Cincinnati at Tulane - 2021 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats at Tulane Green Wave  Tulane logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -27.5 (61.5)
Cincinnati 31 - Tulane: 12  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ CIN -25)

Projected Score: CIN: 25 - TULN: 30 (55)
CIN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CIN Travel: 710 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Green Wave (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (30 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (29 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Tulane's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Tulane at Oklahoma+31.066.5L 35 - 40OY
Sat 9/11 Tulane vs Morgan State-47.558.0W 69 - 20OY
Sat 9/18 Tulane at Ole Miss+14.077.0L 21 - 61ON
Sat 9/25 Tulane vs UAB-2.555.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 Tulane at East Carolina-3.065.0L 29 - 52ON
Thu 10/7 Tulane vs Houston+6.560.0L 22 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 Tulane at SMU+14.070.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/30 Tulane vs Cincinnati+27.561.5L 12 - 31UY
Sat 11/6 Tulane at UCF+13.557.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Tulane vs Tulsa+3.055.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/20 Tulane vs South Florida-5.559.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Tulane at Memphis+5.558.0L 28 - 33OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2546%30.342%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%25.638%31%1.9876.21.62
TULN.1744%27.747%3.2921739%1774.24.1639%23.939%39%3.4650.61.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1030.330.846.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25
TULN Defense1223.915.938.9%3.461.6 - - - - - 53%47%39%39%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1025.635.334.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
TULN Offense1227.72943.7%4.241.2223942171775.157%43%47%39%17%.17

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
Tulane1228:3021.535%55%6.250.61.21.68.42.9132
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12
TULN Defense1253%39% - - - - .022.5967%13%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
TULN Offense1257%47%42.9217.25.132.243.2978%12%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8
TULN Defense1247%39% - - - - - - 9.33234%30%.366%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
TULN Offense1243%39%13.826.1176.66.812.82110.091.532%31%.265%1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Tulane: 0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 21.2   Tulane: -3.9




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 0.55 NR
Tulane's Offense Rating: NR
Tulane's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulane's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulane's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9  #89
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #74
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 30
Cincinnati 25


Projected Total Points: 55
Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Tulane's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/25Cincinnati24Tulane27Tulane -1Tulane44.0Over
202110/30Tulane12Cincinnati31Cincinnati -27.5Tulane61.5Under
201810/06Cincinnati37Tulane21Cincinnati -7Cincinnati48.0Over
201711/04Tulane16Cincinnati17Tulane -5.5Cincinnati54.5Under
201410/31Tulane14Cincinnati38Cincinnati -2.5Cincinnati0
200210/12Tulane35Cincinnati17
200110/06Cincinnati46Tulane33
200009/29Tulane24Cincinnati19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane322 Overs
Cincinnati532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 42 - 31 - 11 - 2
Road Teams4 - 43 - 22 - 11 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) TULN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINTULN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #89
Perf GradeGrade #11 #112
OffenseOff #32 #112
DefenseDef #5 #99
Spec TeamsST #9 #119
TalentTal #52 #87
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffTULN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #99
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #8 #85
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #83
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #13 #93
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulane on Offense
CategoryCatTULN OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulane Run Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #84 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
Tulane Pass Game
CategoryCatTULN OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #122 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Cincinnati 27.5 (61.5)
Cincinnati won at Tulane this year (31-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TULN's OC Chip Long (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TULN's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD