Miami (OH) at Bowling Green - 2022 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, October 15th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7 (45.0)
Bowling Green 17 - Miami (OH): 13 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
BGSU is playing their 7th straight game
M-OH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ M-OH -5.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - BGSU: 20 (42)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Kentucky	+15.0	55.0	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris	-30.0	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+24.0	51.0	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Northwestern	+7.5	50.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	+3.0	50.0	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+5.0	56.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	-7.0	45.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Akron	-9.0	51.5	W 27 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+2.5	52.0	L 21 - 37	O	N
Wed 11/16	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	+1.0	44.0	W 29 - 23	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-2.5	45.0	W 18 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/16	Miami (OH) vs UAB	+11.0	44.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.27	42%	23.5	41%	3.08	148	43%	279	3.83	.22	42%	21.7	41%	43%	3.75	60.8	0.9	1.3
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	13	23.5	19.8	41.8%	3.83	0.9	21	426	148	279	4.3	46%	54%	41%	43%	17%	.27
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	19.5	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	13	21.7	21.2	41.9%	3.75	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	43%	23%	.22
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	17	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	13	29:45	21.5	40%	43%	6.7	60.8	0.9	1.3	7.8	2.9	1	27.6
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	13	46%	41%	34.8	147.6	4.3	15	.14	3.08	80%	9%	0.99
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	82%	16%	1.11
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	13	54%	43%	19	32.8	278.5	8.5	14.7	32	8	.37	1.7	35%	35%	.41	7%	2
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.6	33%	27%	.28	7%	2.4
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Bowling Green: -6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.7 Bowling Green: -18.1

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -6.55 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 22
Bowling Green 20

Projected Total Points: 42

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Bowling Green	12	Miami (OH)	28	Bowling Green -3	Miami (OH)	37.5	Over
2023	10/07	Miami (OH)	27	Bowling Green	0	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2022	10/15	Bowling Green	17	Miami (OH)	13	Miami (OH) -7	Bowling Green	45.0	Under
2021	11/16	Miami (OH)	34	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	52.0	Under
2019	11/13	Miami (OH)	44	Bowling Green	3	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	48.0	Under
2018	09/22	Bowling Green	23	Miami (OH)	38	Miami (OH) -6.5	Miami (OH)	55.0	Over
2017	10/07	Miami (OH)	29	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH) -16.5	Bowling Green	50.5	Over
2016	10/22	Bowling Green	26	Miami (OH)	40	Bowling Green -3.5	Miami (OH)	52.0	Over
2013	11/05	Miami (OH)	3	Bowling Green	45	Bowling Green -24.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/13	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH)	12
2011	09/24	Miami (OH)	23	Bowling Green	37
2010	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2009	11/12	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	35
2008	10/18	Bowling Green	20	Miami (OH)	27
2007	10/13	Miami (OH)	47	Bowling Green	14
2006	11/15	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH)	9
2005	11/15	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	42
2003	12/04	Bowling Green	27	Miami (OH)	49
2003	11/04	Miami (OH)	33	Bowling Green	10
2001	11/03	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2000	10/13	Miami (OH)	24	Bowling Green	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	7	3	4 Overs
Miami (OH)	14	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 8	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#) M-OH at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#123
Perf GradeGrade	#116	#91
OffenseOff	#116	#101
DefenseDef	#97	#63
Spec TeamsST	#41	#97
TalentTal	#112	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#109	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#97	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Miami (OH) 7.0 (45.0)
Bowling Green won vs Miami (OH) this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2024 (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD