Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Iowa wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Iowa -39.5
O/U 48.5
ESPN Bet
UAlbany 2025 Schedule
UAlbany's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | UAlbany at Iowa | +39.5L7–34 | 48.5 | L7–34 | U | Y |
Iowa 2025 Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Iowa vs UAlbany | -39.5W34–7 | 48.5 | W34–7 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Iowa at Iowa State | +3.0L13–16 | 43.0 | L13–16 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/13 | Iowa vs Massachusetts | -35.5W47–7 | 44.5 | W47–7 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/19 | Iowa at Rutgers | -2.5W38–28 | 46.5 | W38–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | Iowa vs Indiana | +9.5L15–20 | 47.5 | L15–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Iowa at Wisconsin | -5.5W37–0 | 37.5 | W37–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Iowa vs Penn State | -3.5W25–24 | 41.5 | W25–24 | O | N |
| Sat 10/25 | Iowa vs Minnesota | -7.5W41–3 | 39.5 | W41–3 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Iowa vs Oregon | +4.5L16–18 | 41.5 | L16–18 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/15 | Iowa at USC | +6.5L21–26 | 48.5 | L21–26 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | Iowa vs Michigan State | -17.5W20–17 | 43.0 | W20–17 | U | N |
| Fri 11/28 | Iowa at Nebraska | -5.5W40–16 | 38.5 | W40–16 | O | Y |
| Wed 12/31 | Iowa vs Vanderbilt | +3.0W34–27 | 47.5 | W34–27 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
UAlbany Edge
UAlbany +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Iowa Edge
Iowa +44.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓