Western Michigan at Pittsburgh - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -14 (59.0)
Western Michigan 44 - Pittsburgh: 41

 
Broncos (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (26 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (27 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11  (SP+ PITT -17)
Projected Score: WMU: 24 - PITT: 37 (61)
PITT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WMU Travel: 316 miles
Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 41 - 24 (44 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Western Michigan at Michigan+16.565.5L 14 - 47UN
Sat 9/11 Western Michigan vs Illinois State-12.556.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Western Michigan at Pittsburgh+14.059.0W 44 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Western Michigan vs San José State-2.561.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/2 Western Michigan at Buffalo-7.059.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/9 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.057.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/16 Western Michigan vs Kent State-7.068.5W 64 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Western Michigan at Toledo-1.554.5L 15 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-9.064.5L 30 - 42ON
Tue 11/9 Western Michigan vs Akron-24.562.0W 45 - 40ON
Tue 11/16 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-6.066.0L 21 - 22UN
Tue 11/23 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-6.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Mon 12/27 Western Michigan vs Nevada-7.056.0W 52 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts-38.056.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee-3.556.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan-14.059.0L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/25 Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire-29.053.0W 77 - 7OY
Sat 10/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-3.057.5W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-6.055.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Pittsburgh vs Clemson-3.547.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Pittsburgh vs Miami-9.561.0L 34 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Pittsburgh at Duke-21.064.5W 54 - 29OY
Thu 11/11 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-6.572.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/20 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-12.569.0W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/27 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-12.058.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 12/4 Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest-3.572.5W 45 - 21UY
Thu 12/30 Pittsburgh vs Michigan State+3.555.0L 21 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.3150%32.552%3.5421447%2544.16.2239%28.243%35%3.7258.91.21.3
PITT.348%41.448%3.1715148%3374.59.0940%23.638%42%3.7263.91.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1332.526.749.9%4.161.2254682142544.758%42%52%47%13%.31
PITT Defense1423.624.939.9%3.721.9 - - - - - 42%58%38%42%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1328.230.338.9%3.721.3 - - - - - 51%49%43%35%22%.22
PITT Offense1441.44447.6%4.591.126488151337444%56%48%48%15%.3

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1335:1724.846%46%6.858.91.21.37.53.3228.2
Pittsburgh1430:5525.944%68%6.763.91.11.98.13.9530.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1358%52%45.4214.14.731.283.5467%8%0.93
PITT Defense1442%38% - - - - -.012.5856%14%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1351%43% - - - - .212.8271%16%1.17
PITT Offense1444%48%37.5150.5426.193.1773%9%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1342%47%17.928.3253.6914.2236.41.725%35%.476%2.2
PITT Defense1458%42% - - - - - - 16.171.534%29%.266%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 4.231.835%26%.226%2
PITT Offense1456%48%26.238.9337.48.712.9448.41.629%32%.425%2.1

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #76
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Pittsburgh: 11.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: 0.6   Pittsburgh: 17.6




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.3 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6  #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Western Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 37
Western Michigan 24

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 38
Western Michigan 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 36
Western Michigan 27

Total Points: 63
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 41.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.9

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Western Michigan13Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh -10Pittsburgh46.0Over
202109/18Pittsburgh41Western Michigan44Pittsburgh -14Western Michigan59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh112 Overs
Western Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) WMU at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #9
Perf GradeGrade #45 #29
OffenseOff #18 #21
DefenseDef #88 #50
Spec TeamsST #134 #38
TalentTal #106 #37
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #18 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #67 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #47
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #47 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #65
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #24 #88
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #1 #116
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #38 #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84°
Rematch from Week 3
Pittsburgh -14.0 (59.0)
Western Michigan won at Pittsburgh this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Western Michigan in 2022 (34-13)

  
WMU's OC Mike Bath (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD