Murray State at Bowling Green - 2021 Matchup Preview
Murray State logo   Murray State Racers at Bowling Green Falcons  Bowling Green logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (5:00 PM EDT)
Murray State -2.5 (44.0)
Bowling Green 27 - Murray State: 10

 
Racers (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 41 (16 - 41 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MURR 2nd straight Road Game
BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ BGSU -12)
MURR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Murray State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/11 Murray State at Cincinnati+36.551.5L 7 - 42UY
Sat 9/18 Murray State at Bowling Green-2.544.0L 10 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Bowling Green at Tennessee+37.060.5L 6 - 38UY
Sat 9/11 Bowling Green vs South Alabama+14.548.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/18 Bowling Green vs Murray State+2.544.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/25 Bowling Green at Minnesota+30.552.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Bowling Green at Kent State+16.556.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/9 Bowling Green vs Akron-14.046.0L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/16 Bowling Green at Northern Illinois+9.044.5L 26 - 34OY
Sat 10/23 Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan+4.549.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 10/30 Bowling Green at Buffalo+13.551.5W 56 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10 Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.550.0L 17 - 49ON
Tue 11/16 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+17.052.0L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/26 Bowling Green vs Ohio+6.048.0W 21 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%15.50%000%000%410%0%0000
BGSU-.0336%20.542%3.0218430%1421.67.3848%24.350%44%4.8243.22.20.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Offense015.515.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BGSU Defense524.319.548.2%4.820.2 - - - - - 64%36%50%44%16%.38
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Defense041410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BGSU Offense520.51736%1.672.2163261841424.953%47%42%30%19%-.03

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Murray State00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Bowling Green526:2415.626%21%643.22.20.26.81.4028.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Offense00%0%000000%0%0
BGSU Defense564%50% - - - - .43.7275%12%1.27
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BGSU Offense553%42%37.81844.95-3.0285%10%0.66

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
BGSU Defense536%44% - - - - - - 0.331.730%45%.693%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BGSU Offense547%30%10.825142.45.713.217-.071.636%17%-.148%2.2

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #156
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Bowling Green: -3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Bowling Green: -12.4




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.7 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4  #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Murray State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Murray State's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Murray State 19

Projected Total Points: 49
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Bowling Green27Murray State10Murray State -2.5Bowling Green44.0Under
201309/21Bowling Green48Murray State7Bowling Green -28Bowling Green0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green220 Overs
Murray State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) MURR at (#) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMURRBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #112
Perf GradeGradeNR #121
OffenseOffNR #131
DefenseDefNR #85
Spec TeamsSTNR #90
TalentTal #156 #110
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Murray State on Offense
CategoryCat
MURR OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Murray State Run Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNR #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Murray State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #95
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffMURR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMURR Def
Run GameRun #70NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffMURR Def
Pass GamePass #110NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #128NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Murray State 2.5 (44.0)
Bowling Green won vs Murray State this year (27-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MURR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD