Tennessee at Oklahoma - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#15)Tennessee Volunteers at Oklahoma Sooners(#11)

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -6 (57.0) (-225) Open: -3.0
Tennessee 25 - Oklahoma: 15 (SEC)

Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 93.2° (36% Hum)
OKLA 4th straight Home Game
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -6.5 (SP+ TENN -12.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 30 - OKLA: 24 (54)
TENN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TENN Travel: 761 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TENN Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Tennessee vs Chattanooga	-38.5	56.5	W 69 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Tennessee vs NC State	-10.0	60.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tennessee vs Kent State	-49.5	61.5	W 71 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Tennessee at Oklahoma	-6.0	57.0	W 25 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Tennessee at Arkansas	-14.0	57.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/12	Tennessee vs Florida	-13.5	54.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Tennessee vs Alabama	+3.5	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-17.5	45.5	W 28 - 18	O	N
Sat 11/9	Tennessee vs Mississippi State	-26.5	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/16	Tennessee at Georgia	+8.5	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Tennessee vs UTEP	-41.5	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-9.5	45.5	W 36 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Tennessee at Ohio State	+7.5	47.0	L 17 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oklahoma vs Temple	-42.5	59.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma vs Houston	-27.5	48.5	W 16 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma vs Tulane	-13.5	48.5	W 34 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma vs Tennessee	+6.0	57.0	L 15 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma at Auburn	+2.0	43.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Oklahoma vs Texas	+16.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	+1.0	40.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma at Ole Miss	+19.0	50.0	L 14 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma vs Maine	-37.5	48.5	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma at Missouri	-3.5	41.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.0	47.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Oklahoma at LSU	+4.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/27	Oklahoma vs Navy	+1.0	44.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)	35.7	48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)	16.1	36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	24	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	21.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)		48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)		36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Offense	13	35.7	21.8	47.4%	4.02	1.2	23	448	227	221	5.1	57%	43%	48%	47%	12%	.23
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	15.9	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Defense	13	16.1	26	37.6%	3.03	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	36%	39%	21%	.07
OKLA Offense	13	24	29.7	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tennessee	13	29:35	23.3	47%	61%	8.1	66.8	1.2	1.6	7.2	2.2	2	31.6
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Offense	13	57% (23)	48% (23)	44.7	226.8	5.1	34 (10)	.18 (39)	3.4 (13)	86% (2)	8% (33)	0.87 (115)
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Defense	13	48% (42)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.61 (17)	62% (15)	14% (5)	0.98 (65)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (19)	18.2	28.7	221.2	7.7	12.2	21 (51)	7 (26)	.29 (51)	1.5 (113)	29% (25)	34% (41)	.38 (50)	4% (13)	1.9 (114)
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Defense	13	51% (87)	39% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.16 (32)	1.5 (38)	33% (46)	31% (74)	.33 (80)	7% (39)	2 (44)
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.13 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.13 Oklahoma: 12.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 22.0 Oklahoma: 9.5

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 12.045 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 30
Oklahoma 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 30
Tennessee 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 24
Oklahoma 24

Total Points: 48

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Tennessee	27	Oklahoma	33	Tennessee -3	Oklahoma	55.5	Over
2024	09/21	Oklahoma	15	Tennessee	25	Tennessee -6	Tennessee	57.0	Under
2015	09/12	Tennessee	24	Oklahoma	31	Oklahoma -3	Oklahoma	63.5	Under
2014	09/13	Oklahoma	34	Tennessee	10	Oklahoma -21	Oklahoma	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	3	3	1 Overs
Tennessee	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#14) TENN at (#33) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TENN	OKLA
Power RatePwr	#14	#33
SP+SP+	#9	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#90
OffenseOff	#57	#133
DefenseDef	#19	#12
Spec TeamsST	#42	#50
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#10

Tennessee Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(12/18) Signed QB Mateer (Wazzu)
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh
(9/23) Hawkins must be QB going forward. Arnold done
Oklahoma Injury Report

Tennessee on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	OKLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#57	#12
SuccessSuc	#18	#5
ExplosiveExp	#128	#63
PPAPPA	#46	#12
PowerPwr	#61	#6
SP+SP+	#23	#17
Pts POPPO	#55	#34
HavocHav	#15	#43

Tennessee Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#25	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#2
Run ExplRExp	#115	#25
PPAExp	#39	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#25
TackleTak	-	#45

Tennessee Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#113	#83
PPAExp	#51	#61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#9
F7 HavocF7	#33	#12
DB HavocDB	#13	#114

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TENN Def
Perf GradePerf	#133	#19
SuccessSuc	#113	#17
ExplosiveExp	#112	#58
PPAPPA	#123	#13
PowerPwr	#119	#16
SP+SP+	#75	#6
Pts POPPO	#112	#10
HavocHav	#100	#5

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#133	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#9
Run ExplRExp	#63	#65
PPAExp	#100	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#15
TackleTak	-	#29

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#38
PPAExp	#127	#32
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#13
F7 HavocF7	#129	#5
DB HavocDB	#9	#39

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 93° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee 6.0 (57.0)
Tennessee won at Oklahoma this year (25-15)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Oklahoma last year (25-15)

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava	213	334	64%	2616	19	5	7.8
Gaston Moore	16	27	59%	201	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
DeSean Bishop	74	455	3	6.1	53
Nico Iamaleava	109	364	3	3.3	31
Peyton Lewis	64	339	3	5.3	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Squirrel White	34	381	2	11.2	45
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)	29	333	2	11.5	53

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Jeremiah Telander	43	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Omarr Norman-Lott	18	4	4	3	0
Jaxson Moi (Tr)	16	5	2	0	1
Tyre West	16	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5

OKLA's OC Joe Jon Finley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold	154	246	63%	1421	12	3	5.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.	76	120	63%	783	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jovantae Barnes	122	577	5	4.7	74
Jackson Arnold	150	444	3	3.0	47
Taylor Tatum	56	278	3	5.0	35
Xavier Robinson	49	233	4	4.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)	42	324	2	7.7	43
Javian Hester	14	315	1	22.5	90
Deion Burks (Tr)	31	245	3	7.9	20
Jacob Jordan	27	234	1	8.7	27

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1
Kip Lewis	63	4	0	1	1
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R Mason Thomas	23	13	9	11	1
Gracen Halton	30	6	5	3	0
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kani Walker	24	2	0	6
Eli Bowen	29	2	0	4
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3