Bowling Green at Ohio - 2022 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 22nd 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Ohio -5.5 (52.5)
Ohio 38 - Bowling Green: 14 (Mid-American)

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ OHIO -14)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - OHIO: 29 (51)
OHIO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Ohio's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio vs Florida Atlantic	+6.0	51.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Ohio at Penn State	+28.0	55.0	L 10 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ohio at Iowa State	+20.0	48.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/24	Ohio vs Fordham	-16.5	73.5	W 59 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/1	Ohio at Kent State	+13.0	65.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio vs Akron	-10.0	58.5	W 55 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ohio at Western Michigan	+2.0	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ohio vs Northern Illinois	+2.5	65.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ohio vs Buffalo	+2.5	61.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/8	Ohio at Miami (OH)	-2.5	52.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Tue 11/15	Ohio at Ball State	-3.5	57.5	W 32 - 18	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-5.5	52.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Ohio vs Toledo	+3.5	54.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/30	Ohio vs Wyoming	-3.0	43.0	W 30 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5
OHIO	.22	45%	27.8	47%	3.49	187	43%	184	3.85	.27	47%	21.9	45%	50%	4.01	58.6	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08
OHIO Defense	12	21.9	20	47%	4.01	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	50%	12%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17
OHIO Offense	12	27.8	36.3	44.9%	3.85	1.3	20	371	187	184	5.2	56%	44%	47%	43%	16%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4
Ohio	12	29:46	20.2	36%	65%	6.2	58.6	1.3	0.8	4.6	1.3	1	29

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01
OHIO Defense	12	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	64%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88
OHIO Offense	12	56%	47%	36.2	187.3	5.2	20	.28	3.49	71%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1
OHIO Defense	12	49%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.35	1.4	26%	33%	.39	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2
OHIO Offense	12	44%	43%	16.7	26.1	184.1	7.1	11.1	11	8	.18	1.3	31%	30%	.31	5%	1.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Ohio: 0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -18.1 Ohio: -4.6

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 0.2 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 29
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ohio	35	Bowling Green	20	Ohio -7.5	Ohio	49.5	Over
2023	09/23	Bowling Green	7	Ohio	38	Ohio -13	Ohio	45.0	Push
2022	11/22	Ohio	38	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -5.5	Ohio	52.5	Under
2021	11/26	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	10	Ohio -6	Bowling Green	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Ohio	52	Bowling Green	10	Ohio -22.5	Ohio	55.0	Over
2019	11/19	Bowling Green	24	Ohio	66	Ohio -21	Ohio	55.5	Over
2018	10/20	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -16.5	Ohio	67.0	Under
2017	10/14	Bowling Green	30	Ohio	48	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	62.0	Over
2016	10/08	Ohio	30	Bowling Green	24	Ohio -15.5	Bowling Green	60.0	Under
2015	11/04	Bowling Green	62	Ohio	24	Bowling Green -13.5	Bowling Green	66.0	Over
2014	10/11	Ohio	13	Bowling Green	31	Ohio -2	Bowling Green	0
2013	11/12	Bowling Green	49	Ohio	0	Bowling Green -9	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/07	Ohio	14	Bowling Green	26
2011	11/16	Bowling Green	28	Ohio	29
2010	10/09	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	25
2009	10/03	Bowling Green	37	Ohio	44
2008	11/08	Ohio	3	Bowling Green	28
2007	10/27	Bowling Green	27	Ohio	38
2006	09/30	Ohio	9	Bowling Green	21
2005	10/08	Bowling Green	38	Ohio	14
2004	10/23	Ohio	16	Bowling Green	41
2002	10/05	Bowling Green	72	Ohio	21
2001	11/10	Ohio	0	Bowling Green	17
2000	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	13	7	5 Overs
Bowling Green	11	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	7 - 5	6 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 11	5 - 7	3 - 1	2 - 6

(#) BGSU at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#66
OffenseOff	#101	#25
DefenseDef	#63	#120
Spec TeamsST	#97	#47
TalentTal	#108	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#120
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#97	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#130

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#62	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Ohio -5.5 (52.5)
Ohio won vs Bowling Green this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green last year (35-20)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD