Cincinnati at East Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Friday, November 26th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Cincinnati -14.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati 35 - East Carolina: 13  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
CIN is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ CIN -20.5)
Projected Score: CIN: 25 - ECU: 32 (57)
CIN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 462 miles
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2546%30.342%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%25.638%31%1.9876.21.62
ECU.1239%32.738%2.6617440%2303.29.1944%20.140%49%3.9358.22.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1030.330.846.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25
ECU Defense920.119.844.3%3.932.2 - - - - - 52%47%40%49%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1025.635.334.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
ECU Offense932.736.238.9%3.292.2224041742304.349%51%38%40%21%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
East Carolina931:032233%56%6.358.22.22.25.11.4329.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12
ECU Defense952%40% - - - - .112.8559%9%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
ECU Offense949%38%40.1173.64.311.042.6661%13%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8
ECU Defense947%49% - - - - - - 10.271.429%34%.366%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
ECU Offense951%40%19.632.6230.17.111.8199.191.631%27%.28%2.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    East Carolina: 2.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 21.2   East Carolina: 0.5




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 2.75 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 32
Cincinnati 25

Projected Total Points: 57
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/11Cincinnati27East Carolina25Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina51.5Over
202111/26East Carolina13Cincinnati35Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati56.5Under
202011/13Cincinnati55East Carolina17Cincinnati -27.5Cincinnati56.5Over
201911/02East Carolina43Cincinnati46Cincinnati -25East Carolina48.5Over
201811/23Cincinnati56East Carolina6Cincinnati -15.5Cincinnati49.5Over
201711/18East Carolina48Cincinnati20Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina67.5Over
201610/22Cincinnati31East Carolina19Cincinnati -2Cincinnati63.0Under
201511/28East Carolina16Cincinnati19Cincinnati -3NA69.0Under
201411/13Cincinnati54East Carolina46East Carolina -2.5Cincinnati0
200409/25East Carolina19Cincinnati24
200309/01Cincinnati40East Carolina3
200111/10Cincinnati26East Carolina28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina235 Overs
Cincinnati1053 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 23 - 13 - 1
Road Teams5 - 72 - 61 - 31 - 3

(#) CIN at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #78
Perf GradeGrade #11 #104
OffenseOff #32 #103
DefenseDef #5 #87
Spec TeamsST #9 #122
TalentTal #52 #76
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
Run GameRun #8 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #13 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #96 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #78 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #122 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 50°
Rematch from Week 13
Cincinnati 14.5 (56.5)
Cincinnati won at East Carolina this year (35-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD