Navy at Army - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 11th 2021 (3:00 PM EST)
Navy -7 (35.5)
Navy 17 - Army: 13

Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NAVY coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: -9 (SP+ ARMY -13)
Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - ARMY: 26 (52)
NAVY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 181 miles

Black Knights (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (52 - 39)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Navy vs Marshall	+3.5	46.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/11	Navy vs Air Force	+6.0	40.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Navy at Houston	+20.0	47.0	L 20 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Navy vs UCF	+15.0	52.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Navy vs SMU	+13.5	57.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Navy at Memphis	+11.0	55.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/23	Navy vs Cincinnati	+28.5	49.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/29	Navy at Tulsa	+11.0	46.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Navy at Notre Dame	+21.0	47.5	L 6 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Navy vs East Carolina	+3.5	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Navy at Temple	-13.5	42.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11	Navy at Army	-7.0	35.5	W 17 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Army's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Army at Georgia State	+2.5	50.0	W 43 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Army vs Western Kentucky	-6.0	52.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/18	Army vs UConn	-34.5	48.0	W 52 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/25	Army vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	49.0	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Army at Ball State	-10.5	46.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Army at Wisconsin	+14.0	37.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Army vs Wake Forest	+3.0	53.5	L 56 - 70	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Army vs Air Force	+2.5	37.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Army vs Bucknell	-51.5	58.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Army vs Massachusetts	-37.5	56.0	W 33 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/27	Army at Liberty	+3.0	51.5	W 31 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11	Army vs Navy	+7.0	35.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Wed 12/22	Army vs Missouri	-7.0	54.0	W 24 - 22	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	.09	35%	31.5	36%	2.62	178	33%	97	3.6	.21	43%	25	43%	43%	3.97	40.2	1.1	0.9
ARMY	.15	41%	23.8	42%	2.89	273	32%	45	4.2	.04	37%	21.6	34%	41%	2.59	41.3	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	10	31.5	25.8	35.1%	3.6	1.1	14	275	178	97	3.7	76%	23%	36%	33%	15%	.09
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	24.2	37.2%	2.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	34%	41%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	10	25	30.2	43.4%	3.97	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	62%	38%	43%	43%	14%	.21
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	25.6	40.7%	4.2	1.2	19	318	273	45	4.6	89%	11%	42%	32%	11%	.15

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	10	30:19	14.3	34%	67%	4.4	40.2	1.1	0.9	4.5	0.6	0	27.4
Army	12	34:07	19.3	45%	68%	4.7	41.3	1.2	1.5	5.8	1.5	2	31.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	10	76%	36%	48.3	177.6	3.7	15	.03	2.62	71%	12%	1.04
ARMY Defense	12	52%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.42	56%	13%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	10	62%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.05	83%	9%	1.1
ARMY Offense	12	89%	42%	59.7	272.8	4.6	36	.15	2.89	86%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	10	23%	33%	5.7	12.4	97.4	7.9	17.1	6	4	.27	2.3	34%	24%	.26	3%	2.3
ARMY Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.6	35%	26%	.18	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	10	38%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.28	1.5	31%	33%	.43	5%	2.1
ARMY Offense	12	11%	32%	2.9	6.3	44.8	7.1	15.3	4	6	.16	1.8	28%	26%	.21	2%	1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: Army: 4.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.5 Army: 4.7

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 4.85 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2021 Expected Record: -
Army's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #63
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #66
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 26
Army 26

Projected Total Points: 52

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/13	Navy	17	Army	16	Navy -6.0	Army	38.0	Under
2024	12/14	Army	13	Navy	31	Army -6	Navy	39.5	Over
2023	12/09	Army	17	Navy	11	Army -2	Army	28.0	Push
2022	12/10	Army	20	Navy	17	Navy -2.5	Army	32.0	Over
2021	12/11	Army	13	Navy	17	Navy -7	Army	35.5	Under
2020	12/12	Army	15	Navy	0	Army -7.5	Army	35.5	Under
2019	12/14	Navy	31	Army	7	Navy -11.5	Navy	41.5	Under
2018	12/08	Army	17	Navy	10	Army -7	Push	38.5	Under
2017	12/09	Navy	13	Army	14	Navy -2.5	Army	44.5	Under
2016	12/10	Army	21	Navy	17	Navy -11.5	Army	46.5	Under
2015	12/12	Navy	21	Army	17	Navy -23	Army	51.0	Under
2014	12/13	Army	10	Navy	17	Navy -15	Army	0
2013	12/14	Navy	34	Army	7	Navy -10	Navy	0
2012	12/08	Army	13	Navy	17
2011	12/10	Navy	27	Army	21
2010	12/11	Army	17	Navy	31
2009	12/12	Navy	17	Army	3
2008	12/06	Army	0	Navy	34
2007	12/01	Navy	38	Army	3
2006	12/02	Navy	26	Army	14
2005	12/03	Army	23	Navy	42
2004	12/04	Navy	42	Army	13
2003	12/06	Navy	34	Army	6
2001	12/01	Navy	17	Army	26
2000	12/01	Navy	30	Army	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	7	9	2 Overs
Navy	18	3	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	8 - 4	4 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 16	4 - 8	0 - 4	4 - 4

(#) NAVY at (#) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	ARMY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#63
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#24
OffenseOff	#93	#11
DefenseDef	#125	#66
Spec TeamsST	#39	#101
TalentTal	#141	#151
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Navy Injury Report

Army Injury Report

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#93	#66
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#125	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#136	#56
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Army on Offense


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#11	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Army Run Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#77	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Army Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in MetLife Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
Navy 7.0 (35.5)
Navy won at Army this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Army last year (17-16)
Navy beat Army in 2024 (31-13)
Army beat Navy in 2023 (17-11)

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARMY's OC Brent Davis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD