SMU at Memphis - 2021 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Memphis Tigers(#25)Memphis logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
SMU -3.5 (72.0)
Memphis 28 - SMU: 25  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 38 - 28 (31 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
MEM coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ SMU -8)
Projected Score: SMU: 30 - MEM: 31 (61)
SMU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 421 miles
Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (11 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (32 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 SMU vs Abilene Christian-32.066.0W 56 - 9UY
Sat 9/11 SMU vs North Texas-22.575.5W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/18 SMU at Louisiana Tech-11.065.0W 39 - 37ON
Sat 9/25 SMU at TCU+8.066.0W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 SMU vs South Florida-21.568.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 SMU at Navy-13.557.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 SMU vs Tulane-14.070.5W 55 - 26OY
Sat 10/30 SMU at Houston-1.061.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 11/6 SMU at Memphis-3.572.0L 25 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 SMU vs UCF-7.061.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/20 SMU at Cincinnati+9.565.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/27 SMU vs Tulsa-6.063.0L 31 - 34ON
Wed 12/29 SMU vs Virginia+2.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Memphis's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Memphis vs Nicholls-22.568.0W 42 - 17UY
Sat 9/11 Memphis at Arkansas State-5.565.0W 55 - 50ON
Sat 9/18 Memphis vs Mississippi State+3.063.0W 31 - 29UY
Sat 9/25 Memphis vs UTSA-3.066.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 10/2 Memphis at Temple-11.058.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 Memphis at Tulsa+3.060.5L 29 - 35ON
Thu 10/14 Memphis vs Navy-11.055.5W 35 - 17UY
Fri 10/22 Memphis at UCF+1.563.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Memphis vs SMU+3.572.0W 28 - 25UY
Sat 11/13 Memphis vs East Carolina-4.058.5L 29 - 30ON
Fri 11/19 Memphis at Houston+9.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/27 Memphis vs Tulane-5.558.0W 33 - 28ON
Fri 12/24 Memphis at Hawai'i-10.056.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.3548%38.448%3.116148%3054.41.2639%28.434%45%4.2152.31.51.3
MEM.2542%30.142%2.9413742%2993.65.2243%29.344%43%3.8239.61.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1238.431.347.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35
MEM Defense1229.325.343.4%3.821.7 - - - - - 50%50%44%43%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1228.435.839.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
MEM Offense1230.132.342.2%3.651.623436137299444%56%42%42%17%.25

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
Memphis1226:4222.541%58%4.839.61.61.75.72.3128.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91
MEM Defense1250%44% - - - - .183.2673%9%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
MEM Offense1244%42%34.7137.1418.142.9477%10%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2
MEM Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 9.271.528%35%.467%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
MEM Offense1256%42%22.337.1298.88.113.42611.331.735%33%.468%2.3

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2021 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Memphis: 3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 8.9   Memphis: 1.0




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 3 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2021 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #74
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

SMU's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 31
SMU 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 31
SMU 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 32
SMU 31

Total Points: 63
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Memphis's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Memphis34SMU38SMU -9.5Memphis64.5Over
202211/26SMU34Memphis31SMU -4.5Memphis69.0Under
202111/06Memphis28SMU25SMU -3.5Memphis72.0Under
202010/03SMU30Memphis27SMU -1.5SMU75.0Under
201911/02Memphis54SMU48Memphis -6.5SMU71.0Over
201811/16SMU18Memphis28Memphis -7.5Memphis74.5Under
201711/18Memphis66SMU45Memphis -10.5Memphis71.5Over
201611/05SMU7Memphis51Memphis -6.5Memphis65.0Under
201511/28Memphis63SMU0Memphis -24.5Memphis70.0Under
201410/25SMU10Memphis48Memphis -24Memphis0
201310/19Memphis29SMU34Memphis -1SMU0
201210/27SMU44Memphis13
201109/24Memphis0SMU42
200811/08SMU26Memphis31
200711/24Memphis55SMU52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis983 Overs
SMU636 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 75 - 63 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 86 - 53 - 23 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #74
Perf GradeGrade #40 #74
OffenseOff #43 #81
DefenseDef #73 #45
Spec TeamsST #15 #76
TalentTal #63 #65
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #45
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffMEM Def
Run GameRun #34 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffMEM Def
Pass GamePass #18 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #73
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #94 #23
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #90 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #15
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 10
SMU 3.5 (72.0)
Memphis won vs SMU this year (28-25)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Memphis in 2023 (38-34)
SMU beat Memphis in 2022 (34-31)

  
SMU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Jim Leavitt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MEM's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD