South Alabama at UL Monroe - 2021 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -13.5 (51.5)
UL Monroe 41 - South Alabama: 31 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (22 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 3rd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 6th straight game
USA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ USA -13)
Projected Score: USA: 30 - ULM: 27 (57)
USA Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
USA Travel: 269 miles

Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UL Monroe at Kentucky	+31.0	54.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	52.0	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	49.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+33.5	57.5	L 6 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+16.0	49.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	UL Monroe vs Liberty	+32.5	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/23	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+13.5	51.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	UL Monroe at App State	+26.5	57.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/6	UL Monroe at Texas State	+3.0	57.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/13	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-3.0	66.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	UL Monroe at LSU	+29.0	57.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/27	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+21.5	56.0	L 16 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.17	42%	24.9	39%	2.77	111	44%	256	3.36	.15	39%	26.4	37%	41%	3.02	43.8	1.7	2.2
ULM	.08	33%	20.9	34%	2.48	134	32%	194	3.4	.27	47%	33.5	46%	48%	4.34	32.6	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	24.9	21.5	41.6%	3.36	1.7	19	367	111	256	3.1	46%	54%	39%	44%	21%	.17
ULM Defense	12	33.5	27.3	46.6%	4.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	26.4	35.8	38.9%	3.02	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	37%	41%	20%	.15
ULM Offense	12	20.9	26.3	33%	3.4	1.3	19	328	134	194	3.2	52%	48%	34%	32%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	32:18	19	31%	61%	4.8	43.8	1.7	2.2	5.7	2.7	1	28.5
UL Monroe	12	28:49	18.6	34%	52%	3.8	32.6	1.3	1.6	4.8	1.9	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	46%	39%	36.6	111.4	3.1	15	.07	2.77	68%	16%	0.91
ULM Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.31	69%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.55	63%	13%	1.01
ULM Offense	12	52%	34%	41.7	134.4	3.2	13		2.48	76%	16%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	54%	44%	22.8	33.9	256	7.6	11.3	22	11	.27	1.5	33%	30%	.39	6%	2.1
ULM Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.6	28%	31%	.44	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.7	32%	30%	.3	7%	2.1
ULM Offense	12	48%	32%	16.7	29.5	194	6.6	11.6	15	9	.17	1.9	38%	30%	.4	5%	2.3

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: UL Monroe: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.2 UL Monroe: -20.3

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 30
UL Monroe 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 33
UL Monroe 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
UL Monroe 28
South Alabama 27

Total Points: 55

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	UL Monroe	14	South Alabama	26	South Alabama -4	South Alabama	49.5	Under
2024	10/26	South Alabama	46	UL Monroe	17	South Alabama -7.0	South Alabama	45.0	Over
2023	10/07	UL Monroe	7	South Alabama	55	South Alabama -11	South Alabama	51.5	Over
2022	10/15	South Alabama	41	UL Monroe	34	South Alabama -17	UL Monroe	51.0	Over
2021	10/23	UL Monroe	41	South Alabama	31	South Alabama -13.5	UL Monroe	51.5	Over
2020	10/24	South Alabama	38	UL Monroe	14	South Alabama -14.5	South Alabama	56.5	Under
2019	09/28	UL Monroe	30	South Alabama	17	Louisiana Monroe -14.5	South Alabama	59.5	Under
2018	11/10	South Alabama	10	UL Monroe	38	Louisiana Monroe -7.5	UL Monroe	63.0	Under
2017	10/21	South Alabama	33	UL Monroe	23	South Alabama -3.5	South Alabama	55.5	Over
2016	11/05	UL Monroe	42	South Alabama	35	South Alabama -13.5	UL Monroe	49.5	Over
2013	11/23	South Alabama	36	UL Monroe	14	South Alabama -3	South Alabama	0
2012	10/27	UL Monroe	38	South Alabama	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	5	4	6 Overs
South Alabama	7	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 3	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 9	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) USA at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#125
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#132
OffenseOff	#106	#134
DefenseDef	#65	#103
Spec TeamsST	#110	#128
TalentTal	#101	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#102	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#135	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°Rain: 0.028

Rematch from Week 8
South Alabama 13.5 (51.5)
UL Monroe won vs South Alabama this year (41-31)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat UL Monroe last year (46-17)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2023 (55-7)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (41-34)

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD