Nebraska at USC - 2024 Matchup Preview
Nebraska logo Nebraska Cornhuskers at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
USC -6.5 (51.0) (-250)  Open: -9.0
USC 28 - Nebraska: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
NEB coming off BYE
USC coming off BYE
Our Line: USC -5  (SP+ USC -6)

Projected Score: NEB: 23 - USC: 28 (52)
USC Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NEB Travel: 1270 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Nebraska vs UTEP-27.549.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 Nebraska vs Colorado-6.555.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Nebraska vs Northern Iowa-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Fri 9/20 Nebraska vs Illinois-9.541.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Nebraska at Purdue-10.047.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Nebraska vs Rutgers-7.039.5W 14 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Nebraska at Indiana+6.548.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 Nebraska at Ohio State+25.048.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Nebraska vs UCLA-7.538.5L 20 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Nebraska at USC+6.551.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Nebraska vs Wisconsin-1.540.5W 44 - 25OY
Fri 11/29 Nebraska at Iowa+3.541.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 Nebraska vs Boston College-3.047.5W 20 - 15UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29ON
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13UY
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49ON
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)23.548% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)19.539% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Offense1323.516.445%3.381.3203311212103.848%51%48%43%16%.18
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Defense1319.525.640.3%3.061.2 - - - - - 47%52%39%42%18%.13
USC Offense1330.236.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nebraska1329:4320.143%32%5.748.91.31.25.72327.2
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Offense1348% (80)48% (22)31.7121.13.820 (67).18 (38)3.21 (40)83% (8)10% (71)0.89 (105)
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Defense1347% (29)39% (24) - - - - -.01 (9)2.72 (26)69% (40)12% (33)0.9 (32)
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Offense1351% (57)43% (55)20.331209.56.810.312 (118)11 (72).21 (91)1.4 (132)28% (18)34% (45).31 (79)6% (67)1.8 (125)
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Defense1352% (101)42% (82) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (88)1.6 (89)33% (52)31% (80).37 (96)6% (55)2.2 (98)
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73  #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32  #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63  #26
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18%  #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5  #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73   USC: 12.16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 12.16  #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62  #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19  #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41  #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 28
Nebraska 23


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 33
Nebraska 20

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
USC 28
Nebraska 22

Total Points: 50
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16USC28Nebraska20USC -6.5USC51.0Under
201412/27USC45Nebraska42USC -7Nebraska63.0Over
200709/15Nebraska31USC49
200609/16USC28Nebraska10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC411 Overs
Nebraska011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#34) NEB at (#37) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEBUSC
Power RatePwr #34 #37
SP+SP+ #45 #23
Perf GradeGrade #75 #44
OffenseOff #65 #36
DefenseDef #78 #74
Spec TeamsST #99 #65
TalentTal #12 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #29 #16

Nebraska Notes
(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb

USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms
(10/19) Gagged vs MD, Rgame awful, Moss meh.
(10/18) OL undersized/no depth. #129 in Pass blocking
(10/16) DE Lucas (Starter) out for season
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
NEB OffUSC Def
Perf GradePerf #65 #74
SuccessSuc #37 #94
ExplosiveExp #129 #24
PPAPPA #74 #78
PowerPwr #53 #74
SP+SP+ #99 #48
Pts POPPO #114 #49
HavocHav #62 #105
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
NEB OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #63 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #22 #78
Run ExplRExp #105 #77
PPAExp #38 #96
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLY #40 #92
Stuff RateStuff #7 #120
TackleTak -  #19
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
NEB OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #74 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #103
Pass ExplPExl #132 #4
PPAExp #91 #49
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #54 #85
F7 HavocF7 #71 #127
DB HavocDB #67 #42
USC on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatUSC OffNEB Def
Perf GradePerf #36 #78
SuccessSuc #11 #50
ExplosiveExp #91 #89
PPAPPA #41 #44
PowerPwr #60 #26
SP+SP+ #15 #12
Pts POPPO #85 #11
HavocHav #101 #40
USC Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
USC OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #6 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #24
Run ExplRExp #106 #32
PPAExp #21 #9
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #26
Stuff RateStuff #22 #24
TackleTak -  #49
USC Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatUSC OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #24 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #82
Pass ExplPExl #108 #89
PPAExp #74 #88
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #31
F7 HavocF7 #24 #33
DB HavocDB #134 #55
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
USC -6.5 (51.0)
USC won vs Nebraska this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Nebraska last year (28-20)

  
NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola27440967%280613116.9
Heinrich Haarberg101856%101015.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Emmett Johnson11759815.142
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jacory Barney Jr.10130313.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)44587313.331
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)34455513.459
Jacory Barney Jr.5544708.140
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford734011
DeShon Singleton711003
John Bullock7010435
Mikai Gbayor496133
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
James Williams146540
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman295440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)391116
John Bullock7010435
Marques Buford351005

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava (Tr)10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Akili Arnold (Tr)591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold (Tr)945221
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson (Tr)270005
Kamari Ramsey (Tr)606215
Mason Cobb723003