Bowling Green at Miami (OH) - 2021 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo   Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Tuesday, November 16th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -17 (52.0)
Miami (OH) 34 - Bowling Green: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ M-OH -14)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - M-OH: 27 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BGSU Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Bowling Green at Tennessee+37.060.5L 6 - 38UY
Sat 9/11 Bowling Green vs South Alabama+14.548.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/18 Bowling Green vs Murray State+2.544.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/25 Bowling Green at Minnesota+30.552.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Bowling Green at Kent State+16.556.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/9 Bowling Green vs Akron-14.046.0L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/16 Bowling Green at Northern Illinois+9.044.5L 26 - 34OY
Sat 10/23 Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan+4.549.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 10/30 Bowling Green at Buffalo+13.551.5W 56 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10 Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.550.0L 17 - 49ON
Tue 11/16 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+17.052.0L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/26 Bowling Green vs Ohio+6.048.0W 21 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+22.549.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Miami (OH) at Minnesota+18.555.0L 26 - 31OY
Sat 9/18 Miami (OH) vs Long Island University-39.555.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/25 Miami (OH) at Army+7.549.0L 10 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+2.556.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-2.558.0L 12 - 13UN
Sat 10/16 Miami (OH) vs Akron-20.051.0W 34 - 21ON
Sat 10/23 Miami (OH) at Ball State+3.553.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Miami (OH) at Ohio-7.054.5L 33 - 35ON
Tue 11/9 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.058.0W 45 - 18OY
Tue 11/16 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-17.052.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Miami (OH) at Kent State-1.068.0L 47 - 48ON
Thu 12/23 Miami (OH) vs North Texas-2.056.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU-.0336%20.542%3.0218430%1421.67.3848%24.350%44%4.8243.22.20.2
M-OH.2540%23.534%2.6812745%2383.6.2345%21.740%49%3.8860.70.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense520.52436%1.672.2163261841424.953%47%42%30%19%-.03
M-OH Defense321.722.744.8%3.881 - - - - - 44%56%40%49%20%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense524.32948.2%4.820.2 - - - - - 64%36%50%44%16%.38
M-OH Offense323.532.339.6%3.60.7193651272383.844%56%34%45%18%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green526:2415.626%21%643.22.20.26.81.4028.8
Miami (OH)328:4318.740%67%660.70.716.74.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense553%42%37.81844.95-3.0285%10%0.66
M-OH Defense344%40% - - - - .113.1464%12%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense564%50% - - - - .43.7275%12%1.27
M-OH Offense344%34%33.31273.82.032.68100%10%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense547%30%10.825142.45.713.217-.071.636%17%-.148%2.2
M-OH Defense356%49% - - - - - - 2.341.728%43%.488%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense536%44% - - - - - - 0.331.730%45%.693%1.9
M-OH Offense356%45%15.728.3238.38.415.281.431.838%29%.378%2.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4  #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Miami (OH): 3.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.4   Miami (OH): 1.5




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 3.25 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 27
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Bowling Green12Miami (OH)28Bowling Green -3Miami (OH)37.5Over
202310/07Miami (OH)27Bowling Green0Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202210/15Bowling Green17Miami (OH)13Miami (OH) -7Bowling Green45.0Under
202111/16Miami (OH)34Bowling Green7Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)52.0Under
201911/13Miami (OH)44Bowling Green3Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)48.0Under
201809/22Bowling Green23Miami (OH)38Miami (OH) -6.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201710/07Miami (OH)29Bowling Green37Miami (OH) -16.5Bowling Green50.5Over
201610/22Bowling Green26Miami (OH)40Bowling Green -3.5Miami (OH)52.0Over
201311/05Miami (OH)3Bowling Green45Bowling Green -24.5Bowling Green0
201210/13Bowling Green37Miami (OH)12
201109/24Miami (OH)23Bowling Green37
201011/10Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24
200911/12Miami (OH)14Bowling Green35
200810/18Bowling Green20Miami (OH)27
200710/13Miami (OH)47Bowling Green14
200611/15Bowling Green7Miami (OH)9
200511/15Miami (OH)14Bowling Green42
200312/04Bowling Green27Miami (OH)49
200311/04Miami (OH)33Bowling Green10
200111/03Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24
200010/13Miami (OH)24Bowling Green10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1464 Overs
Bowling Green734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 134 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams13 - 85 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#) BGSU at (#) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #73
Perf GradeGrade #121 #58
OffenseOff #131 #55
DefenseDef #85 #50
Spec TeamsST #90 #130
TalentTal #110 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #70 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #110 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #128 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #55 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #92 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #29 #95
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Miami (OH) -17.0 (52.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Bowling Green this year (34-7)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2024 (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)

  
BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD