Bowling Green at UCLA - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (2:30 PM EDT)
UCLA -24 (56.5)
UCLA 45 - Bowling Green: 17

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -19 (SP+ UCLA -33)
Projected Score: BGSU: 28 - UCLA: 23 (51)
UCLA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
BGSU Travel: 1938 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Bruins (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (18 - 25)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
UCLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

UCLA's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	UCLA vs Bowling Green	-24.0	56.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UCLA vs Alabama State	-48.5	61.5	W 45 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	UCLA vs South Alabama	-15.5	59.5	W 32 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/24	UCLA at Colorado	-22.0	57.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Fri 9/30	UCLA vs Washington	+2.5	65.0	W 40 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/8	UCLA vs Utah	+3.0	64.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	UCLA at Oregon	+7.0	70.5	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	UCLA vs Stanford	-16.5	64.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	UCLA at Arizona State	-11.0	66.5	W 50 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/12	UCLA vs Arizona	-19.5	76.5	L 28 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	UCLA vs USC	+2.5	76.5	L 45 - 48	O	N
Fri 11/25	UCLA at California	-11.5	62.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/30	UCLA vs Pittsburgh	-9.0	55.0	L 35 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5
UCLA	.37	49%	18.2	52%	3.52	215	45%	226	3.94	.23	45%	33.4	48%	42%	3.63	64.5	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08
UCLA Defense	12	33.4	34.7	44.7%	3.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	48%	42%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17
UCLA Offense	12	18.2	19.5	48.8%	3.94	1.2	23	441	215	226	5	57%	43%	52%	45%	14%	.37

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4
UCLA	12	29:45	23.4	46%	67%	7.2	64.5	1.2	1.8	5.9	2.3	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01
UCLA Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.9	72%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88
UCLA Offense	12	57%	52%	43.2	215.2	5	31	.35	3.52	78%	9%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1
UCLA Defense	12	55%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.5	29%	33%	.42	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2
UCLA Offense	12	43%	45%	17.3	27.9	226.2	8.1	13.1	23	8	.4	1.6	29%	35%	.52	5%	2.1

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: UCLA: 10

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -18.1 UCLA: 15.0

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 10 NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCLA's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #21
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.7 #3
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 28
UCLA 23

Projected Total Points: 51

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	UCLA	45	Bowling Green	17	UCLA -24	UCLA	56.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCLA	1	1	1 Overs
Bowling Green	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) UCLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	UCLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#21
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#19
OffenseOff	#101	#7
DefenseDef	#63	#57
Spec TeamsST	#97	#16
TalentTal	#108	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

UCLA Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	UCLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#97	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#65

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#28
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#3	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#5	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
UCLA -24.0 (56.5)
UCLA won vs Bowling Green this year (45-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Bill McGovern (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD