South Alabama at Bowling Green - 2021 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -14.5 (48.0)
South Alabama 22 - Bowling Green: 19

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0 (SP+ USA -5)
Projected Score: USA: 24 - BGSU: 25 (49)
USA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
USA Travel: 778 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Bowling Green at Tennessee	+37.0	60.5	L 6 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Bowling Green vs South Alabama	+14.5	48.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Bowling Green vs Murray State	+2.5	44.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Bowling Green at Minnesota	+30.5	52.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Bowling Green at Kent State	+16.5	56.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Bowling Green vs Akron	-14.0	46.0	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+9.0	44.5	L 26 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	+4.5	49.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/30	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+13.5	51.5	W 56 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	50.0	L 17 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/16	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Fri 11/26	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+6.0	48.0	W 21 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.11	38%	26.5	39%	2.49	113	38%	247	2.75	.22	47%	30.4	44%	50%	3.55	34.9	1.4	1.2
BGSU	-.03	36%	20.5	42%	3.02	184	30%	142	1.67	.38	48%	24.3	50%	44%	4.82	43.2	2.2	0.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	11	26.5	25.2	38.3%	2.75	1.4	20	360	113	247	3	50%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.11
BGSU Defense	5	24.3	19.5	48.2%	4.82	0.2	-	-	-	-	-	64%	36%	50%	44%	16%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	11	30.4	32	46.5%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	50%	14%	.22
BGSU Offense	5	20.5	17	36%	1.67	2.2	16	326	184	142	4.9	53%	47%	42%	30%	19%	-.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	11	30:24	19.8	40%	47%	3.8	34.9	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.1	1	27.5
Bowling Green	5	26:24	15.6	26%	21%	6	43.2	2.2	0.2	6.8	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	11	50%	39%	38.1	112.5	3	7	-.02	2.49	75%	14%	0.85
BGSU Defense	5	64%	50%	-	-	-	-	.4	3.72	75%	12%	1.27

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	11	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.89	56%	8%	0.89
BGSU Offense	5	53%	42%	37.8	184	4.9	5	-	3.02	85%	10%	0.66

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	11	50%	38%	19.8	31.8	247.1	7.8	12.5	18	6	.25	1.9	37%	28%	.33	6%	2.3
BGSU Defense	5	36%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.33	1.7	30%	45%	.69	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	11	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.6	28%	34%	.3	6%	2
BGSU Offense	5	47%	30%	10.8	25	142.4	5.7	13.2	1	7	-.07	1.6	36%	17%	-.14	8%	2.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Bowling Green: -3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.2 Bowling Green: -12.4

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.7 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 25
South Alabama 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Bowling Green	19	South Alabama	22	South Alabama -14.5	Bowling Green	48.0	Under
2014	12/20	Bowling Green	33	South Alabama	28	South Alabama -3.5	Bowling Green	55.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	1	2	1 Overs
South Alabama	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0

(#) USA at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#121
OffenseOff	#106	#131
DefenseDef	#65	#85
Spec TeamsST	#110	#90
TalentTal	#101	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#43

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#70	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
South Alabama 14.5 (48.0)
South Alabama won at Bowling Green this year (22-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD