Pittsburgh at Wake Forest - 2021 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons  Wake Forest logo
Saturday, December 4th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -3.5 (72.5)
Pittsburgh 45 - Wake Forest: 21  (ACC)

 
Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
WAKE is playing their 7th straight game
PITT is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ PITT -7.5)

Projected Score: PITT: 27 - WAKE: 27 (54)
PITT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 364 miles
Demon Deacons (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (43 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts-38.056.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee-3.556.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan-14.059.0L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/25 Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire-29.053.0W 77 - 7OY
Sat 10/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-3.057.5W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-6.055.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Pittsburgh vs Clemson-3.547.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Pittsburgh vs Miami-9.561.0L 34 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Pittsburgh at Duke-21.064.5W 54 - 29OY
Thu 11/11 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-6.572.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/20 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-12.569.0W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/27 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-12.058.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 12/4 Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest-3.572.5W 45 - 21UY
Thu 12/30 Pittsburgh vs Michigan State+3.555.0L 21 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Wake Forest vs Old Dominion-32.561.5W 42 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 Wake Forest vs Norfolk State-43.058.0W 41 - 16UN
Sat 9/18 Wake Forest vs Florida State-4.563.0W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/24 Wake Forest at Virginia+3.571.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/2 Wake Forest vs Louisville-7.064.5W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 Wake Forest at Syracuse-5.559.0W 40 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Wake Forest at Army-3.053.5W 70 - 56OY
Sat 10/30 Wake Forest vs Duke-16.571.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 11/6 Wake Forest at North Carolina+2.578.0L 55 - 58ON
Sat 11/13 Wake Forest vs NC State-1.065.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/20 Wake Forest at Clemson+3.557.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/27 Wake Forest at Boston College-5.564.0W 41 - 10UY
Sat 12/4 Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh+3.572.5L 21 - 45UN
Fri 12/31 Wake Forest vs Rutgers-17.063.0W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1441%33.742%2.2912240%2603.41.1337%24.837%38%3.1668.51.51.7
WAKE.2342%28.141%2.7616642%2814.24.2247%22.148%45%4.2344.60.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1133.73340.6%3.411.5213821222603.544%55%42%40%20%.14
WAKE Defense922.117.346.7%4.231.9 - - - - - 54%46%48%45%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1124.824.637.3%3.161.7 - - - - - 44%56%37%38%23%.13
WAKE Offense928.128.341.5%4.240.8244471662813.950%50%41%42%16%.23

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1131:0820.536%50%7.868.51.51.7104.1229.9
Wake Forest927:2323.640%48%5.344.60.81.97.61.8429.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1144%42%35.3122.13.520.032.2969%13%0.91
WAKE Defense954%48% - - - - .192.6582%12%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1144%37% - - - - .012.2669%16%0.94
WAKE Offense950%41%42165.73.922.062.7680%11%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1155%40%22.438.7259.76.711.61412.251.634%31%.297%1.9
WAKE Defense946%45% - - - - - - 13.241.530%33%.26%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1156%38% - - - - - - 14.221.837%30%.337%2.2
WAKE Offense950%42%19.434.4281.48.214.5145.391.834%30%.426%2.3

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6  #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Wake Forest: 5.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 17.6   Wake Forest: 10.1




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 5.05 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #39
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #10
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Wake Forest 27


Projected Total Points: 54
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Wake Forest21Pittsburgh17Pittsburgh -3Wake Forest45.0Under
202112/04Wake Forest21Pittsburgh45Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh72.5Under
201811/17Wake Forest13Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh -5Pittsburgh62.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest110 Overs
Pittsburgh223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0

(#) PITT at (#) WAKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTWAKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #39
Perf GradeGrade #29 #20
OffenseOff #21 #10
DefenseDef #50 #54
Spec TeamsST #38 #80
TalentTal #37 #62
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffWAKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #24 #74
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #1 #28
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #38 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wake Forest on Offense
CategoryCatWAKE OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wake Forest Run Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #61 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #47
Wake Forest Pass Game
CategoryCatWAKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #8 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #13 #65
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Pittsburgh 3.5 (72.5)
Pittsburgh won at Wake Forest this year (45-21)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (21-17)

  
PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD