UL Monroe at Georgia Southern - 2023 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -16.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Southern 38 - UL Monroe: 28 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (10 - 17)
Avg Score : 17 - 35 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.7 - 9.3 (#131)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 2nd straight Road Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -16 (SP+ GASO -18)
Projected Score: ULM: 21 - GASO: 37 (58)
GASO Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ULM Travel: 599 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UL Monroe vs Army	+8.5	47.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UL Monroe vs Lamar	-26.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+36.5	53.5	L 3 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	UL Monroe vs App State	+13.5	50.5	L 40 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+11.0	51.5	L 7 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	UL Monroe at Texas State	+18.5	64.5	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+16.5	60.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	47.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+35.5	59.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+12.5	53.0	L 21 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#124 (.06)	36% (128)	17.3	40% (97)	3.18 (56)	146	32% (133)	175	2.61 (130)	#107 (.24)	46% (117)	34.9	44% (78)	49% (132)	4.1 (97)	53.6	1.5	1.6
GASO	#55 (.21)	45% (32)	30.2	48% (21)	3.13 (64)	117	45% (40)	302	3.64 (88)	#118 (.27)	45% (107)	30.5	45% (94)	45% (115)	4.45 (123)	51.8	2.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	17.3	13.7	35.6%	2.61	1.5	16	321	146	175	4.2	49%	50%	40%	32%	19%	.06
GASO Defense	13	30.5	23	44.9%	4.45	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	45%	22%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	34.9	36.2	45.6%	4.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	49%	15%	.24
GASO Offense	13	30.2	36.7	45.3%	3.64	2.4	23	419	117	302	4	35%	64%	48%	45%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:02	15.8	32%	35%	5.9	53.6	1.5	1.6	6.1	2	2	31
Georgia Southern	13	31:06	23.1	46%	59%	5.8	51.8	2.4	1.6	7	1.8	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49% (78)	40% (97)	34.6	146.3	4.2	7 (131)	.11 (89)	3.18 (56)	74% (63)	12% (100)	0.92 (102)
GASO Defense	13	49% (55)	45% (94)	-	-	-	-	.25 (122)	3.16 (85)	72% (59)	14% (7)	1.13 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53% (107)	44% (78)	-	-	-	-	.11 (42)	3.06 (58)	75% (78)	11% (55)	0.9 (26)
GASO Offense	13	35% (130)	48% (21)	29	117.1	4	16 (89)	.23 (25)	3.13 (64)	78% (35)	10% (63)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	50% (59)	32% (133)	14.8	28.8	174.8	6.1	11.9	15 (96)	13 (97)	.03 (131)	1.7 (22)	36% (124)	21% (133)	.12 (124)	7% (111)	2.3 (9)
GASO Defense	13	50% (81)	45% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.3 (89)	1.5 (32)	31% (96)	35% (120)	.49 (127)	9% (5)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	46% (25)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.48 (132)	1.7 (97)	32% (68)	39% (130)	.52 (129)	5% (121)	2 (48)
GASO Offense	13	64% (4)	45% (40)	28.9	44.4	302.2	6.8	10.5	26 (31)	20 (133)	.26 (74)	1.4 (131)	30% (41)	34% (35)	.41 (42)	8% (114)	2.1 (62)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.44 #132
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UL Monroe's 2023 Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30
UL Monroe's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -17.44 Georgia Southern: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.5 Georgia Southern: -4.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.7
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

UL Monroe's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 37
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 35
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 35
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 56

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Georgia Southern	38	UL Monroe	28	Georgia Southern -16.5	UL Monroe	60.5	Over
2020	10/03	UL Monroe	30	Georgia Southern	35	Georgia Southern -19.5	UL Monroe	51.0	Over
2019	11/16	Georgia Southern	51	UL Monroe	29	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Over
2018	11/03	UL Monroe	44	Georgia Southern	25	Georgia Southern -7	UL Monroe	60.5	Over
2016	09/17	Georgia Southern	23	UL Monroe	21	Georgia Southern -27	UL Monroe	57.0	Under
2015	10/03	UL Monroe	31	Georgia Southern	51	Georgia Southern -6	Georgia Southern	48.0	Over
2014	11/29	Georgia Southern	22	UL Monroe	16	Georgia Southern -14	UL Monroe	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	6	2	5 Overs
UL Monroe	1	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	3 - 4	1 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	4 - 3	1 - 2	3 - 1

(#132) ULM at (#109) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	GASO
Power RatePwr	#132	#109
SP+SP+	#132	#80
Perf GradeGrade	#128	#75
OffenseOff	#129	#76
DefenseDef	#117	#81
Spec TeamsST	#70	#48
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#68

UL Monroe Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#129	#81
SuccessSuc	#128	#107
ExplosiveExp	#71	#83
PPAPPA	#124	#118
PowerPwr	#131	#111
SP+SP+	#117	#120
Pts POPPO	#130	#123
HavocHav	#110	#4

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#111	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#94
Run ExplRExp	#102	#116
PPAExp	#89	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#61
TackleTak	-	#48

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#133	#115
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#32
PPAExp	#131	#89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#105
F7 HavocF7	#100	#7
DB HavocDB	#111	#5

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ULM Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#117
SuccessSuc	#32	#117
ExplosiveExp	#95	#61
PPAPPA	#55	#107
PowerPwr	#69	#108
SP+SP+	#40	#130
Pts POPPO	#88	#97
HavocHav	#91	#90

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#64	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#78
Run ExplRExp	#41	#26
PPAExp	#25	#42
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#38
TackleTak	-	#41

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	#40	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#97
PPAExp	#74	#132
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#55
F7 HavocF7	#63	#55
DB HavocDB	#114	#121

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Georgia Southern -16.5 (60.5)
Georgia Southern won vs UL Monroe this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat UL Monroe in 2023 (38-28)

ULM's OC Matt Kubik (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jiya Wright	107	204	53%	1246	10	8	6.1
Blake Murphy	53	104	51%	721	4	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Smith	94	507	3	5.4	62
Isaiah Woullard	98	447	1	4.6	44
Bennett Galloway	44	287	0	6.5	41
Jiya Wright	99	264	2	2.7	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyrone Howell	49	590	7	12.0	46
Dariyan Wiley	24	400	2	16.7	68
Devaughn Mortimer	15	291	0	19.4	54
NyNy Davis (Tr)	28	222	2	7.9	51

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Vic Koenning (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton	79	3	1	3	0
Max Harris	79	1	0	0	2
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
JaTerious Evans	62	6	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
Kenard Snyder	60	15	6	3	2
Dylan Howell	34	4	3	1	2
James Smith	11	4	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Watts	50	1	1	6
Car'lin Vigers	54	0	0	3
Lucius Tillery	30	0	0	3

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Brin (Tr)	362	552	66%	3781	24	19	6.8
JC French (Tr)	13	16	81%	122	1	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	160	889	9	5.6	45
OJ Arnold	75	411	4	5.5	39
David Mbadinga	22	112	2	5.1	29
Dalen Cobb	7	51	0	7.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Khaleb Hood	101	948	5	9.4	43
Derwin Burgess Jr.	74	813	6	11.0	68
Dalen Cobb	40	601	2	15.0	76
Jjay Mcafee	37	378	4	10.2	32

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Tyrell Davis	65	5	0	0	3
Khadry Jackson	57	6	1	2	2
Marc Stampley II	56	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7
Elhadj Fall	19	5	4	1	1
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Da'Shawn Davis	25	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar Bartholomew	38	3	0	0	14
Damel Hickman (Tr)	36	2	0	1	7
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7