UAB at Georgia Southern - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -7 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Southern 49 - UAB: 35

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -6.5 (SP+ GASO -11)
Projected Score: UAB: 29 - GASO: 35 (64)
GASO Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UAB Travel: 301 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	.32	46%	26.4	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	38.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5
GASO	.25	46%	27.9	46%	3.13	137	47%	329	4.15	.25	45%	32.3	49%	42%	3.71	45.8	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	13	26.4	24.7	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32
GASO Defense	13	32.3	33	45.4%	3.71	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	42%	14%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	13	38.3	38.8	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17
GASO Offense	13	27.9	36.2	46%	4.15	1.6	25	467	137	329	4.8	36%	62%	46%	47%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3
Georgia Southern	13	27:40	25.2	46%	57%	5.1	45.8	1.6	1.5	3.8	1.5	2	26.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15
GASO Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.57	69%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03
GASO Offense	13	36%	46%	28.5	137.2	4.8	23	.21	3.13	72%	6%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3
GASO Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	28%	34%	.34	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9
GASO Offense	13	62%	47%	28.7	47	329.4	7	11.5	28	16	.32	1.4	29%	36%	.41	11%	2

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -5.80 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 473.46 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -5.80 Georgia Southern: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.2 Georgia Southern: -4.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 416.69 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 35
UAB 29

Projected Total Points: 64

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Georgia Southern	49	UAB	35	Georgia Southern -7	Georgia Southern	63.0	Over
2022	09/17	UAB	35	Georgia Southern	21	UAB -11.5	UAB	59.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	1	1	1 Overs
UAB	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#96) UAB at (#109) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#96	#109
SP+SP+	#118	#80
Perf GradeGrade	#87	#75
OffenseOff	#57	#76
DefenseDef	#101	#81
Spec TeamsST	#131	#48
TalentTal	#98	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#68

UAB Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#18	#111
SP+SP+	#65	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#21	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#48	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#101
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#69	#126
SP+SP+	#40	#132
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#64	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#69

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Georgia Southern -7.0 (63.0)
Georgia Southern won vs UAB this year (49-35)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat UAB in 2023 (49-35)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Zeno	279	379	74%	3126	20	9	8.2
Landy Lyddy	14	22	64%	121	1	3	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.	158	803	12	5.1	40
Lee Beebe	52	360	4	6.9	66
Isaiah Jacobs	55	249	3	4.5	26
Jacob Zeno	91	168	4	1.8	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tejhaun Palmer	47	858	7	18.3	80
Amare Thomas	53	437	3	8.2	49
Jermaine Brown Jr.	41	416	1	10.1	55
Fred Farrier II	18	266	1	14.8	67

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keondre Swoopes	72	0	0	0	1
Jackson Bratton	70	5	2	3	1
Michael Moore	62	6	1	3	1
Ike Rowell	54	0	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	30	8	6	3	2
Kevin Penn	43	5	4	4	0
Michael Fairbanks II	23	5	4	3	0
Nikia Eason Jr.	26	4	4	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brian Mayes	41	1	10
Colby Dempsey	37	1	9
Mac McWilliams	52	2	8

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Brin (Tr)	362	552	66%	3781	24	19	6.8
JC French (Tr)	13	16	81%	122	1	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	160	889	9	5.6	45
OJ Arnold	75	411	4	5.5	39
David Mbadinga	22	112	2	5.1	29
Dalen Cobb	7	51	0	7.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Khaleb Hood	101	948	5	9.4	43
Derwin Burgess Jr.	74	813	6	11.0	68
Dalen Cobb	40	601	2	15.0	76
Jjay Mcafee	37	378	4	10.2	32

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Tyrell Davis	65	5	0	0	3
Khadry Jackson	57	6	1	2	2
Marc Stampley II	56	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7
Elhadj Fall	19	5	4	1	1
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Da'Shawn Davis	25	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar Bartholomew	38	3	0	0	14
Damel Hickman (Tr)	36	2	0	1	7
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7