Tulane at UAB - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (1:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -19.5 (52.0) (-1200)  Open: -13.5
Tulane 71 - UAB: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
UAB 2nd straight Home Game
TULN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -15.5   (SP+ TULN -17)

Projected Score: TULN: 36 - UAB: 20 (56)
TULN Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
TULN Travel: 315 miles
Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.555.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Tulane vs Kansas State+8.547.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/14 Tulane at Oklahoma+13.548.5L 19 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Tulane at Louisiana-1.553.5W 41 - 33OY
Sat 9/28 Tulane vs South Florida-4.060.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Tulane at UAB-19.552.0W 71 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulane vs Rice-21.553.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/26 Tulane at North Texas-7.570.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/31 Tulane at Charlotte-14.555.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/9 Tulane vs Temple-25.550.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 11/16 Tulane at Navy-7.549.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Tulane vs Memphis-12.554.5L 24 - 34ON
Fri 12/6 Tulane at Army-4.546.5L 14 - 35ON
Fri 12/20 Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
UAB's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UAB vs Alcorn State-29.555.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 UAB at UL Monroe-10.555.5L 6 - 32UN
Sat 9/14 UAB at Arkansas+23.560.5L 27 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UAB vs Navy+4.556.5L 18 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 UAB vs Tulane+19.552.0L 20 - 71ON
Sat 10/12 UAB at Army+27.055.5L 10 - 44UN
Sat 10/19 UAB at South Florida+14.055.5L 25 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UAB vs Tulsa-2.557.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 UAB vs UConn+7.554.0L 23 - 31UN
Sat 11/16 UAB at Memphis+16.062.0L 18 - 53ON
Sat 11/23 UAB vs Rice+7.052.0W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 UAB at Charlotte+1.559.5L 27 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
UAB Defense1234.330.244.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
UAB Offense1226.233.544.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32   UAB: -9.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7   UAB: -11.3




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -9.46 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 36
UAB 20


Total Points: 56

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05UAB20Tulane71TulaneTulane -19.5Tulane52.0Over
202309/30Tulane35UAB23TulaneTulane -22.5UAB59.5Under
202109/25Tulane21UAB28UABTulane -2.5UAB55.0Under
201809/15UAB31Tulane24UABTulane -3.5UAB57.5Under
201210/27Tulane55UAB45Tulane
201109/17UAB10Tulane49Tulane
200811/15Tulane24UAB41UAB
200710/13UAB26Tulane21UAB
200410/23Tulane59UAB55Tulane
200311/08UAB24Tulane38Tulane
200210/19Tulane35UAB14Tulane
200110/20UAB34Tulane27UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB531 Overs
Tulane713 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 51 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams5 - 73 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#40) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 2 straight
Tulane has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW

Tulane Highlights
Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane offense is good in red zone (#57)
Tulane offense is good on 3rd downs
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane has a really good defense (#96)
Tulane has a good run defense (#109)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUABTULN
OverallOver#89#6
OffenseOff#87#4
DefenseDef#105#17
Special TeamsST#87#51
PassingPass#74#12
RushingRush#82#8
Run BlockRBLK#56#9
Pass BlockPBLK#45#30
Route RunningWR Rt#91#9
TacklingTkl#79#76
Run DefenseR Def#111#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#52#2
Coverage DefCov#51#52

Rematch from Week 6
Tulane 19.5 (52.0)
Tulane won at UAB this year (71-20)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat UAB last year (71-20)
Tulane beat UAB in 2023 (35-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | UAB
Depth Chart: TULN | UAB
Rosters: TULN | UAB
(#107) UAB Info
Power Rating: -9.46 #107
Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has lost 3 straight
UAB has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UAB Notes
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY

UAB Highlights
UAB does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#33)

UAB defense does not give up big plays (#95)
UAB has a good pass defense (#132)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB has a bad TO Margin (#82)
UAB Fumbles a Lot (#42)
UAB Can Not Run the Ball (#74)
UAB Commits a Lot of Penalties (#30)
UAB throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
UAB offense is not Explosive (#59)
UAB offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#43)
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB does not Sack the QB (#47)
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)61155%74206.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson (Tr)4024366.150
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams (Tr)48831417.368
Dontae Fleming29577119.953
Yulkeith Brown31440414.242
Alex Bauman15171611.436

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Grubbs585211
Sam Howard (Tr)564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Hamilton216540
Patrick Jenkins307512
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Adin Huntington (Tr)285401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Robinson (Tr)291006
Javion White92003
Rayshawn Pleasant351003

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Jacob Zeno8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lee Beebe16688575.361
Lee Witherspoon3516604.715
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Jacob Zeno379702.626
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas62670810.873
Kameran Shanks62656610.667
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Malachi Holt-Bennett16241115.171

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Moore923012
Everett Roussaw Jr.758341
Tyjon Jones (Tr)590014
Sirad Bryant (Tr)591000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Little4010673
Everett Roussaw Jr.758341
James Smyre92200
Kendall Johnson184220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colby Dempsey2220011
Adrian Maddox (Tr)442017
Kelvin Hill420005