Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -6 (55.5)
Pittsburgh 28 - Virginia Tech: 7 (ACC)

Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 3rd straight Home Game
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: -5 (SP+ PITT -15)
Projected Score: PITT: 32 - VT: 24 (56)
PITT Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
PITT Travel: 224 miles

Hokies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Fuente (40 - 27)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts	-38.0	56.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Pittsburgh at Tennessee	-3.5	56.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan	-14.0	59.0	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/25	Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire	-29.0	53.0	W 77 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech	-3.0	57.5	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-6.0	55.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	-3.5	47.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Pittsburgh vs Miami	-9.5	61.0	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Pittsburgh at Duke	-21.0	64.5	W 54 - 29	O	Y
Thu 11/11	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	-6.5	72.0	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-12.5	69.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Pittsburgh at Syracuse	-12.0	58.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest	-3.5	72.5	W 45 - 21	U	Y
Thu 12/30	Pittsburgh vs Michigan State	+3.5	55.0	L 21 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Virginia Tech vs North Carolina	+5.5	63.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	55.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia Tech at West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Virginia Tech vs Richmond	-29.0	50.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame	-1.0	46.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	55.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/23	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-3.5	45.5	L 36 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/5	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-1.0	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Virginia Tech vs Duke	-13.5	50.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Virginia Tech at Miami	+7.0	55.5	L 26 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+7.0	63.5	W 29 - 24	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.14	41%	33.7	42%	2.29	122	40%	260	3.41	.13	37%	24.8	37%	38%	3.16	68.5	1.5	1.7
VT	.26	48%	21.4	51%	3.17	241	45%	201	3.68	.26	47%	30.2	51%	43%	4.21	46.7	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	11	33.7	33	40.6%	3.41	1.5	21	382	122	260	3.5	44%	55%	42%	40%	20%	.14
VT Defense	11	30.2	31.6	46.8%	4.21	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	51%	43%	17%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	11	24.8	24.6	37.3%	3.16	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	37%	38%	23%	.13
VT Offense	11	21.4	26	48.3%	3.68	1.3	22	442	241	201	5.6	62%	38%	51%	45%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	11	31:08	20.5	36%	50%	7.8	68.5	1.5	1.7	10	4.1	2	29.9
Virginia Tech	11	30:08	22.4	38%	58%	5.3	46.7	1.3	1.5	6.8	3.3	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	11	44%	42%	35.3	122.1	3.5	20	.03	2.29	69%	13%	0.91
VT Defense	11	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.35	77%	11%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	11	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.26	69%	16%	0.94
VT Offense	11	62%	51%	42.9	240.7	5.6	27	.22	3.17	68%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	11	55%	40%	22.4	38.7	259.7	6.7	11.6	14	12	.25	1.6	34%	31%	.29	7%	1.9
VT Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.6	30%	36%	.45	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	11	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.22	1.8	37%	30%	.33	7%	2.2
VT Offense	11	38%	45%	14.3	23	201.1	8.7	14.1	13	6	.31	1.6	26%	29%	.19	4%	1.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6 #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: Virginia Tech: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 17.6 Virginia Tech: 2.4

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #70
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #86
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 32
Virginia Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 56

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Virginia Tech	38	Pittsburgh	21	Pittsburgh -3	Virginia Tech	40.0	Over
2022	10/08	Pittsburgh	45	Virginia Tech	29	Pittsburgh -14.5	Pittsburgh	42.0	Over
2021	10/16	Virginia Tech	7	Pittsburgh	28	Pittsburgh -6	Pittsburgh	55.5	Under
2020	11/21	Pittsburgh	47	Virginia Tech	14	Virginia Tech -6.5	Pittsburgh	52.5	Over
2019	11/23	Virginia Tech	28	Pittsburgh	0	Virginia Tech -3.5	Virginia Tech	44.0	Under
2018	11/10	Pittsburgh	52	Virginia Tech	22	Pittsburgh -4	Pittsburgh	52.0	Over
2017	11/18	Virginia Tech	20	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia Tech -14	Pittsburgh	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Pittsburgh	36	Virginia Tech	39	Virginia Tech -4	Pittsburgh	53.5	Over
2015	10/03	Virginia Tech	13	Pittsburgh	17	Virginia Tech -4.5	Pittsburgh	44.5	Under
2014	10/16	Pittsburgh	21	Virginia Tech	16	Virginia Tech -2.5	Pittsburgh	0
2013	10/12	Virginia Tech	19	Pittsburgh	9	Virginia Tech -9.5	Virginia Tech	0
2012	09/15	Pittsburgh	35	Virginia Tech	17
2003	11/08	Pittsburgh	31	Virginia Tech	28
2002	11/02	Virginia Tech	21	Pittsburgh	28
2001	11/03	Pittsburgh	38	Virginia Tech	7
2000	10/27	Virginia Tech	37	Pittsburgh	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	6	3	5 Overs
Pittsburgh	10	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 4	8 - 3	4 - 2	4 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 12	3 - 8	1 - 4	2 - 4

(#) PITT at (#) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#83
OffenseOff	#21	#59
DefenseDef	#50	#106
Spec TeamsST	#38	#97
TalentTal	#37	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#24	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#38	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#50
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#57	#21
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#47

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#65
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Pittsburgh 6.0 (55.5)
Pittsburgh won at Virginia Tech this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (38-21)

PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VT's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Justin Hamilton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD