UL Monroe at Georgia Southern - 2023 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -16.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Southern 38 - UL Monroe: 28 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (10 - 17)
Avg Score : 17 - 35 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.7 - 9.3 (#131)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 2nd straight Road Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -16 (SP+ GASO -18)
Projected Score: ULM: 21 - GASO: 37 (58)
GASO Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ULM Travel: 599 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UL Monroe vs Army	+8.5	47.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UL Monroe vs Lamar	-26.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+36.5	53.5	L 3 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	UL Monroe vs App State	+13.5	50.5	L 40 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+11.0	51.5	L 7 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	UL Monroe at Texas State	+18.5	64.5	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+16.5	60.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	47.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+35.5	59.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+12.5	53.0	L 21 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#124 (.06)	36% (128)	17.3	40% (97)	3.18 (56)	146	32% (133)	175	2.61 (130)	#107 (.24)	46% (117)	34.9	44% (78)	49% (132)	4.1 (97)	53.6	1.5	1.6
GASO	#55 (.21)	45% (32)	30.2	48% (21)	3.13 (64)	117	45% (40)	302	3.64 (88)	#118 (.27)	45% (107)	30.5	45% (94)	45% (115)	4.45 (123)	51.8	2.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	17.3	13.7	35.6%	2.61	1.5	16	321	146	175	4.2	49%	50%	40%	32%	19%	.06
GASO Defense	13	30.5	23	44.9%	4.45	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	45%	22%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	34.9	36.2	45.6%	4.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	49%	15%	.24
GASO Offense	13	30.2	36.7	45.3%	3.64	2.4	23	419	117	302	4	35%	64%	48%	45%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:02	15.8	32%	35%	5.9	53.6	1.5	1.6	6.1	2	2	31
Georgia Southern	13	31:06	23.1	46%	59%	5.8	51.8	2.4	1.6	7	1.8	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49% (78)	40% (97)	34.6	146.3	4.2	7 (131)	.11 (89)	3.18 (56)	74% (63)	12% (100)	0.92 (102)
GASO Defense	13	49% (55)	45% (94)	-	-	-	-	.25 (122)	3.16 (85)	72% (59)	14% (7)	1.13 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53% (107)	44% (78)	-	-	-	-	.11 (42)	3.06 (58)	75% (78)	11% (55)	0.9 (26)
GASO Offense	13	35% (130)	48% (21)	29	117.1	4	16 (89)	.23 (25)	3.13 (64)	78% (35)	10% (63)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	50% (59)	32% (133)	14.8	28.8	174.8	6.1	11.9	15 (96)	13 (97)	.03 (131)	1.7 (22)	36% (124)	21% (133)	.12 (124)	7% (111)	2.3 (9)
GASO Defense	13	50% (81)	45% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.3 (89)	1.5 (32)	31% (96)	35% (120)	.49 (127)	9% (5)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	46% (25)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.48 (132)	1.7 (97)	32% (68)	39% (130)	.52 (129)	5% (121)	2 (48)
GASO Offense	13	64% (4)	45% (40)	28.9	44.4	302.2	6.8	10.5	26 (31)	20 (133)	.26 (74)	1.4 (131)	30% (41)	34% (35)	.41 (42)	8% (114)	2.1 (62)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.44 #132
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UL Monroe's 2023 Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30
UL Monroe's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -17.44 Georgia Southern: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.5 Georgia Southern: -4.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.7
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

UL Monroe's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 37
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 58

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Georgia Southern	38	UL Monroe	28	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -16.5	UL Monroe	60.5	Over
2020	10/03	UL Monroe	30	Georgia Southern	35	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -19.5	UL Monroe	51.0	Over
2019	11/16	Georgia Southern	51	UL Monroe	29	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Over
2018	11/03	UL Monroe	44	Georgia Southern	25	UL Monroe	Georgia Southern -7	UL Monroe	60.5	Over
2016	09/17	Georgia Southern	23	UL Monroe	21	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -27	UL Monroe	57.0	Under
2015	10/03	UL Monroe	31	Georgia Southern	51	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -6	Georgia Southern	48.0	Over
2014	11/29	Georgia Southern	22	UL Monroe	16	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -14	UL Monroe	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	6	2	5 Overs
UL Monroe	1	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	3 - 4	1 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	4 - 3	1 - 2	3 - 1

(#132) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -17.44 #132
Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30

UL Monroe has lost 4 straight
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#98)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#75)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	GASO	ULM
OverallOver	#61	#107
OffenseOff	#67	#110
DefenseDef	#62	#90
Special TeamsST	#41	#56
PassingPass	#46	#105
RushingRush	#46	#80
Run BlockRBLK	#80	#90
Pass BlockPBLK	#31	#58
Route RunningWR Rt	#64	#98
TacklingTkl	#43	#36
Run DefenseR Def	#57	#72
Pass Rush DefPRush	#81	#46
Coverage DefCov	#63	#107

Rematch from Week 8
Georgia Southern -16.5 (60.5)
Georgia Southern won vs UL Monroe this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat UL Monroe in 2023 (38-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | GASO
Depth Chart: ULM | GASO
Rosters: ULM | GASO

(#109) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Georgia Southern has lost 1 straight
Georgia Southern has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia Southern Front 7 is disruptive (#132)
Georgia Southern Secondary is very good (#116)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Georgia Southern Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Georgia Southern Can Not Run the Ball (#75)
Georgia Southern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Georgia Southern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)

UL Monroe's OC Matt Kubik

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jiya Wright	107	204	53%	1246	10	8	6.1
Blake Murphy	53	104	51%	721	4	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Smith	94	507	3	5.4	62
Isaiah Woullard	98	447	1	4.6	44
Bennett Galloway	44	287	0	6.5	41
Jiya Wright	99	264	2	2.7	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyrone Howell	49	590	7	12.0	46
Dariyan Wiley	24	400	2	16.7	68
Devaughn Mortimer	15	291	0	19.4	54
NyNy Davis (Tr)	28	222	2	7.9	51

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

UL Monroe's DC Vic Koenning

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton	79	3	1	3	0
Max Harris	79	1	0	0	2
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
JaTerious Evans	62	6	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
Kenard Snyder	60	15	6	3	2
Dylan Howell	34	4	3	1	2
James Smith	11	4	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Watts	50	1	1	6
Car'lin Vigers	54	0	0	3
Lucius Tillery	30	0	0	3

Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Brin (Tr)	362	552	66%	3781	24	19	6.8
JC French (Tr)	13	16	81%	122	1	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	160	889	9	5.6	45
OJ Arnold	75	411	4	5.5	39
David Mbadinga	22	112	2	5.1	29
Dalen Cobb	7	51	0	7.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Khaleb Hood	101	948	5	9.4	43
Derwin Burgess Jr.	74	813	6	11.0	68
Dalen Cobb	40	601	2	15.0	76
Jjay Mcafee	37	378	4	10.2	32

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Tyrell Davis	65	5	0	0	3
Khadry Jackson	57	6	1	2	2
Marc Stampley II	56	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7
Elhadj Fall	19	5	4	1	1
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Da'Shawn Davis	25	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar Bartholomew	38	3	0	0	14
Damel Hickman (Tr)	36	2	0	1	7
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7