Utah State at UNLV - 2021 Matchup Preview
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Utah State Aggies at UNLV Rebels

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Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -7.5 (64.0)
Utah State 28 - UNLV: 24  (Mountain West)

 
Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU coming off BYE
UNLV coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ USU -14)
Projected Score: USU: 29 - UNLV: 34 (63)
USU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 2154 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Utah State at Washington State+17.566.5W 26 - 23UY
Fri 9/10 Utah State vs North Dakota-6.553.5W 48 - 24OY
Sat 9/18 Utah State at Air Force+9.054.0W 49 - 45OY
Sat 9/25 Utah State vs Boise State+9.569.5L 3 - 27UN
Fri 10/1 Utah State vs BYU+9.066.0L 20 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Utah State at UNLV-7.564.0W 28 - 24UN
Fri 10/22 Utah State vs Colorado State+3.058.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 10/30 Utah State vs Hawai'i-3.566.0W 51 - 31OY
Sat 11/6 Utah State at New Mexico State-18.072.0W 35 - 13UY
Sat 11/13 Utah State at San José State+4.558.0W 48 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Utah State vs Wyoming-6.052.0L 17 - 44ON
Fri 11/26 Utah State at New Mexico-17.048.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 12/4 Utah State at San Diego State+6.549.5W 46 - 13OY
Sat 12/18 Utah State vs Oregon State+7.068.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
UNLV's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UNLV vs Eastern Washington+2.066.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 9/11 UNLV at Arizona State+34.555.5L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/18 UNLV vs Iowa State+32.053.0L 3 - 48UN
Fri 9/24 UNLV at Fresno State+30.059.0L 30 - 38OY
Sat 10/2 UNLV at UTSA+21.555.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 UNLV vs Utah State+7.564.0L 24 - 28UY
Thu 10/21 UNLV vs San José State+6.044.0L 20 - 27ON
Fri 10/29 UNLV at Nevada+19.058.0L 20 - 51ON
Sat 11/6 UNLV at New Mexico+1.545.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/13 UNLV vs Hawai'i+3.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Fri 11/19 UNLV vs San Diego State+11.041.0L 20 - 28OY
Fri 11/26 UNLV at Air Force+18.549.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.0234%30.938%2.7714028%1362.83.3250%28.751%50%3.9747.31.50.7
UNLV.1138%34.143%3.0614033%1863.04.3448%2854%41%4.13541.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense630.925.233.5%2.831.5142761401364.453%47%38%28%16%.02
UNLV Defense62829.747.9%4.130.8 - - - - - 54%46%54%41%13%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense628.73750.5%3.970.7 - - - - - 50%49%51%50%13%.32
UNLV Offense634.136.837.7%3.041.5193261401863.846%54%43%33%22%.11

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State625:1013.738%50%5.347.31.50.76.32.7128.6
UNLV629:1618.737%67%6.5541.50.85.22.3026
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense653%38%321404.44.052.7781%10%1.08
UNLV Defense654%54% - - - - .413.5672%9%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense650%51% - - - - .263.3674%10%0.95
UNLV Offense646%43%37.2140.23.87.163.0690%15%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense647%28%14.828.2135.84.89.264-.021.635%20%.16%2
UNLV Defense646%41% - - - - - - 2.251.630%34%.454%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense649%50% - - - - - - 2.41.525%37%.564%2.1
UNLV Offense654%33%19.232.7185.85.79.764.061.436%28%.277%2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1  #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    UNLV: -4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 0.1   UNLV: -13.8




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -4.4 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8  #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 34
Utah State 29

Projected Total Points: 63
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15UNLV29Utah State26UNLV -4.5Utah State68.5Under
202410/11Utah State34UNLV50UNLV -19Utah State67.5Over
202209/24Utah State24UNLV34UNLV -3UNLV61.5Under
202110/16UNLV24Utah State28Utah State -7.5UNLV64.0Under
201810/13Utah State59UNLV28Utah State -27Utah State65.0Over
201710/21UNLV28Utah State52UNLV -3.5Utah State60.5Over
201410/25Utah State34UNLV20Utah State -18UNLV0
201311/09UNLV24Utah State28Utah State -13UNLV0
201209/29Utah State35UNLV13
200808/30UNLV27Utah State17
200708/30Utah State16UNLV23
200509/24Utah State31UNLV24
200409/25UNLV21Utah State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV543 Overs
Utah State843 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 74 - 41 - 33 - 1
Road Teams7 - 64 - 41 - 33 - 1

(#) USU at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #116
Perf GradeGrade #89 #107
OffenseOff #72 #109
DefenseDef #100 #93
Spec TeamsST #71 #34
TalentTal #107 #108
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #113 #70
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #107
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #46 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #94
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #100
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUSU Def
Run GameRun #110 #94
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffUSU Def
Pass GamePass #112 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #123 #54
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Utah State 7.5 (64.0)
Utah State won at UNLV this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Utah State last year (29-26)
UNLV beat Utah State in 2024 (50-34)

  
USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD