Tulsa at SMU - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
SMU -6 (63.0)
Tulsa 34 - SMU: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (31 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ SMU -3)
Projected Score: TLSA: 21 - SMU: 32 (53)
SMU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TLSA Travel: 234 miles
Mustangs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tulsa vs UC Davis-22.054.5L 17 - 19UN
Sat 9/11 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+11.551.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Tulsa at Ohio State+24.560.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Tulsa vs Arkansas State-14.565.0W 41 - 34ON
Fri 10/1 Tulsa vs Houston-3.054.0L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Tulsa vs Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 29OY
Sat 10/16 Tulsa at South Florida-7.556.0W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/29 Tulsa vs Navy-11.046.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/6 Tulsa at Cincinnati+22.556.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/13 Tulsa at Tulane-3.055.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/20 Tulsa vs Temple-22.050.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/27 Tulsa at SMU+6.063.0W 34 - 31OY
Mon 12/20 Tulsa vs Old Dominion-7.555.0W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
SMU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 SMU vs Abilene Christian-32.066.0W 56 - 9UY
Sat 9/11 SMU vs North Texas-22.575.5W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/18 SMU at Louisiana Tech-11.065.0W 39 - 37ON
Sat 9/25 SMU at TCU+8.066.0W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 SMU vs South Florida-21.568.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 SMU at Navy-13.557.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 SMU vs Tulane-14.070.5W 55 - 26OY
Sat 10/30 SMU at Houston-1.061.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 11/6 SMU at Memphis-3.572.0L 25 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 SMU vs UCF-7.061.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/20 SMU at Cincinnati+9.565.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/27 SMU vs Tulsa-6.063.0L 31 - 34ON
Wed 12/29 SMU vs Virginia+2.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1241%23.242%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%28.936%36%2.7781.821.8
SMU.2645%32.246%3.0317844%3183.75.2443%20.543%43%4.6861.71.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense923.21940.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12
SMU Defense1020.519.243%4.681.6 - - - - - 53%47%43%43%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense928.930.736%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
SMU Offense1032.23645.3%3.751.2254961783184.746%54%46%44%14%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
SMU1029:222547%41%6.961.71.21.67.52.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89
SMU Defense1053%43% - - - - .172.967%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
SMU Offense1046%46%37.6177.84.724.143.0383%9%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2
SMU Defense1047%43% - - - - - - 7.311.734%36%.416%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
SMU Offense1054%44%24.637.63188.512.9236.361.733%37%.496%2.3

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #61
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #67
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    SMU: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 5.8   SMU: 8.9




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2021 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 32
Tulsa 21

Projected Total Points: 53
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU1135 Overs
Tulsa1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSASMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #44
Perf GradeGrade #47 #40
OffenseOff #63 #43
DefenseDef #23 #73
Spec TeamsST #136 #15
TalentTal #84 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #73
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #63 #23
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #65 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #40 #15
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #23
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #34 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #18 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #28
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
SMU -6.0 (63.0)
Tulsa won at SMU this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)

  
TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Jim Leavitt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD