Western Michigan at Bowling Green - 2022 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Bowling Green Falcons

Wednesday, November 2nd 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -5 (48.0)
Bowling Green 13 - Western Michigan: 9 (Mid-American)

Broncos (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (32 - 25)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WMU coming off BYE
BGSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ WMU -1)
Projected Score: WMU: 22 - BGSU: 19 (41)
BGSU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WMU Travel: 120 miles

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+22.0	54.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Michigan at Ball State	-6.5	51.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Western Michigan vs Pittsburgh	+10.0	46.0	L 13 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/24	Western Michigan at San José State	+6.5	49.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Western Michigan vs New Hampshire	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-4.5	55.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Michigan vs Ohio	-2.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/22	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+7.0	44.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+5.0	48.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+1.0	49.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/16	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	+10.0	49.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+8.5	50.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.31	50%	24.9	52%	3.54	214	47%	254	4.16	.22	39%	17.4	43%	35%	3.72	58.9	1.2	1.3
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	13	24.9	18.3	49.9%	4.16	1.2	25	468	214	254	4.7	58%	42%	52%	47%	13%	.31
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	19.5	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	13	17.4	21.7	38.9%	3.72	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	35%	22%	.22
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	17	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	13	35:17	24.8	46%	46%	6.8	58.9	1.2	1.3	7.5	3.3	2	28.2
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	13	58%	52%	45.4	214.1	4.7	31	.28	3.54	67%	8%	0.93
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.82	71%	16%	1.17
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	13	42%	47%	17.9	28.3	253.6	9	14.2	23	6	.4	1.7	25%	35%	.47	6%	2.2
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.23	1.8	35%	26%	.22	6%	2
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #121
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.2 #129
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Bowling Green: -6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -17.3 Bowling Green: -18.1

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -6.55 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 22
Bowling Green 19

Projected Total Points: 41

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/12	Bowling Green	31	Western Michigan	13	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Under
2023	11/21	Western Michigan	10	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green -2	Bowling Green	54.5	Under
2022	11/02	Bowling Green	13	Western Michigan	9	Bowling Green -5	Western Michigan	48.0	Under
2019	10/26	Western Michigan	49	Bowling Green	10	Western Michigan -26.5	Western Michigan	65.5	Under
2018	10/13	Bowling Green	35	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan -14.5	Bowling Green	68.5	Over
2015	11/11	Western Michigan	27	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green -4.5	Bowling Green	72.0	Under
2014	10/18	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	26	Bowling Green -2.5	Western Michigan	0
2011	10/08	Western Michigan	45	Bowling Green	21
2010	11/26	Bowling Green	7	Western Michigan	41
2005	10/22	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	45
2004	11/06	Bowling Green	52	Western Michigan	0
2003	10/11	Western Michigan	21	Bowling Green	32
2002	10/19	Bowling Green	48	Western Michigan	45
2001	10/13	Western Michigan	37	Bowling Green	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	7	4	1 Overs
Western Michigan	7	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#) WMU at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#123
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#91
OffenseOff	#111	#101
DefenseDef	#20	#63
Spec TeamsST	#94	#97
TalentTal	#97	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#127	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#11
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Bowling Green -5.0 (48.0)
Bowling Green won vs Western Michigan this year (13-9)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2024 (31-13)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-10)

WMU's OC Eric Evans (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD