Pittsburgh at Tennessee - 2021 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at Tennessee Volunteers  Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -3.5 (56.0)
Pittsburgh 41 - Tennessee: 34

 
Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ PITT -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 31 - TENN: 33 (64)
PITT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 376 miles
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts-38.056.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee-3.556.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan-14.059.0L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/25 Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire-29.053.0W 77 - 7OY
Sat 10/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-3.057.5W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-6.055.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Pittsburgh vs Clemson-3.547.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Pittsburgh vs Miami-9.561.0L 34 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Pittsburgh at Duke-21.064.5W 54 - 29OY
Thu 11/11 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-6.572.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/20 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-12.569.0W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/27 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-12.058.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 12/4 Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest-3.572.5W 45 - 21UY
Thu 12/30 Pittsburgh vs Michigan State+3.555.0L 21 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1441%33.742%2.2912240%2603.41.1337%24.837%38%3.1668.51.51.7
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1133.73340.6%3.411.5213821222603.544%55%42%40%20%.14
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1124.824.637.3%3.161.7 - - - - - 44%56%37%38%23%.13
TENN Offense1039.842.343.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1131:0820.536%50%7.868.51.51.7104.1229.9
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1144%42%35.3122.13.520.032.2969%13%0.91
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1144%37% - - - - .012.2669%16%0.94
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1155%40%22.438.7259.76.711.61412.251.634%31%.297%1.9
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1156%38% - - - - - - 14.221.837%30%.337%2.2
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6  #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Tennessee: 11.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 17.6   Tennessee: 17.5




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.25 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 33
Pittsburgh 31

Projected Total Points: 64
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/10Pittsburgh27Tennessee34Tennessee -6Tennessee63.0Under
202109/11Tennessee34Pittsburgh41Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee111 Overs
Pittsburgh111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#) PITT at (#) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #10
Perf GradeGrade #29 #78
OffenseOff #21 #81
DefenseDef #50 #68
Spec TeamsST #38 #110
TalentTal #37 #19
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #24 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #1 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #38 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #11 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #47
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #60 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #115 #65
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Pittsburgh 3.5 (56.0)
Pittsburgh won at Tennessee this year (41-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD