North Texas at SMU - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -22.5 (75.5)
SMU 35 - North Texas: 12

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ SMU -15)
Projected Score: UNT: 32 - SMU: 31 (63)
SMU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
UNT Travel: 33 miles

Mustangs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

SMU's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	SMU vs Abilene Christian	-32.0	66.0	W 56 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/11	SMU vs North Texas	-22.5	75.5	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/18	SMU at Louisiana Tech	-11.0	65.0	W 39 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/25	SMU at TCU	+8.0	66.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	SMU vs South Florida	-21.5	68.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/9	SMU at Navy	-13.5	57.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	SMU vs Tulane	-14.0	70.5	W 55 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/30	SMU at Houston	-1.0	61.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/6	SMU at Memphis	-3.5	72.0	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	SMU vs UCF	-7.0	61.5	W 55 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/20	SMU at Cincinnati	+9.5	65.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/27	SMU vs Tulsa	-6.0	63.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
Wed 12/29	SMU vs Virginia	+2.5	71.0

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
SMU	.26	45%	32.2	46%	3.03	178	44%	318	3.75	.24	43%	20.5	43%	43%	4.68	61.7	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	45.1	43.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
SMU Defense	10	20.5	19.2	43%	4.68	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	43%	43%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	26.5	28.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
SMU Offense	10	32.2	36	45.3%	3.75	1.2	25	496	178	318	4.7	46%	54%	46%	44%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
SMU	10	29:22	25	47%	41%	6.9	61.7	1.2	1.6	7.5	2.5	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
SMU Defense	10	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.9	67%	12%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
SMU Offense	10	46%	46%	37.6	177.8	4.7	24	.14	3.03	83%	9%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
SMU Defense	10	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.7	34%	36%	.41	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
SMU Offense	10	54%	44%	24.6	37.6	318	8.5	12.9	23	6	.36	1.7	33%	37%	.49	6%	2.3

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: SMU: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.5 SMU: 8.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2021 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 32
SMU 31

Projected Total Points: 63

SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/10	SMU	45	North Texas	21	SMU -21.5	SMU	67.5	Under
2022	09/03	North Texas	10	SMU	48	SMU -9.5	SMU	67.5	Under
2021	09/11	SMU	35	North Texas	12	SMU -22.5	SMU	75.5	Under
2020	09/19	North Texas	35	SMU	65	SMU -15	SMU	71.5	Over
2019	09/07	SMU	49	North Texas	27	SMU -3.5	SMU	72.5	Over
2018	09/01	North Texas	46	SMU	23	North Texas -3.5	North Texas	70.5	Under
2017	09/09	SMU	54	North Texas	32	SMU -13	SMU	64.5	Over
2016	09/03	North Texas	21	SMU	34	SMU -12	SMU	68.0	Under
2015	09/12	SMU	31	North Texas	13	SMU -6	SMU	60.0	Under
2014	09/06	North Texas	43	SMU	6	North Texas -4	North Texas	0
2007	09/08	SMU	45	North Texas	31
2006	09/09	North Texas	24	SMU	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	9	8	3 Overs
North Texas	3	2	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 3	7 - 3	7 - 0	0 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 9	3 - 7	3 - 0	0 - 7

(#) UNT at (#) SMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	SMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#40
OffenseOff	#104	#43
DefenseDef	#36	#73
Spec TeamsST	#25	#15
TalentTal	#79	#63
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

SMU Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	SMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#73
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	#32	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#98

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#129
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#15
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

SMU on Offense


CategoryCat	SMU Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

SMU Run Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#34	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

SMU Pass Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
SMU -22.5 (75.5)
SMU won vs North Texas this year (35-12)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat North Texas in 2023 (45-21)

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SMU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Jim Leavitt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD