Cincinnati at Indiana - 2021 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats at Indiana Hoosiers  Indiana logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -4 (50.0)
Cincinnati 38 - Indiana: 24

 
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IND 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ CIN -29)
Projected Score: CIN: 20 - IND: 38 (58)
CIN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 108 miles
Hoosiers (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (25 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Indiana's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Indiana at Iowa+3.545.5L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/11 Indiana vs Idaho-31.552.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 Indiana vs Cincinnati+4.050.0L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/25 Indiana at Western Kentucky-9.562.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Indiana at Penn State+12.054.5L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Indiana vs Michigan State+3.548.5L 15 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 Indiana vs Ohio State+21.059.0L 7 - 54ON
Sat 10/30 Indiana at Maryland+3.548.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/6 Indiana at Michigan+20.551.0L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/13 Indiana vs Rutgers-6.542.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/20 Indiana vs Minnesota+7.543.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Indiana at Purdue+18.050.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2546%30.342%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%25.638%31%1.9876.21.62
IND.1139%41.640%2.3910938%2513.88.1240%11.740%40%2.5544.61.42.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1030.330.846.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25
IND Defense811.78.439.9%2.552.5 - - - - - 45%55%40%40%19%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1025.635.334.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
IND Offense841.649.139%3.881.4203611092513.246%54%40%38%14%.11

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
Indiana830:5220.139%57%4.344.61.42.55.93.1028.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12
IND Defense845%40% - - - - .113.2764%10%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
IND Offense846%40%34.3109.43.212-.032.3975%8%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8
IND Defense855%40% - - - - - - 17.131.632%30%.269%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
IND Offense854%38%20.936.4251.46.912165.221.634%31%.286%2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Indiana: -1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 21.2   Indiana: -7.8




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -1.4 NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Indiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #101
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #113
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 38
Cincinnati 20

Projected Total Points: 58
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Cincinnati45Indiana24Cincinnati -16.5Cincinnati57.0Over
202109/18Indiana24Cincinnati38Cincinnati -4Cincinnati50.0Over
200009/22Indiana42Cincinnati6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana102 Overs
Cincinnati220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) IND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCININD
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #101
Perf GradeGrade #11 #110
OffenseOff #32 #123
DefenseDef #5 #80
Spec TeamsST #9 #94
TalentTal #52 #38
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffIND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffIND Def
Run GameRun #8 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #13 #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #131
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Indiana on Offense
CategoryCatIND OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Indiana Run Game
CategoryCat
IND OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #130 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
Indiana Pass Game
CategoryCatIND OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #124 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #86 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati 4.0 (50.0)
Cincinnati won at Indiana this year (38-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

IND's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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IND's DC Charlton Warren (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD