Bowling Green at Northern Illinois - 2021 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -9 (44.5)
Northern Illinois 34 - Bowling Green: 26 (Mid-American)

Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (22 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 20.5 MPH
NIU is playing their 7th straight game
BGSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ NIU -5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 24 - NIU: 28 (52)
NIU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 269 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (9 - 5) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Thomas Hammock (6 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (33 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Bowling Green at Tennessee	+37.0	60.5	L 6 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Bowling Green vs South Alabama	+14.5	48.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Bowling Green vs Murray State	+2.5	44.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Bowling Green at Minnesota	+30.5	52.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Bowling Green at Kent State	+16.5	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Bowling Green vs Akron	-14.0	46.0	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+9.0	44.5	L 26 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	+4.5	49.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/30	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+13.5	51.5	W 56 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	50.0	L 17 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/16	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Fri 11/26	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+6.0	48.0	W 21 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Northern Illinois at Georgia Tech	+19.0	57.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Northern Illinois vs Wyoming	+7.0	44.0	L 43 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Northern Illinois at Michigan	+27.5	54.5	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/25	Northern Illinois vs Maine	-21.5	62.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	+0.0	62.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Northern Illinois at Toledo	+13.0	51.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green	-9.0	44.5	W 34 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/23	Northern Illinois at Central Michigan	+6.0	56.0	W 39 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3	Northern Illinois at Kent State	+3.5	72.0	L 47 - 52	O	N
Wed 11/10	Northern Illinois vs Ball State	+3.0	59.5	W 30 - 29	U	Y
Wed 11/17	Northern Illinois at Buffalo	-2.0	59.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Tue 11/23	Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan	+6.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/4	Northern Illinois vs Kent State	+3.5	75.5	W 41 - 23	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Northern Illinois vs Coastal Carolina	+11.0	63.0	L 41 - 47	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.08	36%	21.4	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	30.7	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5
NIU	.31	47%	32.2	49%	3.44	242	44%	187	4.18	.35	49%	33.7	53%	45%	4.37	45.3	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	21.4	21.5	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08
NIU Defense	14	33.7	30.2	49%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	53%	45%	13%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	30.7	31.2	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17
NIU Offense	14	32.2	32.7	46.7%	4.18	1.3	23	429	242	187	5.2	63%	36%	49%	44%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4
Northern Illinois	14	33:30	22.9	37%	84%	5	45.3	1.3	0.9	4.4	1.4	3	29.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01
NIU Defense	14	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.65	78%	9%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88
NIU Offense	14	63%	49%	46.4	241.5	5.2	36	.29	3.44	77%	10%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1
NIU Defense	14	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.7	30%	37%	.49	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2
NIU Offense	14	36%	44%	14.6	25.4	187.4	7.4	12.8	15	8	.38	1.6	31%	34%	.44	4%	2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Northern Illinois: -1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.4 Northern Illinois: -7.1

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.05 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #98
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #62
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 30.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 28
Bowling Green 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Northern Illinois 25
Bowling Green 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Northern Illinois 32
Bowling Green 27

Total Points: 59

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

Northern Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Bowling Green	7	Northern Illinois	17	Bowling Green -3	Northern Illinois	46.5	Under
2021	10/16	Northern Illinois	34	Bowling Green	26	Northern Illinois -9	Bowling Green	44.5	Over
2017	10/21	Bowling Green	17	Northern Illinois	48	Northern Illinois -14.5	Northern Illinois	56.5	Over
2016	11/01	Northern Illinois	45	Bowling Green	20	Northern Illinois -17	Northern Illinois	72.0	Under
2015	12/04	Northern Illinois	14	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green -8	Bowling Green	69.0	Under
2014	12/05	Bowling Green	17	Northern Illinois	51	Northern Illinois -2.5	Northern Illinois	0
2013	12/06	Northern Illinois	27	Bowling Green	47	Northern Illinois -3	Bowling Green	0
2011	11/08	Bowling Green	14	Northern Illinois	45
2008	10/25	Northern Illinois	16	Bowling Green	13
2004	09/24	Northern Illinois	34	Bowling Green	17
2003	10/25	Bowling Green	34	Northern Illinois	18
2002	11/09	Northern Illinois	26	Bowling Green	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	9	4	2 Overs
Bowling Green	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	1 - 6	1 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	6 - 1	3 - 0	3 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) NIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	NIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#98
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#105
OffenseOff	#131	#51
DefenseDef	#85	#128
Spec TeamsST	#90	#78
TalentTal	#110	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#128
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#70	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#72

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#127
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#25	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#43

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#68	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 21 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Northern Illinois -9.0 (44.5)
Northern Illinois won vs Bowling Green this year (34-26)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Bowling Green last year (17-7)

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Derrick Jackson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD