Miami (OH) at Cincinnati - 2021 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -22.5 (49.0)
Cincinnati 49 - Miami (OH): 14

 
RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ CIN -20)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - CIN: 33 (55)
CIN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 29 miles
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 37 - 17 (44 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+22.549.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Miami (OH) at Minnesota+18.555.0L 26 - 31OY
Sat 9/18 Miami (OH) vs Long Island University-39.555.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/25 Miami (OH) at Army+7.549.0L 10 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+2.556.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-2.558.0L 12 - 13UN
Sat 10/16 Miami (OH) vs Akron-20.051.0W 34 - 21ON
Sat 10/23 Miami (OH) at Ball State+3.553.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Miami (OH) at Ohio-7.054.5L 33 - 35ON
Tue 11/9 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.058.0W 45 - 18OY
Tue 11/16 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-17.052.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Miami (OH) at Kent State-1.068.0L 47 - 48ON
Thu 12/23 Miami (OH) vs North Texas-2.056.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.2742%28.941%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%23.141%43%3.7560.80.91.3
CIN.348%36.950%3.1317247%2414.56.0638%16.941%35%2.8753.91.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1328.923.741.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27
CIN Defense1416.914.138.2%2.872.4 - - - - - 54%46%41%35%20%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1323.130.941.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
CIN Offense1436.944.348.3%4.561.4204131722415.248%52%50%47%13%.3

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Cincinnati1427:0919.839%63%7.253.91.42.47.32.8233.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99
CIN Defense1454%41% - - - - .042.8773%13%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
CIN Offense1448%50%33.1171.95.234.293.1383%8%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2
CIN Defense1446%35% - - - - - - 19.071.635%25%.157%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
CIN Offense1452%47%18.428.6241.28.413.1339.311.527%28%.175%1.8

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Cincinnati: 13.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.5   Cincinnati: 21.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 13.1 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 33
Miami (OH) 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 32
Miami (OH) 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 34
Miami (OH) 21

Total Points: 55
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.3
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27Cincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14Cincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13Cincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20Cincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37Cincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24Cincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1954 Overs
Miami (OH)565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#) M-OH at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #5
Perf GradeGrade #58 #11
OffenseOff #55 #32
DefenseDef #50 #5
Spec TeamsST #130 #9
TalentTal #111 #52
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #55 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #92 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #29 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #8 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #13 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 78° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Cincinnati -22.5 (49.0)
Cincinnati won vs Miami (OH) this year (49-14)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) last year (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (38-17)

  
M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD