Liberty at UL Monroe - 2021 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -32.5 (57.0)
UL Monroe 31 - Liberty: 28

 
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULM 2nd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 5th straight game
LIB is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ LIB -28.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 31 - ULM: 21 (52)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
LIB Travel: 802 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Liberty vs Campbell-35.065.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Liberty at Troy-3.062.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Liberty vs Old Dominion-26.553.5W 45 - 17OY
Fri 9/24 Liberty at Syracuse-6.554.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/2 Liberty at UAB+3.049.0W 36 - 12UY
Sat 10/9 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-20.059.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/16 Liberty at UL Monroe-32.557.0L 28 - 31ON
Sat 10/23 Liberty at North Texas-21.061.0W 35 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.556.0W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/6 Liberty at Ole Miss+7.566.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Liberty vs Louisiana-4.053.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/27 Liberty vs Army-3.051.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 12/18 Liberty vs Eastern Michigan-9.558.5W 56 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UL Monroe at Kentucky+31.054.0L 10 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.552.0W 12 - 7UY
Sat 9/25 UL Monroe vs Troy+23.549.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 10/2 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+33.557.5L 6 - 59ON
Sat 10/9 UL Monroe vs Georgia State+16.049.5L 21 - 55ON
Sat 10/16 UL Monroe vs Liberty+32.557.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/23 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+13.551.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/30 UL Monroe at App State+26.557.5L 28 - 59ON
Sat 11/6 UL Monroe at Texas State+3.057.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 11/13 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-3.066.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/20 UL Monroe at LSU+29.057.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 11/27 UL Monroe at Louisiana+21.556.0L 16 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.2945%33.652%3.7218139%2554.57.1341%21.544%38%3.6266.51.70.8
ULM.0833%20.934%2.4813432%1943.4.2747%33.546%48%4.3432.61.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1333.625.845.4%4.571.7234361812554.648%51%52%39%17%.29
ULM Defense1233.527.346.6%4.341.6 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1321.522.241.1%3.620.8 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%18%.13
ULM Offense1220.926.333%3.41.3193281341943.252%48%34%32%21%.08

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1330:1922.643%43%7.166.51.70.87.52.8228.5
UL Monroe1228:4918.634%52%3.832.61.31.64.81.9128.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1348%52%39.1180.84.626.353.7279%11%1.11
ULM Defense1249%46% - - - - .143.3169%10%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1356%44% - - - - .133.1775%12%0.87
ULM Offense1252%34%41.7134.43.2132.4876%16%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1351%39%17.429.32558.714.73315.251.730%32%.316%2.1
ULM Defense1251%48% - - - - - - 11.391.628%31%.446%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.161.531%29%.266%1.9
ULM Offense1248%32%16.729.51946.611.6159.171.938%30%.45%2.3

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    UL Monroe: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 8.4   UL Monroe: -20.3




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3  #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 31
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 31
UL Monroe 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 30
UL Monroe 23

Total Points: 53
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/16UL Monroe31Liberty28Liberty -32.5UL Monroe57.0Over
202010/10Liberty40UL Monroe7Liberty -17Liberty63.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe111 Overs
Liberty111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) ULM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBULM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #125
Perf GradeGrade #28 #132
OffenseOff #27 #134
DefenseDef #26 #103
Spec TeamsST #44 #128
TalentTal #135 #122
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffULM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #103
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffULM Def
Run GameRun #19 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #116
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #35 #86
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UL Monroe on Offense
CategoryCatULM OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #134 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UL Monroe Run Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #135 #48
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
UL Monroe Pass Game
CategoryCatULM OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #128 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #131 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Liberty 32.5 (57.0)
UL Monroe won vs Liberty this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD