Michigan at Ohio State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#18)Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -9 (56.0)
Michigan 45 - Ohio State: 23  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (39 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ MICH -1)

Projected Score: MICH: 30 - OSU: 31 (61)
OSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MICH Travel: 161 miles
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (34 - 4)
Avg Score : 44 - 21 (47 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Colorado State-31.060.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs Hawai'i-52.566.5W 56 - 10UN
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs UConn-47.559.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Maryland-17.066.0W 34 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan at Iowa-10.542.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Indiana-23.557.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Michigan vs Penn State-7.049.0W 41 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Michigan vs Michigan State-22.055.0W 29 - 7UN
Sat 11/5 Michigan at Rutgers-26.045.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan vs Nebraska-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Illinois-17.041.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+9.056.0W 45 - 23OY
Sat 12/3 Michigan vs Purdue-16.053.0W 43 - 22OY
Sat 12/31 Michigan vs TCU-8.056.0L 45 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Ohio State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-17.058.5W 21 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Ohio State vs Arkansas State-44.568.5W 45 - 12UN
Sat 9/17 Ohio State vs Toledo-34.563.0W 77 - 21OY
Sat 9/24 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-19.056.5W 52 - 21OY
Sat 10/1 Ohio State vs Rutgers-39.058.0W 49 - 10ON
Sat 10/8 Ohio State at Michigan State-27.064.5W 49 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Ohio State vs Iowa-29.550.0W 54 - 10OY
Sat 10/29 Ohio State at Penn State-15.560.5W 44 - 31ON
Sat 11/5 Ohio State at Northwestern-37.555.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 11/12 Ohio State vs Indiana-40.062.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 Ohio State at Maryland-26.562.5W 43 - 30ON
Sat 11/26 Ohio State vs Michigan-9.056.0L 23 - 45ON
Sat 12/31 Ohio State vs Georgia+5.562.0L 41 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2850%40.452%3.1523948%2204.55.0437%16.138%36%3.4320.71.4
OSU.3953%44.253%3.619253%2985.18.1136%2135%37%4.02480.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1440.438.850%4.550.7234592392205.659%41%52%48%12%.28
OSU Defense132117.935.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1416.11636.7%3.41.4 - - - - - 41%59%38%36%16%.04
OSU Offense1344.247.152.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1433:4723.345%86%4.1320.71.44.92.6232.7
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1459%52%42.9238.95.641.283.1576%8%1.02
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1441%38% - - - - .022.780%9%0.87
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1441%48%1726.4219.98.312.9246.311.526%32%.314%1.9
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1459%36% - - - - - - 14.071.434%22%.147%2.2
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0  #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Ohio State: 18.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.0   Ohio State: 31.1




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 18.05 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.1  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.1  #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 16

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Michigan 30


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 31
Michigan 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 31
Michigan 30

Total Points: 61
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Ohio State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Michigan9Ohio State27Ohio State -9.5Ohio State43.5Under
202411/30Ohio State10Michigan13Ohio State -20.5Michigan41.5Under
202311/25Michigan30Ohio State24Michigan -3.0Michigan47.0Over
202211/26Ohio State23Michigan45Ohio State -9Michigan56.0Over
202111/27Michigan42Ohio State27Ohio State -6.5Michigan63.5Over
201911/30Michigan27Ohio State56Ohio State -9Ohio State53.0Over
201811/24Ohio State62Michigan39Michigan -4.5Ohio State52.5Over
201711/25Michigan20Ohio State31Ohio State -12.5Michigan49.0Over
201611/26Ohio State30Michigan27Ohio State -7Michigan44.5Over
201511/28Michigan13Ohio State42Ohio State -2.5Ohio State46.0Over
201411/29Ohio State42Michigan28Ohio State -20Michigan0
201311/30Michigan41Ohio State42Ohio State -13Michigan0
201211/24Ohio State26Michigan21
201111/26Michigan40Ohio State34
201011/27Ohio State37Michigan7
200911/21Michigan10Ohio State21
200811/22Ohio State42Michigan7
200711/17Michigan3Ohio State14
200611/18Ohio State42Michigan39
200511/19Michigan21Ohio State25
200411/20Ohio State37Michigan21
200311/22Michigan35Ohio State21
200111/24Michigan20Ohio State26
200011/17Ohio State26Michigan38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State1748 Overs
Michigan782 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 125 - 71 - 44 - 3
Road Teams12 - 127 - 53 - 44 - 1

(#) MICH at (#) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #3
Perf GradeGrade #2 #1
OffenseOff #10 #1
DefenseDef #2 #6
Spec TeamsST #27 #92
TalentTal #14 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #1 #14
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #33
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #2
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #13 #2
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #2
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #6 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Ohio State -9.0 (56.0)
Michigan won at Ohio State this year (45-23)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Ohio State last year (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2022 (45-23)

  
MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD