SMU at Louisiana Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
SMU -11 (65.0)
SMU 39 - Louisiana Tech: 37

 
Mustangs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 38 - 28 (31 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ SMU -20.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 36 - LT: 33 (69)
SMU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 241 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 28 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 SMU vs Abilene Christian-32.066.0W 56 - 9UY
Sat 9/11 SMU vs North Texas-22.575.5W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/18 SMU at Louisiana Tech-11.065.0W 39 - 37ON
Sat 9/25 SMU at TCU+8.066.0W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 SMU vs South Florida-21.568.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 SMU at Navy-13.557.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 SMU vs Tulane-14.070.5W 55 - 26OY
Sat 10/30 SMU at Houston-1.061.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 11/6 SMU at Memphis-3.572.0L 25 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 SMU vs UCF-7.061.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/20 SMU at Cincinnati+9.565.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/27 SMU vs Tulsa-6.063.0L 31 - 34ON
Wed 12/29 SMU vs Virginia+2.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State+20.552.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 9/11 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-11.570.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 Louisiana Tech vs SMU+11.065.0L 37 - 39OY
Sat 9/25 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-9.565.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/2 Louisiana Tech at NC State+18.556.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-6.555.5L 3 - 19UN
Sat 10/23 Louisiana Tech vs UTSA+5.559.5L 16 - 45ON
Sat 10/30 Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion-4.052.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 11/6 Louisiana Tech at UAB+14.049.5L 38 - 52OY
Sat 11/13 Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte-7.058.0W 42 - 32OY
Fri 11/19 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-15.047.5L 19 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Louisiana Tech at Rice-3.552.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.3548%38.448%3.116148%3054.41.2639%28.434%45%4.2152.31.51.3
LT.1841%2838%2.9212245%2633.7.2646%3445%47%4.3352.11.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1238.431.347.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35
LT Defense12343545.9%4.332 - - - - - 45%55%45%47%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1228.435.839.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
LT Offense122830.541.3%3.71.9213851222633.547%52%38%45%18%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
Louisiana Tech1228:1620.839%44%6.852.11.925.41.7230.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91
LT Defense1245%45% - - - - .243.3478%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
LT Offense1247%38%34.7122.23.516.052.9271%10%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2
LT Defense1255%47% - - - - - - 9.291.431%33%.435%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
LT Offense1252%45%20.734.3262.67.712.72216.331.630%34%.367%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2021 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Louisiana Tech: -3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 8.9   Louisiana Tech: -11.6




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -3.3 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

SMU's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 36
Louisiana Tech 33

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 38
Louisiana Tech 36

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
SMU 35
Louisiana Tech 31

Total Points: 66
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02SMU38Louisiana Tech14SMU -21SMU66.0Under
202109/18Louisiana Tech37SMU39SMU -11Louisiana Tech65.0Over
201712/20SMU10Louisiana Tech51SMU -4Louisiana Tech70.5Under
200410/16SMU10Louisiana Tech41
200311/08Louisiana Tech41SMU6
200210/19SMU37Louisiana Tech34
200109/01Louisiana Tech36SMU6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech421 Overs
SMU312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams3 - 41 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMULT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #109
Perf GradeGrade #40 #102
OffenseOff #43 #102
DefenseDef #73 #89
Spec TeamsST #15 #74
TalentTal #63 #75
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffLT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #89
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffLT Def
Run GameRun #34 #82
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #115
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #18 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #87
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCatLT OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #102 #73
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #91 #23
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatLT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #128 #15
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84°
Rematch from Week 3
SMU 11.0 (65.0)
SMU won at Louisiana Tech this year (39-37)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (38-14)

  
SMU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Jim Leavitt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD