Bowling Green at Akron - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -9 (49.5)
Bowling Green 31 - Akron: 28 (Mid-American)

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ BGSU -5.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - AKR: 26 (49)
BGSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 112 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Akron's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Akron vs St. Francis (PA)	-12
Sat 9/10	Akron at Michigan State	+34.5	56.0	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Tennessee	+47.5	67.0	L 6 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Akron at Liberty	+26.5	52.5	L 12 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron vs Bowling Green	+9.0	49.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Akron at Ohio	+10.0	58.5	L 34 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Central Michigan	+12.0	60.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Akron at Kent State	+16.0	65.0	L 27 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+9.0	51.5	L 9 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Akron vs Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.0	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Akron at Buffalo	+14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Akron at Northern Illinois	+9.5	51.5	W 44 - 12	O	Y
Fri 12/2	Akron at Buffalo	+12.0	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5
AKR	.19	41%	22.3	41%	3.17	122	41%	218	3.83	.42	55%	27.4	58%	51%	5.52	46.1	1.4	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08
AKR Defense	12	27.4	18.5	54.6%	5.52	1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	58%	51%	12%	.42

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17
AKR Offense	12	22.3	27.5	41%	3.83	1.4	19	339	122	218	3.4	48%	52%	41%	41%	23%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4
Akron	12	31:09	18.8	38%	44%	5.7	46.1	1.4	1	3.8	1.3	2	26.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01
AKR Defense	12	58%	58%	-	-	-	-	.42	3.75	84%	8%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88
AKR Offense	12	48%	41%	36	121.9	3.4	8	.16	3.17	60%	19%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1
AKR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.44	1.6	27%	37%	.48	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2
AKR Offense	12	52%	41%	18.8	29.3	217.5	7.4	11.6	21	5	.21	1.6	34%	29%	.31	4%	2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Akron: -9.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -18.1 Akron: -23.4

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -9.2 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2022 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.4 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #113
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 26
Bowling Green 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Bowling Green	16	Akron	19	Bowling Green -2.5	Akron	47.5	Under
2024	10/05	Akron	20	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green -17	Akron	48.5	Under
2023	10/21	Bowling Green	41	Akron	14	Bowling Green -7	Bowling Green	37.0	Over
2022	10/01	Akron	28	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green -9	Akron	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Bowling Green	20	Akron	35	Bowling Green -14	Akron	46.0	Over
2020	12/05	Akron	31	Bowling Green	3	Akron -2.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2019	11/02	Bowling Green	35	Akron	6	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2018	11/17	Akron	6	Bowling Green	21	Akron -6.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Under
2017	09/30	Bowling Green	23	Akron	34	Akron -3	Akron	57.5	Under
2016	11/09	Akron	28	Bowling Green	38	Akron -11.5	Bowling Green	73.0	Under
2015	10/17	Bowling Green	59	Akron	10	Bowling Green -11.5	Bowling Green	62.5	Over
2014	11/04	Akron	10	Bowling Green	27	Akron -4	Bowling Green	0
2013	09/28	Bowling Green	31	Akron	14	Bowling Green -15.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/06	Akron	10	Bowling Green	24
2009	11/20	Bowling Green	36	Akron	20
2008	10/11	Akron	33	Bowling Green	37
2007	11/02	Bowling Green	44	Akron	20
2006	11/04	Akron	35	Bowling Green	28
2005	10/29	Bowling Green	14	Akron	24
2001	10/20	Akron	11	Bowling Green	16
2000	10/06	Bowling Green	21	Akron	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	7	6	4 Overs
Bowling Green	14	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	13 - 8	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#) BGSU at (#) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#123
OffenseOff	#101	#100
DefenseDef	#63	#125
Spec TeamsST	#97	#106
TalentTal	#108	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#97	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#95

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#101	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#83	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Bowling Green 9.0 (49.5)
Bowling Green won at Akron this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Bowling Green last year (19-16)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2024 (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AKR's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD