Army at Liberty - 2021 Matchup Preview
Army logo   Army Black Knights at Liberty Flames  Liberty logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Liberty -3.0 (51.5)
Army 31 - Liberty: 16

 
Black Knights (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (52 - 39)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (21 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 2nd straight Home Game
ARMY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ LIB -4)
Projected Score: ARMY: 25 - LIB: 25 (50)
LIB Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ARMY Travel: 394 miles
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Army at Georgia State+2.550.0W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Army vs Western Kentucky-6.052.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/18 Army vs UConn-34.548.0W 52 - 21ON
Sat 9/25 Army vs Miami (OH)-7.549.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Army at Ball State-10.546.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Army at Wisconsin+14.037.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Army vs Wake Forest+3.053.5L 56 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Army vs Air Force+2.537.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Army vs Bucknell-51.558.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Army vs Massachusetts-37.556.0W 33 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 Army at Liberty+3.051.5W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Army vs Navy+7.035.5L 13 - 17UY
Wed 12/22 Army vs Missouri-7.054.0W 24 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Liberty's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Liberty vs Campbell-35.065.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Liberty at Troy-3.062.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Liberty vs Old Dominion-26.553.5W 45 - 17OY
Fri 9/24 Liberty at Syracuse-6.554.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/2 Liberty at UAB+3.049.0W 36 - 12UY
Sat 10/9 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-20.059.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/16 Liberty at UL Monroe-32.557.0L 28 - 31ON
Sat 10/23 Liberty at North Texas-21.061.0W 35 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.556.0W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/6 Liberty at Ole Miss+7.566.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Liberty vs Louisiana-4.053.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/27 Liberty vs Army-3.051.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 12/18 Liberty vs Eastern Michigan-9.558.5W 56 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY.1541%23.842%2.8927332%454.2.0437%21.634%41%2.5941.31.21.5
LIB.3250%25.653%3.2725347%2303.73.1742%26.546%37%2.9855.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1223.820.840.7%4.21.219318273454.689%11%42%32%11%.15
LIB Defense1126.527.341.6%2.981.5 - - - - - 50%50%46%37%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1221.621.237.2%2.591.5 - - - - - 52%47%34%41%20%.04
LIB Offense1125.631.550.4%3.731.5254822532305.858%42%53%47%16%.32

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1234:0719.345%68%4.741.31.21.55.81.5231.7
Liberty1132:1824.848%76%5.955.41.51.55.42.4130.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1289%42%59.7272.84.636.152.8986%9%1.07
LIB Defense1150%46% - - - - .153.1970%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1252%34% - - - - -.062.4256%13%0.96
LIB Offense1158%53%43.8252.65.827.283.2775%11%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1211%32%2.96.344.87.115.346.161.828%26%.212%1.9
LIB Defense1150%37% - - - - - - 11.21.634%29%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 12.151.635%26%.187%2.1
LIB Offense1142%47%17.527.8229.68.313.2257.381.627%38%.565%2.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Army's 2021 Expected Record: -
Army's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #63
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #66
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Army:    Liberty: 6.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 4.7   Liberty: 8.4




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.7 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Army's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 25
Liberty 25

Projected Total Points: 50
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Liberty16Army31Liberty -3.0Army51.5Under
201809/08Army38Liberty14Army -7.5Army57.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty000 Overs
Army222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) ARMY at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #49
Perf GradeGrade #24 #28
OffenseOff #11 #27
DefenseDef #66 #26
Spec TeamsST #101 #44
TalentTal #151 #135
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCat
ARMY OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #77 #48
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Army Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #69 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #133 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffARMY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #66
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #19 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #35 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #56
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Liberty -3.0 (51.5)
Army won at Liberty this year (31-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARMY's OC Brent Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD