLV	-7.5	64.0	W 28 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Utah State vs Hawai'i	-3.5	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Utah State at New Mexico State	-18.0	72.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Utah State at San José State	+4.5	58.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Utah State vs Wyoming	-6.0	52.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/26	Utah State at New Mexico	-17.0	48.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Utah State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 46 - 13	O	Y
Sat 12/18	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	San Diego State vs New Mexico State	-31.0	51.0	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	San Diego State at Arizona	+1.5	46.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/18	San Diego State vs Utah	+8.0	42.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/25	San Diego State vs Towson	-23.0	41.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-19.5	42.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/15	San Diego State at San José State	-10.0	41.0	W 19 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/23	San Diego State at Air Force	+3.0	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+2.0	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-7.0	45.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	San Diego State vs Nevada	-2.5	45.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/19	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	41.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/26	San Diego State vs Boise State	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	-6.5	49.5	L 13 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/21	San Diego State vs UTSA	-3.0	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.23	40%	32.6	35%	2.72	144	45%	303	3.54	.17	43%	24.4	42%	44%	3.32	55.6	1.6	1.9
SDSU	.15	40%	27.4	40%	3	175	39%	168	3.57	.07	36%	19.8	33%	38%	3.46	67.9	1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	14	32.6	38.1	39.8%	3.54	1.6	24	447	144	303	3.6	49%	51%	35%	45%	18%	.23
SDSU Defense	14	19.8	22.8	35.8%	3.46	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	33%	38%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	14	24.4	20.7	42.7%	3.32	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	44%	20%	.17
SDSU Offense	14	27.4	27.9	39.7%	3.57	1	19	343	175	168	4.3	56%	43%	40%	39%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	14	29:16	23.7	44%	53%	6.2	55.6	1.6	1.9	7.6	2.3	2	28.9
San Diego State	14	32:04	18.6	32%	63%	7.4	67.9	1	1.9	6.8	2.9	5	30.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	14	49%	35%	40.3	143.8	3.6	13		2.72	60%	11%	1.03
SDSU Defense	14	39%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.61	65%	12%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.71	61%	14%	1.04
SDSU Offense	14	56%	40%	40.8	174.9	4.3	26	.17	3	76%	10%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	14	51%	45%	21.6	36	303.4	8.4	14	41	15	.47	1.8	34%	33%	.41	7%	2.2
SDSU Defense	14	61%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.18	1.5	36%	26%	.19	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	14	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.5	34%	29%	.35	6%	2.2
SDSU Offense	14	43%	39%	14.9	25.8	167.9	6.5	11.3	16	5	.17	1.4	33%	28%	.24	5%	1.9

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: San Diego State: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 0.1 San Diego State: 8.3

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.1
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 28
San Diego State 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 27
San Diego State 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 28
San Diego State 25

Total Points: 53

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Utah State	41	San Diego State	20	Utah State -5	Utah State	60.0	Over
2023	11/04	San Diego State	24	Utah State	32	Utah State -2.0	Utah State	56.5	Under
2021	12/04	San Diego State	13	Utah State	46	San Diego State -6.5	Utah State	49.5	Over
2020	10/31	Utah State	7	San Diego State	38	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	0
2019	09/21	San Diego State	17	Utah State	23	Utah State -4	Utah State	53.0	Under
2016	10/28	Utah State	13	San Diego State	40	San Diego State -3	San Diego State	45.0	Over
2015	10/23	San Diego State	48	Utah State	14	Utah State -5	San Diego State	44.5	Over
2010	09/25	San Diego State	41	Utah State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	4	3	4 Overs
Utah State	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 1	1 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1

(#) USU at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#34
OffenseOff	#72	#54
DefenseDef	#100	#21
Spec TeamsST	#71	#18
TalentTal	#107	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#54	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#100	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#16	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in StubHub Center
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 14
San Diego State -6.5 (49.5)
Utah State won at San Diego State this year (46-13)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat San Diego State last year (41-20)
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2023 (32-24)

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD