Ohio at Bowling Green - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 26th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio -6 (48.0)
Bowling Green 21 - Ohio: 10 (Mid-American)

Bobcats (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ OHIO -1)
Projected Score: OHIO: 23 - BGSU: 21 (44)
OHIO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
OHIO Travel: 163 miles

Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Ohio vs Syracuse	-2.0	55.5	L 9 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ohio vs Duquesne	-28.5	49.0	L 26 - 28	O	N
Thu 9/16	Ohio at Louisiana	+18.5	56.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ohio at Northwestern	+13.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ohio at Akron	-10.0	55.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ohio vs Central Michigan	+5.0	58.0	L 27 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Ohio at Buffalo	+7.5	54.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ohio vs Kent State	+5.0	68.5	L 27 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	54.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Ohio at Eastern Michigan	+6.0	61.5	W 34 - 26	U	Y
Tue 11/16	Ohio vs Toledo	+7.5	57.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/26	Ohio at Bowling Green	-6.0	48.0	L 10 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Bowling Green at Tennessee	+37.0	60.5	L 6 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Bowling Green vs South Alabama	+14.5	48.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Bowling Green vs Murray State	+2.5	44.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Bowling Green at Minnesota	+30.5	52.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Bowling Green at Kent State	+16.5	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Bowling Green vs Akron	-14.0	46.0	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+9.0	44.5	L 26 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	+4.5	49.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/30	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+13.5	51.5	W 56 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	50.0	L 17 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/16	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Fri 11/26	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+6.0	48.0	W 21 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	.24	43%	27.8	45%	3.25	217	40%	149	3.63	.14	42%	21.9	45%	38%	2.44	49.3	0.7	2
BGSU	-.03	36%	20.5	42%	3.02	184	30%	142	1.67	.38	48%	24.3	50%	44%	4.82	43.2	2.2	0.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	3	27.8	21	43.3%	3.63	0.7	17	365	217	149	5.6	60%	40%	45%	40%	10%	.24
BGSU Defense	5	24.3	19.5	48.2%	4.82	0.2	-	-	-	-	-	64%	36%	50%	44%	16%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	3	21.9	25.8	41.9%	2.44	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	38%	10%	.14
BGSU Offense	5	20.5	17	36%	1.67	2.2	16	326	184	142	4.9	53%	47%	42%	30%	19%	-.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	3	29:13	17.3	38%	0%	7	49.3	0.7	2	3.7	1.3	2	36.9
Bowling Green	5	26:24	15.6	26%	21%	6	43.2	2.2	0.2	6.8	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	3	60%	45%	39	216.7	5.6	8	.28	3.25	63%	9%	1.28
BGSU Defense	5	64%	50%	-	-	-	-	.4	3.72	75%	12%	1.27

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	3	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.21	68%	6%	0.92
BGSU Offense	5	53%	42%	37.8	184	4.9	5	-	3.02	85%	10%	0.66

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	3	40%	40%	12	18	148.7	8.3	12.4	4	0	.19	1.6	31%	36%	.33	2%	1.9
BGSU Defense	5	36%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.33	1.7	30%	45%	.69	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	3	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.14	1.5	31%	30%	.17	5%	1.7
BGSU Offense	5	47%	30%	10.8	25	142.4	5.7	13.2	1	7	-.07	1.6	36%	17%	-.14	8%	2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #89
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: Bowling Green: -3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -11.6 Bowling Green: -12.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.7 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 23
Bowling Green 21

Projected Total Points: 44

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ohio	35	Bowling Green	20	Ohio -7.5	Ohio	49.5	Over
2023	09/23	Bowling Green	7	Ohio	38	Ohio -13	Ohio	45.0	Push
2022	11/22	Ohio	38	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -5.5	Ohio	52.5	Under
2021	11/26	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	10	Ohio -6	Bowling Green	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Ohio	52	Bowling Green	10	Ohio -22.5	Ohio	55.0	Over
2019	11/19	Bowling Green	24	Ohio	66	Ohio -21	Ohio	55.5	Over
2018	10/20	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -16.5	Ohio	67.0	Under
2017	10/14	Bowling Green	30	Ohio	48	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	62.0	Over
2016	10/08	Ohio	30	Bowling Green	24	Ohio -15.5	Bowling Green	60.0	Under
2015	11/04	Bowling Green	62	Ohio	24	Bowling Green -13.5	Bowling Green	66.0	Over
2014	10/11	Ohio	13	Bowling Green	31	Ohio -2	Bowling Green	0
2013	11/12	Bowling Green	49	Ohio	0	Bowling Green -9	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/07	Ohio	14	Bowling Green	26
2011	11/16	Bowling Green	28	Ohio	29
2010	10/09	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	25
2009	10/03	Bowling Green	37	Ohio	44
2008	11/08	Ohio	3	Bowling Green	28
2007	10/27	Bowling Green	27	Ohio	38
2006	09/30	Ohio	9	Bowling Green	21
2005	10/08	Bowling Green	38	Ohio	14
2004	10/23	Ohio	16	Bowling Green	41
2002	10/05	Bowling Green	72	Ohio	21
2001	11/10	Ohio	0	Bowling Green	17
2000	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	11	5	5 Overs
Ohio	13	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	7 - 5	6 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 11	5 - 7	3 - 1	2 - 6

(#) OHIO at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#109	#121
OffenseOff	#86	#131
DefenseDef	#105	#85
Spec TeamsST	#110	#90
TalentTal	#117	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#72	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#43

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#70	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#131

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Ohio 6.0 (48.0)
Bowling Green won vs Ohio this year (21-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green last year (35-20)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)

OHIO's OC Scott Ishpording (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Pete Germano (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD