Sacramento State at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
Sacramento State logo Sacramento State Hornets at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -7 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Sacramento State 30 - Stanford: 23

 
Hornets (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (30 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5   (SP+ STAN -12)
STAN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 21 - 38 (18 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sacramento State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Sacramento State at Stanford+7.060.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%300%000%000%230%0%0000
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)20.641% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)37.756% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
STAN Defense1237.737.151.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense123230%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
STAN Offense1220.618.137.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: #NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: #NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #175
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Sacramento State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Sacramento State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Sacramento State 34
Stanford 21

Total Points: 55

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.1
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.1

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Stanford23Sacramento State30Sacramento StateStanford -7Sacramento State60.5Under
201009/04Stanford52Sacramento State17Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford100 Overs
Sacramento State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Sacramento State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #175
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Sacramento State Highlights
Sacramento State is Undefeated vs Spread
Sacramento State in Undefeated


Sacramento State Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSTANSAC
OverallOver#112—
OffenseOff#101—
DefenseDef#107—
Special TeamsST#64—
PassingPass#93—
RushingRush#87—
Run BlockRBLK#86—
Pass BlockPBLK#105—
Route RunningWR Rt#70—
TacklingTkl#66—
Run DefenseR Def#113—
Pass Rush DefPRush#99—
Coverage DefCov#110—

Rematch from Week 3
Stanford -7.0 (60.5)
Sacramento State won at Stanford this year (30-23)

Previous Matchups
Sacramento State beat Stanford in 2023 (30-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SAC | STAN
Depth Chart: SAC | STAN
Rosters: SAC | STAN
(#129) Stanford Info
Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60


Stanford has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 0 - 7 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Stanford Highlights
Stanford has a great TO Margin (#82)

Stanford Deficiencies
Stanford has a really bad Offense
Stanford has a really bad Offense at Home
Stanford Can Not Run the Ball (#84)
Stanford offense is really bad (#118)
Stanford Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#64)
Stanford offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#128)
Stanford pass game is really bad (#125)
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Stanford has a bad defense (#92)
Stanford has a bad defensive line (#67)
Stanford has a bad red zone defense (#39)


  
Sacramento State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Conklin25540663%27592786.8
Kaiden Bennett224549%269136.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Tau-Tolliver18395475.270
Curron Borders6536115.645
Ezra Moleni3317025.225
Michael Johnson129407.850
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anderson Grover (Tr)59782713.354
Jared Gipson53715913.578
Danny Scudero50650413.041
Elijah Tau-Tolliver3728727.827

View Sacramento State's Full Roster
Sacramento State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Broussard310003
DeShawn Lynch223101
Kameron Rocha111000
DeVaughn Houston71000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Brosseau73210
DeShawn Lynch223101
Cameron Broussard310003
Kameron Rocha111000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Broussard310003
Zelmar Vedder50002
DeShawn Lynch223101

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels19132758%22471186.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)388843%504025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)12033452.849
Ashton Daniels11029632.724
E.J. Smith5321614.134
Casey Filkins3821515.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor621013616.397
Tiger Bachmeier36409211.441
Sam Roush28288010.331
E.J. Smith3324207.353

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)813141
Tristan Sinclair655140
Collin Wright514104
Mitch Leigber502201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey316520
Anthony Franklin276341
Tevarua Tafiti465391
Mitch Leigber502201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley282004
Collin Wright514104
Alaka'i Gilman450003