Bowling Green at Central Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (1:00 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -5.5 (51.0)
Bowling Green 34 - Central Michigan: 18 (Mid-American)

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU is playing their 8th straight game
BGSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ CMU -4)
Projected Score: BGSU: 21 - CMU: 26 (47)
CMU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Chippewas (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jim McElwain (20 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Central Michigan at Oklahoma State	+20.5	58.0	L 44 - 58	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Central Michigan vs South Alabama	-6.0	57.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/17	Central Michigan vs Bucknell	-41.0	59.0	W 41 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Central Michigan at Penn State	+28.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Central Michigan at Toledo	+6.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-7.5	63.0	L 16 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Central Michigan at Akron	-12.0	60.5	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-5.5	51.0	L 18 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	54.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y
Wed 11/9	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-3.0	54.0	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Wed 11/16	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	-10.0	49.0	L 10 - 12	U	N
Fri 11/25	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5
CMU	.24	44%	22.5	44%	3.14	179	44%	265	3.65	.19	41%	23.5	43%	40%	3.96	55.8	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08
CMU Defense	13	23.5	15.2	41.3%	3.96	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	43%	40%	22%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17
CMU Offense	13	22.5	30.4	43.7%	3.65	1.1	23	445	179	265	4.5	52%	47%	44%	44%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4
Central Michigan	13	31:03	23.1	37%	59%	6.3	55.8	1.1	1.2	7.5	2.8	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01
CMU Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.84	71%	14%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88
CMU Offense	13	52%	44%	40	179.2	4.5	18	.14	3.14	78%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1
CMU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.6	34%	28%	.18	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2
CMU Offense	13	47%	44%	21	34.5	265.4	7.7	12.6	31	10	.41	1.7	35%	32%	.35	6%	2.2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Central Michigan: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -18.1 Central Michigan: -14.0

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #112
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #102
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 26
Bowling Green 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Bowling Green	6	Central Michigan	27	Bowling Green -3	Central Michigan	43.5	Under
2024	11/05	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	23	Bowling Green -14.5	Central Michigan	47.5	Under
2022	10/22	Central Michigan	18	Bowling Green	34	Central Michigan -5.5	Bowling Green	51.0	Over
2019	10/19	Bowling Green	20	Central Michigan	38	Central Michigan -11.5	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2018	11/10	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	24	Central Michigan -7.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2010	10/30	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	17
2009	10/24	Bowling Green	10	Central Michigan	24
2006	10/19	Central Michigan	31	Bowling Green	14
2004	10/09	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	38
2003	10/04	Bowling Green	23	Central Michigan	3
2002	10/12	Central Michigan	35	Bowling Green	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	4	3	2 Overs
Bowling Green	7	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 9	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0

(#) BGSU at (#) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#89
OffenseOff	#101	#108
DefenseDef	#63	#37
Spec TeamsST	#97	#9
TalentTal	#108	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#93	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Central Michigan -5.5 (51.0)
Bowling Green won at Central Michigan this year (34-18)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Bowling Green last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan in 2024 (23-13)

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD