Akron at Bowling Green - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -14 (46.0)
Akron 35 - Bowling Green: 20 (Mid-American)

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tom Arth (2 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
AKR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ BGSU -11)
Projected Score: AKR: 21 - BGSU: 25 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
AKR Travel: 112 miles

Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Akron at Auburn	+37.5	56.5	L 10 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/11	Akron vs Temple	+6.5	51.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/18	Akron vs Bryant	-14.0	49.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Akron at Ohio State	+48.5	66.5	L 7 - 59	U	N
Sat 10/2	Akron vs Ohio	+10.0	55.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/9	Akron at Bowling Green	+14.0	46.0	W 35 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Akron at Miami (OH)	+20.0	51.0	L 21 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Akron vs Buffalo	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Akron vs Ball State	+20.0	58.0	L 25 - 31	U	Y
Tue 11/9	Akron at Western Michigan	+24.5	62.0	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Akron vs Kent State	+13.5	72.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Akron at Toledo	+28.5	57.5	L 14 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Bowling Green at Tennessee	+37.0	60.5	L 6 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Bowling Green vs South Alabama	+14.5	48.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Bowling Green vs Murray State	+2.5	44.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Bowling Green at Minnesota	+30.5	52.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Bowling Green at Kent State	+16.5	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Bowling Green vs Akron	-14.0	46.0	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+9.0	44.5	L 26 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	+4.5	49.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/30	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+13.5	51.5	W 56 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	50.0	L 17 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/16	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Fri 11/26	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+6.0	48.0	W 21 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.03	36%	22.3	36%	2.9	140	36%	140	3.04	.42	51%	27.4	55%	47%	4.45	30.8	1.5	1
BGSU	-.03	36%	20.5	42%	3.02	184	30%	142	1.67	.38	48%	24.3	50%	44%	4.82	43.2	2.2	0.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	6	22.3	17	36%	3.04	1.5	16	280	140	140	4	53%	47%	36%	36%	19%	.03
BGSU Defense	5	24.3	19.5	48.2%	4.82	0.2	-	-	-	-	-	64%	36%	50%	44%	16%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	6	27.4	36.3	51.5%	4.45	1	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	55%	47%	9%	.42
BGSU Offense	5	20.5	17	36%	1.67	2.2	16	326	184	142	4.9	53%	47%	42%	30%	19%	-.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	6	30:00	15.8	34%	44%	3.8	30.8	1.5	1	2.5	1.5	1	27.5
Bowling Green	5	26:24	15.6	26%	21%	6	43.2	2.2	0.2	6.8	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	6	53%	36%	35.2	140.3	4	7	.14	2.9	64%	13%	1.38
BGSU Defense	5	64%	50%	-	-	-	-	.4	3.72	75%	12%	1.27

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	6	59%	55%	-	-	-	-	.39	3.91	89%	6%	1.07
BGSU Offense	5	53%	42%	37.8	184	4.9	5	-	3.02	85%	10%	0.66

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	6	47%	36%	13.8	24.7	139.7	5.7	10.1	4	6	-.1	1.5	35%	33%	.15	6%	1.8
BGSU Defense	5	36%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.33	1.7	30%	45%	.69	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	6	41%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.48	1.8	30%	34%	.67	3%	2.7
BGSU Offense	5	47%	30%	10.8	25	142.4	5.7	13.2	1	7	-.07	1.6	36%	17%	-.14	8%	2.2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Akron's 2021 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.1 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: Bowling Green: -3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -23.1 Bowling Green: -12.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.7 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 25
Akron 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Bowling Green	16	Akron	19	Bowling Green -2.5	Akron	47.5	Under
2024	10/05	Akron	20	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green -17	Akron	48.5	Under
2023	10/21	Bowling Green	41	Akron	14	Bowling Green -7	Bowling Green	37.0	Over
2022	10/01	Akron	28	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green -9	Akron	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Bowling Green	20	Akron	35	Bowling Green -14	Akron	46.0	Over
2020	12/05	Akron	31	Bowling Green	3	Akron -2.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2019	11/02	Bowling Green	35	Akron	6	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2018	11/17	Akron	6	Bowling Green	21	Akron -6.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Under
2017	09/30	Bowling Green	23	Akron	34	Akron -3	Akron	57.5	Under
2016	11/09	Akron	28	Bowling Green	38	Akron -11.5	Bowling Green	73.0	Under
2015	10/17	Bowling Green	59	Akron	10	Bowling Green -11.5	Bowling Green	62.5	Over
2014	11/04	Akron	10	Bowling Green	27	Akron -4	Bowling Green	0
2013	09/28	Bowling Green	31	Akron	14	Bowling Green -15.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/06	Akron	10	Bowling Green	24
2009	11/20	Bowling Green	36	Akron	20
2008	10/11	Akron	33	Bowling Green	37
2007	11/02	Bowling Green	44	Akron	20
2006	11/04	Akron	35	Bowling Green	28
2005	10/29	Bowling Green	14	Akron	24
2001	10/20	Akron	11	Bowling Green	16
2000	10/06	Bowling Green	21	Akron	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	14	7	4 Overs
Akron	7	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	13 - 8	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#) AKR at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#121
OffenseOff	#126	#131
DefenseDef	#135	#85
Spec TeamsST	#116	#90
TalentTal	#119	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Akron Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#130	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#43

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#134	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#135
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#70	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Bowling Green -14.0 (46.0)
Akron won at Bowling Green this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Bowling Green last year (19-16)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2024 (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)

AKR's OC Tommy Zagorski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Matt Feeney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD