Murray State at Cincinnati - 2021 Matchup Preview
Murray State logo   Murray State Racers at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -36.5 (51.5)
Cincinnati 42 - Murray State: 7

 
Racers (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 41 (16 - 41 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ CIN -21)
CIN Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Murray State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/11 Murray State at Cincinnati+36.551.5L 7 - 42UY
Sat 9/18 Murray State at Bowling Green-2.544.0L 10 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%15.50%000%000%410%0%0000
CIN.2546%30.342%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%25.638%31%1.9876.21.62
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Offense015.515.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CIN Defense1025.619.634.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Defense041410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CIN Offense1030.334.446.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Murray State00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Offense00%0%000000%0%0
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #156
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Cincinnati: 13.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Cincinnati: 21.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 13.1 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Murray State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Murray State's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 37
Murray State 19

Projected Total Points: 56
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11Cincinnati42Murray State7Cincinnati -36.5Murray State51.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati100 Overs
Murray State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MURR at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMURRCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #5
Perf GradeGradeNR #11
OffenseOffNR #32
DefenseDefNR #5
Spec TeamsSTNR #9
TalentTal #156 #52
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Murray State on Offense
CategoryCat
MURR OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Murray State Run Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNR #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
Murray State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNR #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffMURR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffMURR Def
Run GameRun #8NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffMURR Def
Pass GamePass #13NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Cincinnati -36.5 (51.5)
Cincinnati won vs Murray State this year (42-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MURR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD