Sacramento State at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
Sacramento State logo   Sacramento State Hornets at Stanford Cardinal  Stanford logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -7 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Sacramento State 30 - Stanford: 23

 
Hornets (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach Andy Thompson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ STAN -12)
Projected Score: SAC: 22 - STAN: 21 (43)
STAN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
SAC Travel: 87 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sacramento State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Sacramento State at Stanford+7.060.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%170%000%000%200%0%0000
STAN.1442%18.845%2.8410740%2544.16.2948%29.254%41%4.0541.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
STAN Defense1229.22647.6%4.051 - - - - - 51%48%54%41%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense120200%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
STAN Offense1218.825.242%4.161.8213621072543.441%59%45%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Stanford1229:5320.838%52%4.641.31.815.41.8024.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
STAN Defense1251%54% - - - - .393.6883%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
STAN Offense1241%45%31.3107.33.414.022.8485%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
STAN Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 6.241.529%31%.365%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
STAN Offense1259%40%22.937.3254.36.811.1158.251.531%29%.286%2

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 83.86  #175
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Sacramento State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535  #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41  #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01  #133
2023 Talent Rating: 710.28  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3  #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5  #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Sacramento State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Sacramento State 22
Stanford 21

Projected Total Points: 43
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Stanford23Sacramento State30Stanford -7Sacramento State60.5Under
201009/04Stanford52Sacramento State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford100 Overs
Sacramento State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) SAC at (#129) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSACSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #129
SP+SP+NR #109
Perf GradeGradeNR #133
OffenseOffNR #118
DefenseDefNR #134
Spec TeamsSTNR #80
TalentTal #175 #37
Blue ChipsBC%NR #36
Sacramento State on Offense
CategoryCat
SAC OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #134
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #133
SP+SP+NR #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Sacramento State Run Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNR #132
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Sacramento State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNR #131
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #132
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffSAC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #107NR
SP+SP+ #94NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffSAC Def
Run GameRun #121NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffSAC Def
Pass GamePass #110NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #121NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Stanford -7.0 (60.5)
Sacramento State won at Stanford this year (30-23)

Previous Matchups
Sacramento State beat Stanford in 2023 (30-23)

  
SAC's OC Bobby Fresques (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Camp14222663%17941477.9
Kaiden Bennett12120659%1386776.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaiden Bennett11555794.848
Elijah Tau-Tolliver7242825.985
Jamar Curtis3715314.120
Carson Camp6012502.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero8812971014.772
Devin Gandy21366217.442
Elijah Tau-Tolliver1813907.732
Coleman Kuntz782111.727

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

SAC's DC Andy Thompson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeShawn Lynch194117
Zelmar Vedder190007
Kaiden Bennett150000
Xavier Williams30000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeShawn Lynch194117
Zelmar Vedder190007
Kaiden Bennett150000
Xavier Williams30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeShawn Lynch194117
Zelmar Vedder190007
Kaiden Bennett150000

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels19132758%22471186.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)388843%504025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)12033452.849
Ashton Daniels11029632.724
E.J. Smith5321614.134
Casey Filkins3821515.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor621013616.397
Tiger Bachmeier36409211.441
Sam Roush28288010.331
E.J. Smith3324207.353

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)813141
Tristan Sinclair655140
Collin Wright514104
Mitch Leigber502201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey316520
Anthony Franklin276341
Tevarua Tafiti465391
Mitch Leigber502201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley282004
Collin Wright514104
Alaka'i Gilman450003